Manchester United (21 wins, 9 losses, 6 draws) welcomes Chelsea (11-15-10) to Old Trafford Thursday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Manchester United vs. Chelsea odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.
Manchester United has something to play for, needing a point in its last 2 games to secure a Champions League spot for next season. United sits 4th on the table and has scored 52 goals this season while allowing 41. United is a strong 13-1-3 at home this season. It is led by F Marcus Rashford, who has 16 goals on the season.
Chelsea has disappointed during the 2022-23 campaign. Its main weakness is offensively, averaging just 1 goal per game. F Kai Havertz leads the way with 7, but only Havertz and F Raheem Sterling have scored more than 3 goals. Chelsea is just 5-9-4 on the road this season and sits 12th on the table.
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Manchester United vs. Chelsea odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10:10 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Manchester United -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Chelsea +425 (bet $100 to win $425) | Draw +320
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -175 | U: +125)
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Manchester United vs. Chelsea picks and predictions
Prediction
Manchester United 1, Chelsea 0
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
All these values seem unplayable. Chelsea has too much talent to be (+320) for even a draw, but it has lost 5 of its last 7 matches. Defeats to Wolves, Brighton, Brentford, and others highlight its struggles.
Similarly, United at (-165) is just too expensive considering it just needs 1 point here. United has also drawn or lost 3 of its last 6 EPL matches.
With that in mind, pass the moneyline.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 2.5 (+125).
United has gone Under this total in 5 straight EPL matches and in 9 of its last 10, only topping it in a 2-2 road draw with Tottenham. It has had a clean sheet in 6 of them and scored multiple goals in just 4. It has allowed 2 goals in its last 5 EPL matches, and Chelsea’s offense won’t be the side to consistently pepper it with shots.
Chelsea has scored 7 goals in its last 9 matches. It has gone Under in 5 of its last 9 despite having a struggling defense over the past month. It allows just 1.17 goals per game and has strong defenders, so expect a low-scoring affair.
Take the UNDER 2.5 (+125).
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