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The Kansas City Royals (40-31) and Los Angeles Dodgers (43-28) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Saturday. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Dodgers lead 1-0
The Royals lost the series opener 4-3 Friday as the Dodgers broke a 3-3 tie with a run in the bottom of the 8th. It was their 5th loss in the last 6 games.
The Dodgers snapped a 2-game losing streak with the win Friday. They are 2-2 so far during their 6-game homestand.
Royals at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Seth Lugo vs. RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Lugo (9-2, 2.36 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 91 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 4-2 home loss to New York Yankees Monday
- 6.23 ERA in 2 June starts (13 IP)
Yamamoto (6-2, 3.00 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 72 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 2-1 road win over Yankees June 7
- 0.69 ERA in 2 June starts (13 IP)
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Royals at Dodgers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:18 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Royals +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Dodgers -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-125) | Dodgers -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Royals at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 4, Royals 2
Moneyline
The Royals have been underwhelming on the road this season at 15-17 and are 12-20 against teams with winning records, like the Dodgers (-225). They have lost 5 of their last 6 games overall.
The Dodgers are 23-14 at home and 14-8 against teams with winning records.
Both starting pitchers are having fantastic seasons, but Lugo has struggled in June, while Yamamoto has been fantastic.
I like the Dodgers to win the game and clinch the series, but a bet at -225 isn’t worth it.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
The Dodgers have allowed 3 or fewer runs in 4 straight games and 6 of their last 7 overall. Yamamoto has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 8 of 13 starts this season.
They have also scored 4 or fewer runs in 3 straight games, in 4 of 5, and 5 of 7.
But they consistently win by 2 or more runs when they win. In 9 of their last 11 wins, they’ve won by 2 or more, while 6 of the Royals’ last 8 losses have been by multiple runs.
Take the plus odds for the Dodgers to cover.
BET DODGERS -1.5 (+105).
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Over/Under
Three of the Royals’ last 5 games have had 7 or fewer runs.
Yamamoto’s last 3 outings have not reached 8 total runs.
Nine of Lugo’s 14 starts have not surpassed 8 total runs.
BET UNDER 8 (-115).
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