LSU at Texas A&M odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s LSU at Texas A&M odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The 7th-ranked LSU Tigers (6-1, 3-0 SEC) meet the No. 14 Texas A&M Aggies (6-1, 4-0) in a Week 9 Saturday battle in College Station. Kickoff at Kyle Field will be at 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around LSU vs. Texas A&M odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

LSU won at Arkansas last Saturday. The Tigers downed the Razorbacks 34-10, covering as a 3-point favorite. The Louisiana State defense held UA to just 277 total yards, and the Tigers dominated in time of possession 38:53 to 21:07.

Texas A&M defeated Mississippi State 34-24 last Saturday. The Aggies were outgained 367 yards to 353 in failing to cover a 21-point spread.

Both teams enter on 6-game win streaks after losing their season openers.

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LSU at Texas A&M odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated 10:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: LSU -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Texas A&M -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): LSU +1 (-110) | Texas A&M -1 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 54.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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LSU at Texas A&M picks and predictions

Prediction

LSU 30, Texas A&M 27

Moneyline

LSU leads the all-time series 36-23-3. LSU’s dominance includes a 7-game win streak from 2011-17, but the last 6 meetings have netted a 3-3 split with the home team winning in all 6. LSU won last season’s contest in Baton Rouge 42-30, covering as a -10.5 favorite.

With A&M being outgained at Mississippi State last Saturday and with 2 other recent results (Sept. 21 vs. Bowling Green, Sept. 28 vs. Arkansas) being unimpressive, there are enough questions that point to the Aggies being vulnerable in this spot. And A&M’s run-1st attack does not get at an LSU deficiency in defending the pass.

The LSU defense is awful in allowing explosive run plays, but cranking out those types of runs are not a hallmark of the Aggies offense.

It all spells a game flow giving the Tigers a legit chance to win. They have already been steamed up from +115 to -105 Saturday morning. Stick with LSU -105.

Against the spread

The ML provides more value than a 1-point loss insurance policy.

PASS.

Over/Under

The Over has cashed in each of the last 3 Tigers-Aggies games.

Expect the visitors to play some high-volume ball, and look for plenty of passing — likely more than A&M wants — on a good-weather night at Kyle Field. Its reasonable to expect some dual-side havoc plays and short-field opportunities in the game flow, and the OVER 54.5 (-110) is a slight lean.

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LSU at Texas A&M odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s LSU Tigers at Texas A&M Aggies sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The LSU Tigers (3-3 overall, 3-3 SEC) visit the Texas A&M Aggies (5-1, 5-1) Saturday at 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the LSU-Texas A&M college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The Aggies are ranked No. 6 in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

LSU at Texas A&M: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 4:17 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: LSU +410 (bet $100 to win $410) | Texas A&M -556 (bet $556 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: LSU +14.5 (-106) | Texas A&M -14.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 63.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

LSU at Texas A&M: Three things to know

  1. Texas A&M won its last game, 48-3 at South Carolina way back on Nov. 7. The Aggies had their last 2 games canceled—Tennessee and Ole Miss—because of COVID-19 complications. Texas A&M will have roughly 25,000 fans inside of Kyle Field, which seats about 100,000.
  2. LSU won at Arkansas 27-24 last week. Freshman QB TJ Finley is 2-1 since being named LSU’s starter. He connected on 27 of 42 passes for 271 yards, 2 touchdowns and no interceptions against the Razorbacks.
  3. The Tigers trampled the Aggies 50-7 in last year’s meeting en route to a national title. LSU has owned Texas A&M since the Aggies joined the SEC in 2011, covering all 9 meetings and going 8-1 overall.

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LSU at Texas A&M: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Texas A&M 31, LSU 21

Money line (ML)

These money line prices mean it’s either dog or nothing for me. LSU (+410) has followed up wins with losses or vice versa every game this season and that’s partially due to its inconsistent rushing performances.

The Tigers have gained at least 148 rushing yards in each of their 3 wins, but those defenses aren’t half as stout against the run as Texas A&M. The Aggies are 10th in rushing yards allowed per game and 18th in yards allowed per rush.

No way I can back LSU with a freshman quarterback under center without a run game to help him out most likely. PASS ON THE MONEY LINE.

Against the spread (ATS)

I lean LSU +14.5 (-106) because the spread has been steamed up past an even 14 and Texas A&M could come out sluggish following its long layoff. According to Pregame.com, 71% of the money and 74% of the bets placed are on the Aggies. So, being on the same side as the House with an even number is appealing.

Considering everything I laid out in the money line section, it’s too tough to make LSU an official play. Also, both teams are equally inconsistent vs. bookmakers’ expectations; LSU and Texas A&M are both 3-3 ATS this season.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 63.5 (-110) is my best bet in LSU-Texas A&M. First of all, the weather forecast predicts a rainy and slightly windy game which I think could affect the timing of each offense.

In Texas A&M senior QB Kellen Mond’s two games against LSU, he has only completed 42% of his passes and he threw 3 picks with zero touchdowns in last year’s meeting.

The year prior, Mond threw for a career-high 6 touchdowns in a seven overtime, 74-72 Texas A&M win, but only two of those touchdowns were in regulation.

Second, the Under is 7-2 in Tigers’ last 9 games as a road underdog and the Under is 5-1 in Aggies last 6 games as a favorite. GIMME UNDER 63.5 (-110) for 1.5 units.

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