Previewing Saturday’s LSU at Ole Miss college football matchup, with NCAA football betting odds, picks and best bets
Fresh off a win over Alabama, the No. 1-ranked LSU Tigers (9-0, 5-0 SEC) will take on the Ole Miss Rebels (4-6, 2-4) in Oxford, Miss., on Saturday night. Kickoff from Vaught-Hemingway Stadium will be at 7 p.m. ET. We analyze the LSU-Ole Miss odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.
LSU at Ole Miss: Three things you need to know
1. The Tigers have beaten four teams ranked in the top 10 at the time in Texas, Florida, Auburn and Alabama. Still undefeated, they have the best resume in college football and are fourth in the country in scoring at 46.7 points per game.
2. LSU will, however, be without LT Saahdiq Charles (coach’s decision) on Saturday — the fifth time this season he will sit for that reason. RT Austin Deculus is a game-time decision with an undisclosed injury. He sounds unlikely to play.
3. Ole Miss RB Scottie Phillips is questionable to play due to an ankle injury. He’s the Rebels’ second-leading rusher this season, racking up 542 yards and 5 TDs.
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LSU at Ole Miss: Odds, betting lines and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 1 p.m. ET.
Prediction
LSU 35, Ole Miss 17
There’s very little doubt that the Tigers are going to win this one outright. That doesn’t necessarily mean you should touch the moneyline (-1250), though. A $10 bet on the LSU moneyline will only net you $0.80 — not worth the risk, in my mind.
Stay away from the moneyline in this one because of the lopsided nature of the matchup. Yes, LSU should win — and most likely will — but there’s such little upside that it’s not worth the risk.
The Tigers enter this game as 20.5-point favorites on the road. They looked dominant in the first half against Alabama and held on for the win, and that emotional victory could have some lingering effects on this one.
They’re 4-1 ATS against Ole Miss in their last five meetings, but the Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last six games this season, so they’ve done a good job of covering despite their 4-6 overall record. Take the points with OLE MISS (+20.5, +105).
It’s hard to see the Rebels scoring enough to push this game over 64.5 points, and LSU could be without both of their offensive tackles. The total has gone under in four of Ole Miss’ last five games, including each of the last three. The under is 2-1 in the Tigers’ last three games, too.
Bet the UNDER (-110). That total of 64.5 is too high.
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