LSU vs Kentucky Prediction, College Basketball Game Preview

LSU vs Kentucky prediction, college basketball game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win on Wednesday.

LSU vs Kentucky prediction, college basketball game preview, how to watch: Wednesday, February 23


LSU vs Kentucky How To Watch

Date: Wednesday, February 23
Game Time: 9:00 ET
Venue: Rupp Arena, Lexington, KY
How To Watch: ESPN
Record: LSU (19-8), Kentucky (22-5)
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LSU vs Kentucky Game Preview


Why LSU Will Win

The Tigers got the Cats in the first meeting.

They won at home 65-60 in early January by doing a great job on the boards and keeping down the mistakes. Biggest of all, LSU was almost dead even with UK on the boards.

LSU might have fallen off the map over the last 11 games going 4-7 – including a loss to South Carolina a few days ago – but it continues to attack the basket and draws fouls, and it’s No. 1 in the nation in steals.

The ultra-aggressive defense is forcing a whole lot of mistakes, taking the ball away ten times or more in each of the last four games and in five of the last six.

However …

– Latest Polls AP | Coaches

Why Kentucky Will Win

Kentucky leads the SEC in fewest turnovers.

It doesn’t make enough mistakes to matter – the 15 given up to LSU the first time was a bit of an anomaly – and more than anything else, the shooting has been great.

The offense doesn’t rely on the three, but those have been falling. The offensive rebounds are off the charts – 48 over the last three games – helping the team to hit 50% of its shots or more in four of the last nine games and in seven of the last 13.

LSU’s defense has struggled lately.

Great throughout the year and terrific at stopping the three, LSU hasn’t been great inside with team after team scoring a tad too easily.

LSU is 17-1 when teams shoot under 42% against its D, and it’s 2-7 when it doesn’t.

Kentucky has only shot under 42% six times and only once was at home – a 77-70 win over Vanderbilt.

Top 25 Game Previews, Predictions

What’s Going To Happen

Kentucky will be great in the rematch.

LSU has the ability to rise up and pull off something impressive on the road, but it’s 3-6 in true away games and it’s not going to keep Kentucky from going on a few big runs to pull away.

The Cats aren’t going to hit 50% from the field, but they’ll do more than enough inside – including on the offensive boards – to pull away and roll.

LSU vs Kentucky Prediction, Lines

Kentucky 77, LSU 65
Line: Kentucky -6.5, o/u: 142
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 3

5: A shorter baseball season with more games that matter
1: Baseball season during football season

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LSU vs Kentucky: How to watch, listen and stream the SEC basketball matchup

Prior to the Texas Bowl, we have LSU men’s hoops in action.

Prior to the LSU Tigers taking on Kansas State in the Texas Bowl, we have SEC hoops with Will Wade’s unit taking on Kentucky. It is an all Tigers-Wildcats affair on Tuesday.

The men’s basketball team looks to shake off the loss from the last time they took the hardwood with the loss at Auburn. LSU dropped to No. 21 in the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll and now faces No. 13 Kentucky at home. A great opportunity to get back on the winning side of things as they gear up for the heart of their SEC schedule. They also have Alabama and Tennessee in the coming weeks.

They will need to shoot much better than 28.6% as they did against Auburn. The Tigers will need big performances from Efton Reid inside, as well as Darius Days and Tari Eason. The big matchup inside is Reid and Kentucky’s Oscar Tshiebwe, who averages 15.8 points and 15.2 rebounds per game.

According to ESPN’s matchup indicator, the Tigers’ win probability sits at 60.9%. Improving to 13-1 will be big for Will Wade and LSU. They set to face No. 18 Tennesse on Saturday at the PMAC.

Prior to the game, LSU will hold a ceremony as they rename the court at the PMAC, “Dale Brown Court.” Dale Brown coached the LSU men’s basketball team from 1972-1997. During that time he won 448 games, four SEC championships, two Final Four appearances, and was inducted into the College Basketball Hall of Fame in 2014.

