LSU at Texas A&M odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s LSU at Texas A&M odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 5 LSU Tigers (9-2, 6-1 SEC) will travel to Kyle Field to battle the Texas A&M Aggies (4-7, 1-6) Saturday at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the LSU vs. Texas A&M odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY sports.

Texas A&M came into the 2022 season with a No. 6 ranking and high hopes for a playoff berth. Due to complete mismanagement of the offense by coach Jimbo Fisher, the Aggies are now unable to even make a bowl game.

The Aggies have not scored 30 points against an FBS opponent since Halloween of 2021 and fans were so agitated over the team’s lack of success, most of the stands emptied at half time last week against UMass despite the game being only a 7-point A&M lead. Fisher will need to do some soul searching this offseason.

LSU came into the season unranked and lost its 1st game under Brian Kelly on a missed extra point. Since then, the Tigers have only lost once, a 27-point decision to Tennessee. They have already clinched a berth in the SEC Championship game against Georgia and are thinking playoffs. But the Tigers need to win this week first. Although the Aggies are struggling, LSU cannot take them too lightly.

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LSU at Texas A&M odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 4:15 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): LSU -425 (bet $425 to win $100) | Texas A&M +325 (bet $100 to win $325)
  • Against the spread (ATS): LSU -10 (-108) | Texas A&M +10 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -107 | U: -113)

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LSU at Texas A&M picks and predictions

Prediction

LSU 30, Texas A&M 13

Moneyline

PASS.

LSU needs this game to keep its playoff hopes alive. It will not take it lightly. This means Texas A&M at +325 is not a smart wager and LSU at -425 is not worth a play unless added into a large parlay.

Against the spread

BET LSU -10 (-108).

LSU has been playing splendidly in recent weeks while the Aggies are looking to get out of this season and on to 2023. Fisher has lost this team and many of his prized recruits from last offseason are likely to transfer elsewhere.

Kelly has his LSU team believing and playing hard. They will continue this week as they overcome emotions to beat the Aggies into submission. LSU -10 (-108) is my play here.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 47.5 (-113).

LSU will use the run game and ball control to shorten this game and get out of Kyle Field with as little drama as possible. QB Jayden Daniels has shown LSU why they grabbed him from the transfer portal with his play in recent weeks, including a game-winning TD run against Alabama.

Points have not been the friend of the Aggies — 21.4 PPG is 108th of 131 teams — and they will be hard to find in this matchup. Both teams want to run the ball and lack explosive offenses. This game will finish in the low 40’s and the Under 47.5 (-113) is my favorite play.

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LSU at Texas A&M odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s LSU Tigers at Texas A&M Aggies sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The LSU Tigers (3-3 overall, 3-3 SEC) visit the Texas A&M Aggies (5-1, 5-1) Saturday at 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the LSU-Texas A&M college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The Aggies are ranked No. 6 in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

LSU at Texas A&M: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 4:17 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: LSU +410 (bet $100 to win $410) | Texas A&M -556 (bet $556 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: LSU +14.5 (-106) | Texas A&M -14.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 63.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

LSU at Texas A&M: Three things to know

  1. Texas A&M won its last game, 48-3 at South Carolina way back on Nov. 7. The Aggies had their last 2 games canceled—Tennessee and Ole Miss—because of COVID-19 complications. Texas A&M will have roughly 25,000 fans inside of Kyle Field, which seats about 100,000.
  2. LSU won at Arkansas 27-24 last week. Freshman QB TJ Finley is 2-1 since being named LSU’s starter. He connected on 27 of 42 passes for 271 yards, 2 touchdowns and no interceptions against the Razorbacks.
  3. The Tigers trampled the Aggies 50-7 in last year’s meeting en route to a national title. LSU has owned Texas A&M since the Aggies joined the SEC in 2011, covering all 9 meetings and going 8-1 overall.

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LSU at Texas A&M: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Texas A&M 31, LSU 21

Money line (ML)

These money line prices mean it’s either dog or nothing for me. LSU (+410) has followed up wins with losses or vice versa every game this season and that’s partially due to its inconsistent rushing performances.

The Tigers have gained at least 148 rushing yards in each of their 3 wins, but those defenses aren’t half as stout against the run as Texas A&M. The Aggies are 10th in rushing yards allowed per game and 18th in yards allowed per rush.

No way I can back LSU with a freshman quarterback under center without a run game to help him out most likely. PASS ON THE MONEY LINE.

Against the spread (ATS)

I lean LSU +14.5 (-106) because the spread has been steamed up past an even 14 and Texas A&M could come out sluggish following its long layoff. According to Pregame.com, 71% of the money and 74% of the bets placed are on the Aggies. So, being on the same side as the House with an even number is appealing.

Considering everything I laid out in the money line section, it’s too tough to make LSU an official play. Also, both teams are equally inconsistent vs. bookmakers’ expectations; LSU and Texas A&M are both 3-3 ATS this season.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 63.5 (-110) is my best bet in LSU-Texas A&M. First of all, the weather forecast predicts a rainy and slightly windy game which I think could affect the timing of each offense.

In Texas A&M senior QB Kellen Mond’s two games against LSU, he has only completed 42% of his passes and he threw 3 picks with zero touchdowns in last year’s meeting.

The year prior, Mond threw for a career-high 6 touchdowns in a seven overtime, 74-72 Texas A&M win, but only two of those touchdowns were in regulation.

Second, the Under is 7-2 in Tigers’ last 9 games as a road underdog and the Under is 5-1 in Aggies last 6 games as a favorite. GIMME UNDER 63.5 (-110) for 1.5 units.

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