Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 30 odds and lines between Makhmud Muradov and Gerald Meerschaert, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.
In a middleweight bout on the main card, Makhmud Muradov faces Gerald Meerschaert Saturday at UFC on ESPN 30 – also known as UFC Vegas 35 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN 30 Muradov vs. Meerschaert odds and lines, with MMA picks and predictions.
The entire card can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims beginning at 7 p.m. ET and the main card at 10 p.m. ET.
Muradov is a perfect 3-0 since his UFC debut Sept. 28, 2019, against Alessio Di Chirico, who is also on this fight card. That fight went the distance, but Muradov’s last two fights each ended in third-round KO/TKO victories, including last time out at UFC 257 against Andrew Sanchez.
Meerschaert, nicknamed “GM3”, posted a first-round submission win over Bartosz Fabinski via guillotine April 17 and snapped a two-bout losing skid. He had lost in the first round by way of KO/TKO in those two outings, and each of his past four fights ended in stoppages.
UFC on ESPN 30 Muradov vs. Meerschaert: Odds and lines
Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Muradov -700 (bet $700 to win $100) | Meerschaert +440 (bet $100 to win $440)
- Total Rounds: 1.5 Rounds (Over -127 | Under -107)
- Will the fight go the distance: (Yes +180 | No -260)
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UFC on ESPN 30 Muradov vs. Meerschaert: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Muradov 25-6-0 | Meerschaert 32-14-0
Meerschaert got on track with a victory last time out, but he sees a huge step up in competition against Muradov. However, you can’t lay seven times your potential return on the favorite, so let’s get specific instead.
MURADOV BY KO/TKO (-200) will still cost you two times your potential return, but that’s a much better bet. Toss it into a multi-fight parlay for less risk.
This fight isn’t going the distance, but you can’t roll with No (-260): Will the fight go the distance? That’s just too much risk.
Instead, take a two-round block with MURADOV TO WIN IN ROUND 2 (+280) and MURADOV TO WIN IN ROUND 3 (+720). Yes, you’ll lose one of those two ends even if he wins in Rounds 2-3, but you’ll still be well ahead.
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