Game details

  • Date: Tuesday, Jan. 4
  • Location: Pete Maravich Assembly Center in Baton Rouge, LA
  • Time: 6:00 p.m. CT
  • TV: ESPN
  • Radio: LSU Radio Network
  • Live Stream: fuboTV (try it free)

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook

Spread: LSU (-2.5)

Over/Under: 143.5

Money Line: LSU (-150) | Kansas State (+122)

USA TODAY Sports labels LSU one of college football’s week six losers

LSU’s season seems to be lost after a disappointing week six performance.

It’s not feeling great to be an LSU Tiger right now.

LSU has now slid to 3-3 in the SEC after losing to Auburn and Kentucky in consecutive weeks. They’ve hardly looked competitive for seven quarters now. And USA TODAY Sports has choice words for LSU’s game against Kentucky.

Paul Myerberg of USA TODAY released his week six college football winners and losers, LSU was listed as a loser alongside Alabama, BYU, North Carolina, Oklahoma quarterback Spencer Rattler, Louisville, and Southern California.

Here is what Myerberg had to say about LSU’s performance this past weekend.

Myerberg: The heat on Ed Orgeron is set to rise dramatically after a listless 42-21 loss to No. 14 Kentucky dropped LSU to 3-3 overall and 1-2 in SEC play. With no shot of winning the West or even competing for the New Year’s Six, the Tigers’ focus shifts to simply securing bowl eligibility. What are the odds of that? The offense is putrid and the defense only slightly better, leaving major questions about whether Orgeron can guide LSU back to prominence or if the magical 2019 season was simply a combination of luck and a Heisman-winning quarterback.

Myerberg is right about one thing: LSU is desperately trying to figure out how they can get bowl eligible, because there doesn’t seem to be three more wins left on the schedule.

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Studs and duds: Which LSU Tigers stood out on Saturday

Ty Davis Price leads this week’s list of stud and duds.

A lot has changed since the LSU Tigers won the national championship in 2019. The Tigers are now 8-8 in the last two seasons under head coach Ed Orgeron since the perfect 15-0 campaign during the 2019 season.

LSU got beat Saturday night and got beat bad. It wasn’t a fluke, and now the Tigers are 3-3 with a very difficult schedule ahead.

Here are some studs and duds from the LSU loss to Kentucky.

Dud: LSU’s rushing defense

Jordan Prather-USA TODAY Sports

As the week went on, a lot was said about how the Tiger defense was able to get any stops against Auburn to at least give the LSU offense a chance to win. The same can’t be said about the performance against Kentucky. Chris Rodriguez Jr. ran for 147 yards and a touchdown on 16 carries. He added another score in the passing game as the LSU defense didn’t account for him on a quick snap on fourth down. Kentucky rushed for 329 yards on 45 attempts.

Five reasons the LSU Tigers lost 42-21 to Kentucky

It was ugly. Here we break down why the Tigers lost on Saturday night.

It is becoming an all-too-familiar scene for the LSU Tigers this season, really the last 16 games. The team led by head coach Ed Orgeron getting beat in the trenches on both sides of the football.

The Tigers had their collective backs against the ball needing a win in Lexington, Kentucky. The last time they played at Kroger Field the Tigers lost 43-37 in triple overtime. They would still go on to win the national championship that season, definitely won’t be the case this year.

The Tigers are now 8-8 in the last two seasons under Orgeron since the perfect 15-0 campaign during the 2019 season. At LSU .500 football just isn’t going to cut it. If you thought the whispers surrounding the head coach’s job were loud before, they might be screaming now.

LSU lost by three scores to Kentucky for the first time since 1999, following the season the team made a change at head coach. They went with Nick Saban and the rest is history.

After another demoralizing loss for the Bayou Bengals, we look at five reasons for the latest loss.

Final stats from LSU’s 42-21 loss to Kentucky

LSU got manhandled by Kentucky on Saturday night.

LSU got rocked in Lexington.

