Tag: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets odds predictions pick betting line spread

Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (35-22) and New York Mets (22-32) meet Wednesday as they finalize a 3-game series. First pitch at Citi Field is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 3-2

Monday’s scheduled opener was rained out, and the 2 clubs played a Tuesday twin bill which was swept by the Dodgers, 3-0 and 5-2. Los Angeles heads into Wednesday’s finale looking to complete a series sweep and win the season series.

With Tuesday’s twin losses, the Mets are now 10 games under .500. That’s the season low-water mark for a squad which is now 1-7 in its last 8 games and just 4-14 since May 10.

Dodgers at Mets projected starters

LHP James Paxton vs. LHP David Peterson

Paxton (5-0, 3.49 ERA) is lined up for his 10th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 in 49 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 9-6 loss at Cincinnati Friday
  • Career vs. Mets: 2-1, 3.92 ERA (20.2 IP, 9 ER), 24 H, 5 BB, 19 K in 4 starts
  • Allowed 2 HR in his last start and has yielded 4 round-trippers in his last 10 2/3 IP
  • Owns a 5.17 ERA, 1.53 WHIP across his last 3 road starts; has registered a 5.08 road ERA over the last 2 seasons

Peterson is coming off the 6-day IL (hip) to make this start. He owns a 4.51 ERA over 333 career IP.

  • Logged a 1.14 ERA, 0.93 WHIP across 6 rehabilitation games at Triple-A
  • Has never faced the Dodgers

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Dodgers at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:04 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Mets +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+135) | Mets +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Dodgers 4

Moneyline

The Dodgers have lost 4 straight get-away games. The Mets have been underplaying their runs/runs allowed profile. Their 4.15 runs-per-game is tamped down by a .273 batting average on balls in play (.268 BABIP when leading off an inning).

New York is swung around to its lesser platoon splits when facing left-handers (.663 OPS) and Peterson’s return may not put the Mets’ best foot forward. Paxton’s surface numbers are suspect, and NEW YORK (+112) is worth some partial-unit action. That price is available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: The best relative value here is on the ML.

Over/Under

The Over has gone 17-7-1 in New York home games.

The pitching here is overall fade-worthy, and the forecast calls for a batter’s breeze blowing out. An overnight line move has taken some of the air out of this lean: consider a partial-unit play on the OVER 8.5 (-120).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (33-22) and New York Mets (22-30) meet for a Tuesday twin bill to open a 3-game series. The opening game’s first pitch from Citi Field is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 2-1

Los Angeles has lost 5 in a row and is just 7-9 since going 14-2 April 21-May 8. Over their last 16 games, the Dodgers have logged a pedestrian .635 OPS.

The Mets likely did not appreciate Monday’s Citi Field rain-out. They had won Sunday (4-3 over the San Francisco Giants), snapping a 5-game skid.

Dodgers at Mets projected starters

RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. RHP Tylor Megill

Glasnow (6-3, 3.09 ERA) makes his 12th start. He owns a 0.91 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 67 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 6-0 home setback vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday
  • 2024 vs. Mets: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (8 IP), 7 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 1 start, a 10-0 home win April 21
  • Career vs. Mets: 2-2, 3.75 ERA (36 IP, 15 ER), 29 H, 11 BB, 38 K in 5 starts and 3 relief appearances
  • Has authored a 1.44 ERA, 0.68 on the road; owns a 3.03 road ERA since 2022

Megill (0-2, 3.00 ERA) is making his 3rd start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 5.0 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 9 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 3-1 loss at Cleveland Guardians May 20
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 5.40 ERA (10 IP, 6 ER), 13 H, 5 BB, 10 K in 2 starts, including 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA (5 IP, 3 ER) in 1 start last season
  • Owns a 4.66 ERA across 272 1/3 career IP
  • Making his 2nd start since returning from IL (right shoulder strain)

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Dodgers at Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Mets +176 (bet $100 to win $176)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (-126) | Mets +1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

PASS: Look to leverage the underdog Mets on the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

The Dodgers have played a weak schedule so far, and that fits somewhat into the win-loss record of its opponents but more so into the batting and pitching breakdowns of those clubs. That overcolors L.A.’s run-scoring and run-prevention numbers. The Dodger bullpen has been especially fortunate in working through the lessened traffic of a .241 batting average on balls in play.

The pitching matchup clearly favors the Dodgers, but Megill pitched better in his IL return than what showed in his surface line.

Figure on a good enough chance of a Mets win or on the home nine staying close with the L.A. bats scuffling.

TAKE NEW YORK +1.5 (+105).

Over/Under

The Under has cashed in 5 of the Dodgers’ last 6 games at Citi Field.

There are crisscrossing signals in the analysis of this one. With the Dodgers struggling on offense, there is perhaps just a sliver of a lean toward the UNDER 8.5 (-115).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets, ppd.

Monday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets game was postponed due to a forecast of steady rain.

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Update 2:58 p.m. ET: Monday’s game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets has been postponed due to a forecast of steady rain. The game will be made up as part of a doubleheader Tuesday starting at 4:10 p.m. ET.

Original column below (published 12:18 a.m. ET)

The Los Angeles Dodgers (33-22) and New York Mets (22-30) begin a 3-game series Monday. First pitch from Citi Field is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 2-1

The Dodgers were swept in 3 over the weekend in Cincinnati and have lost 5 straight — all as favorites — as they head to the Big Apple. They lost 4-1 Sunday as -199 faves, being held scoreless until 1B Freddie Freeman’s RBI double in the 9th inning. RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto (5-2) suffered his 1st loss in his last 10 starts, allowing 4 runs on 6 hits and 2 walks over 5 innings — he struck out 8. Los Angeles has only scored 2 runs in the last 18 innings — and 4 runs in the last 25 innings.

