Orlando Magic at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Orlando Magic at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Orlando Magic (34-47) visit the Miami Heat (43-38) on Sunday. Tip from Kaseya Center is set for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Magic vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Magic fell 101-84 on the road against the Brooklyn Nets on Friday failing to cover as a 9.5-point underdog. Orlando has lost 3 games in a row and is 5-5 in its last 10 games, but 7-2-1 against the spread (ATS) in the same span. This season, it is 45-34-2 ATS.

Miami fell 114-108 to the Washington Wizards on Friday failing to cover as a 3.5-point road favorite. The loss snapped a 3-game winning streak. The Heat are 5-5 straight up and 4-6 ATS in their last 10. This season, they are 30-49-2 ATS.

This will be the 4th meeting with Miami leading the series 2-1, but Orlando leading 2-1 ATS.

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Magic at Heat odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:33 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Magic +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Heat -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Magic +5.5 (-115) | Heat -5.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): Off the board

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Magic at Heat key injuries

Magic

  • PG Paolo Banchero (back) questionable
  • C Wendell Carter Jr. (hip) questionable
  • PG Markelle Fultz (knee) questionable
  • SG Gary Harris (adductor) questionable
  • PF Jonathan Isaac (adductor) out
  • SF Franze Wagner (ankle) questionable
  • PF Mroritz Wagner (ankle) out

Heat

  • C Bam Adebayo (quadriceps) probable
  • PF Jimmy Butler (rest) questionable
  • SG Tyler Herro (quadriceps) questionable
  • SF Nikola Jovic (back) out
  • PG Kyle Lowry (knee) out
  • SG Victor Oladipo (elbow) probable
  • PG Max Strus (finger) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Magic at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 108, Magic 104

Moneyline

PASS.

At -210 odds, there is no value on the Heat in this matchup.

Against the spread

BET MAGIC +5.5 (-115).

The Magic are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games and 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Orlando is 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games when their opponent scores 100 or more points in their previous game, and 10-4 ATS while playing as a 5-7-point underdog.

The Heat are just 14-25-1 ATS at home this season and 2-9 ATS this season while playing as a 5-7-point favorite.

Over/Under

Not available when published, but if the line is set at 214.5 lean Under.

Both teams have struggled on offense this season with the Magic ranking 26th in the NBA in points per game (111.4) and the Heat ranking 30th in the same metric (109.3).

The Under is 4-0 in the Magic’s last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record and 5-0 in their last 5 road games. The Under is 24-16 in the Magic’s road games this season as well.

The Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Miami and 2-1 in the 3 previous matchups this season.

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Orlando Magic at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Orlando Magic at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Orlando Magic (19-29) battle the Miami Heat (27-22) Friday. Tip from Miami-Dade Arena is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Magic vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

This will be the first of 4 meetings between these teams this year.

The Heat beat the Boston Celtics 98-95 Tuesday, covering as 2.5-point favorites and holding Boston to just 37 second-half points. Miami is 6-4 against the spread (ATS) over its last 10 but is just 20-27-2 ATS on the season. The Heat rank 2nd in the NBA in opponents’ points per game (108.2).

The Magic have been red-hot against the number, covering 6 of their last 7 games. They are coming off a 126-120 home win over the Indiana Pacers, covering as 5-point favorites. Orlando has scored at least 110 points in 5 straight games and it ranks 14th in the league in field goal percentage (47.3%).

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Magic at Heat odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Magic +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Heat -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Magic +8.5 (-120) | Heat -8.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Magic at Heat key injuries

Magic

  • None

Heat

  • G Caleb Martin (quadriceps) probable
  • G Max Strus (shoulder) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Magic at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 114, Magic 109

Moneyline

PASS.

The Heat are the better team here and are 16-9 straight up at home while Orlando is 6-17 on the road. Ultimately, neither value is worth the risk.

Against the spread

BET MAGIC +8.5 (-120).

Orlando is hot and Miami hasn’t been playing like it is 8.5 points better than any other team in the NBA. The Magic are 6-1 ATS over their last 7 games. Orlando is also a league-best 12-5-1 ATS following an ATS win.

Miami is the 2nd-worst team at home ATS this season at 8-15-2 ATS. Its highly-touted scoring defense is also inflated as it ranks 19th in opponents’ field goal percentage (47.4%).  The Heat have scored 100 or fewer points in 3 straight games and are 2-3 ATS over their last 5 outings.

Considering the Heat’s recent struggles and issues at home, back the MAGIC +8.5 (-120).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 219.5 (-110).

Orlando has gone Over in 4 of its last 5 games and is 26-22 O/U this season. It has an efficient offense that should force Miami to pick up its slow-tempo pace. The Magic are also 11-6-1 O/U following a win.

The Heat have gone Under in 3 straight games but are 2-3 O/U in their last 5. It should get back leading-scorer F Jimmy Butler in this game as well as he’s not on the injury report after he missed their most recent match with Boston.

Back the OVER 219.5 (-110).

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Orlando Magic at Miami Heat odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Orlando Magic at Miami Heat NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Orlando Magic (13-23) travel to meet the Miami Heat (18-18) at American Airlines Arena in Miami Thursday for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Magic-Heat odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Magic at Heat: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Magic +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Heat -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Magic +6.5 (-110) | Heat -6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 214.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Magic at Heat: Key injuries

Magic

  • PG Cole Anthony (ribs) out
  • SF James Ennis III (calf) out
  • SF Evan Fournier (groin) out
  • PG Markelle Fultz (knee) out
  • PF Aaron Gordon (ankle) out
  • PF Jonathan Isaac (knee) out

Heat

  • C Bam Adebayo (knee) out
  • SG Avery Bradley (calf) out
  • C Meyers Leonard (personal) out

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Magic at Heat: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Heat 109, Magic 99

Money line (ML)

The Heat (-275) are strong favorites to win this Sunshine State battle on its home floor against the banged-up and skidding Magic (+220). While Miami should win, risking nearly three times your potential return is not a recommended long-term betting strategy. AVOID. 

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Against the spread (ATS)

The HEAT -6.5 (-110) are a good play in this one against the rival Magic +6.5 (-110), and they’re coming off a solid 103-93 road win at New Orleans  Thursday. Miami is on a 7-1 SU/ATS heater, pun totally intended, across the past eight games. Meanwhile, Orlando has dropped five in a row, and they’re just 1-3-1 ATS across the span.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 214.5 (-110) is the way to go. Miami has hit the Under in three in a row, and it’ll be without one of its top players in Adebayo. Orlando ranks 28th in the NBA with just 105.6 PPG, and they’re 30th in field-goal percentage at 43.2, so they won’t be filling up the basket any time soon.

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