The Tigers got behind early and never regained composure. Kentucky improved to 6-0 on the season after handily beating the Tigers 42-21. Max Johnson and company tried to rally late, but it was no use as Kentucky managed to score a late touchdown of their own to put the game on ice. LSU is now 3-3 and 1-2 in the SEC.

Here are the final stats from LSU’s loss to the Wildcats.

Team Stats

Total yards: LSU 411, UK 463

Passing yards: LSU 261, UK 145

Rushing yards: LSU 150, UK 329

First downs: LSU 22, UK 21

Third downs: LSU 7-15, UK 1-6

Sacks: LSU 1, UK 4

Penalties: LSU 4-18, UK 2-20

Individual Stats

Max Johnson: 22 of 38, 261 yards, 1 touchdown, 5 rushes for -23 yards

Tyrion Davis-Price: 22 carries for 147 yards, 2 touchdowns

Armoni Goodwin: 4 carries for 18 yards

Corey Kiner: 4 carries for 5 yards

Kayshon Boutte: 8 catches for 73 yards

Malik Nabers: 3 catches for 66 yards, 1 touchdown

Jaray Jenkins: 3 catches for 39 yards

Jack Bech: 8 targets, 3 catches for 20 yards

Brian Thomas Jr: 2 catches, 20 yards

Devonta Lee: 1 catch, 9 yards

Deion Smith: 1 catch, 9 yards

Trey Palmer: 4 targets, 0 receptions

Halftime takeaways from Kentucky vs LSU

LSU is going down fast.

LSU continues to spiral out of control. This ship is going down and it is going down quick.

Kentucky jumped out to a 14-0 lead and that it where we find ourselves heading into the half. LSU has done essentially nothing to get back into this game, and currently has no answers for Kentucky’s offense.

The Tigers may be focusing too much on outside factors right now, and if that’s the case, then it’s certainly showing in their execution. I wonder how much longer Ed Orgeron will be at the helm before the powers that be at LSU decide that enough is enough.

Here are some takeaways from LSU’s first half vs Kentucky.

LSU vs Kentucky: Final look at the statistical breakdown

A final look at how the offenses and defenses matchup before Saturday’s game.

Just hours away from kickoff between the LSU Tigers and Kentucky Wildcats. The home team looking to stay perfect on the season and move to 6-0. The Tigers are hoping to play spoiler and keep Kentucky from being bowl eligible for at least another week.

LSU is in desperation mode with the upcoming slate of game against the top 25. They lost by four to Auburn (No. 22) at the time of the game. They have the No. 14 Kentucky at 6:30 p.m. CDT. Starting next Saturday it will host No. 18 Florida, then at No. 17 Ole Miss, and at No. 1 Alabama. They finish up the stretch at home against No. 16 Arkansas.

Safe to say they need this win badly. Here is how both team’s offensive and defensive units match up.

When LSU has the ball

© SCOTT CLAUSE/USA TODAY Network / USA TODAY NETWORK

Here is how the LSU offense stacks up against the Kentucky defense in conference play:

Category LSU Kentucky Category
Total Offense 373.6 (12th) 332.0 (5th) Total Defense
Rush Offense 48.0/game (14th) 111.0 (3rd) Rush Defense
Yards per carry 1.87 (14th) 3.74 (4th) YPC allowed
Pass Offense 303.0 (4th) 221.0 (8th) Pass Defense
Yards per attempt 7.8 (7th) 6.1 (4th) YPA allowed
Scoring Offense 31.4 (7th) 17.0 (2nd) Scoring Defense
Red Zone (TD%) 64.3 (9th) 75.0 (11th) Red Zone (TD %)

When Kentucky has the ball

Jordan Prather-USA TODAY Sports

How Kentucky’s offense matches up with the LSU defense:

Category Kentucky LSU Category
Total Offense 358.7 (8th) 469.5 (12th) Total Defense
Rush Offense 236.0 (2nd) 139.0 (7th) Rush Defense
Yards per carry 5.62 (3rd) 5.05 (10th) YPC allowed
Pass Offense 122.7 (13th) 330.5 (14th) Pass Defense
Yards per attempt 6.5 (9th) 6.0 (3rd) YPA allowed
Scoring Offense 23.7 (8th) 24.5 (7th) Scoring Defense
Red Zone (TD%) 63.6 (6th) 66.67 (9th) Red Zone (TD %)

 

On Fox pregame show Bruce Feldman weighs in on Ed Orgeron

Bruce Feldman discussed Ed Orgeron’s status on Saturday morning.

Massive game for the LSU Tigers on tap Saturday evening from Kroger Field in Lexington, Kentucky.

The Tigers coming off the disappointing loss against Auburn, a game in which they led by two possessions in the first and second halves. In the fourth quarter, the team led 19-10 and failed to hold onto the lead. The defense allowed Bo Nix to make enough plays while the offense managed just 54 yards of offense, less than 2.9 yards per play.

After losses to UCLA to begin the year and the latest against Auburn, head coach Ed Orgeron has come under scrutiny. This is a spot that is familiar for Orgeron, during his first season as the permanent head coach of the Tigers in 2017, LSU started 3-2 following an embarrassing loss at home to Troy.

As Fox Sports and The Athletic analyst, Bruce Feldman stated on Saturday morning, that seat is warming up for Ed Orgeron.

“Ed Orgeron is not even two years removed from leading LSU to a national title but his seat is in fact warm and it got a lot warmer with the home loss last week to Auburn. Now Orgeron is 48-16 at LSU but he is working for an AD in Scott Woodward who is not the one who hired him and Woodward likes to make splashy hires. Remember, Woodward when he was at Washington hired Chris Petersen and when he was at A&M he got Jimbo Fisher to leave FSU and go to College Station.

This is a big uphill climb for Orgeron now. They go to 5-0 Kentucky today, then they play Florida, at Ole Miss, at Alabama and then Arkansas, that’s five top 20 teams. It’s kind of optimistic to think they may go 3-2 over that stretch with the way they’ve been playing. But, remember this, in 2017 Orgeron was in a very similar situation. His team was 3-2, he was facing a lot of heat, people doubted him, and that’s when his team started to go on a roll.” – via 247Sports

LSU vs Kentuckye: How to watch, listen, and stream the Tigers-Wildcats showdown

Here is how you can tune in to the game if you can’t make it to Lexington.

Saturday night in Lexington, Kentucky, we have the Wildcats (5-0, 3-0) hosting the LSU Tigers (3-2, 1-1).

The home team has already knocked off Missouri, South Carolina, and the then-ranked No. 9 Florida Gators. Before playing a loaded Georgia Bulldogs team next weekend, they have the task of beating LSU for the first time since 2007. That game required three overtimes. That game was also played at home for Kentucky.

Since 2000, these teams have played three times in Lexington, each game was within one possession. LSU has a 2-1 record in that timeframe. Since the year 2000, they have met seven times, LSU is 6-1. Overall, the Tigers own the all-time series with a tally of 40-16-1, they have won the last two games which were played in Death Valley.

Can the LSU Tigers hand the Wildcats their first loss of the season or will Kentucky become bowl eligible with a win?

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If you aren’t able to make it to Kroger Field on Saturday night, here is how you can tune into the game.

How to Watch, Listen, and Stream

Jordan Prather-USA TODAY Sports

Game Details:

  • Location: Kroger Field in Lexington, KY
  • Time: 6:30 p.m. CDT
  • TV: SEC Network
  • On the call: Toom Hart, Jordan Rodgers, Cole Cubelic
  • Radio: LSU Radio Network
  • App: Watch ESPN
  • Live Stream: fuboTV (try it free)

Contact/Follow us @LSUTigersWire on Twitter, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Louisiana State news, notes, and opinions.

Follow Patrick on Twitter: @PatrickConnCFB