New York snapped a 5-game losing streak with a 4-3 come-from-behind, walk-off victory Sunday as +100 home underdogs vs. the San Francisco Giants Sunday. C Omar Narváez capped a 3-run 9th inning with an RBI single, his 1st hit at Citi Field this season, snapping an 0-for-27 skid at home — he is 4-for-33 on the road. LHP Sean Manaea went 5 innings, allowing 2 runs on 5 hits and a walk in a no-decision. The Mets have lost 10 of their last 13 games.

Dodgers at Mets projected starters

RHP Gavin Stone vs. RHP Tylor Megill

Stone (4-2, 3.60 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 50 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 7-3 home setback vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Tuesday
  • Career vs. Mets: 1 start this season, no-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 5 BB, 1 K in 6-4 home loss April 20

Megill (0-2, 3.00 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 5.0 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 9 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER (3 R), 4 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 3-1 defeat at Cleveland Guardians May 20
  • Career vs Dodgers: 0-1, 5.40 ERA (10 IP, 6 ER), 1.80 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 2 starts

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Dodgers at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 12:17 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Mets +125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+110) | Mets +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 6, Dodgers 4

Moneyline.

BET METS (+125).

There is something not right in Dodgerland. They’re averaging just 2.2 runs per game (6.6 hits) over the current 5-game losing streak. Los Angeles faces a righty in Megill, and they’re only hitting .245 against right-handers this season, ranking 8th in the NL. Megill has allowed just 3 runs in 9 innings over his first 2 starts since returning to the Mets rotation.

The Mets aren’t playing much better, but they are scoring more than 4 runs per game over their last 5. The momentum is with New York after its thrilling 9th-inning rally Sunday against the Giants.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’ll keep my unit wager for the moneyline in this game.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-115).

In a 3-game series between these 2 teams earlier this season — April 19-21 at Dodger Stadium — the Over hit in all 3 games.

The Over is 3-1-1 in the Mets’ last 5 games, while it is 2-3 in the Dodgers’ last 5.

Expect to see some fireworks at Citi Field on Memorial Day.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (53-38) face the New York Mets (42-50) Sunday in the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Citi Field is at 5:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 3-2

Los Angeles took the first 2 games of this series. The Dodgers won 5-1 as slight +107 underdogs Saturday, and claimed a 6-0 shutout in Friday’s opener as -117 favorites.

Game 2 began as a pitchers’ duel — between L.A.’s RHP Tony Gonsolin and New York’s RHP Kodai Senga — but the Mets defense faltered late, allowing the Dodgers to score 4 runs in the final 2 innings.

New York was unable to turn a double play in the 8th inning when 1B Pete Alonzo threw high to 2nd base as L.A. scored for a 2-1 lead. In the 9th with runners on 2nd and 3rd and 1 out, Mets 3B Brett Baty misplayed a towering popup — the ball would hit Baty in the face after bouncing off the ground — as the Dodgers took a 3-1 lead. They followed with back-to-back RBI singles to put the game out of reach.

In the series opener, Dodgers LHP Julio Urias (6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 7 K) and 3 relievers stymied the Mets, holding them to 1 hit.

The Mets hope RHP Max Scherzer can prevent a sweep when he takes the mound Sunday.

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Dodgers at Mets projected starters

RHP Bobby Miller vs. RHP Max Scherzer

Miller (5-1, 4.50 ERA) makes his 9th start. The rookie has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 44 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in a 6-4 home win vs. Pittsburgh Pirates July 5
  • Road stats: 3-0, 2.16 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 3 starts
  • Dodgers are 6-2 in Miller’s 8 starts

Scherzer (8-3, 4.31 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 87 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 6-2 loss at San Diego Padres July 9
  • Allowing .228 batting average and .625 OPS at home vs. .262 and .808 on the road this season
  • After 3 scoreless innings and yielding just 1 hit vs. Mets April 19 at Dodger Stadium, was ejected before start of 4th inning for having too much of a “sticky substance” — his only outing vs. New York in last 2 seasons

Dodgers at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:36 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+155) | Mets +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 3, Dodgers 1

Moneyline

Scherzer has not lost a home start this season — he’s 2-0 with a 2.96 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 9 ER) in 5 starts. While the Mets didn’t win all those starts — they’re 3-2 — his .228 opponent batting average at Citi Field is impressive.

Looking to avoid a sweep, I like Scherzer to continue his home dominance and pitch New York to victory.

BET METS (-115).

Run line/Against the spread

While my prediction has New York winning, the Mets’ +1.5 line with -190 juice is too rich for my blood.

That’s a PASS, but consider making a small wager on the alternate line of METS 1.5 (+165).

However, be warned. Two of Scherzer’s 3 no-decisions at home this season were 1-run losses by the Mets.

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Over/Under

The Dodgers are the best Over team this year, hitting 59.3% of the time (51-35-5 according to Teamrankings.com), while the Mets are 3rd worst at 43.2% (38-50-4). So, this is a tough call.

As underdogs, the Dodgers are just 7-6-2 O/U.

Just like the 1st 2 games of this series, expect pitching to stand out. As mentioned, the Dodgers’ Miller has been solid on the road, which includes holding opponents to a .197 batting average.

Miller and Scherzer will make it tough to score in Sunday’s finale.

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (+100).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (90-39) and New York Mets (83-48) cap off a 3-game series at Citi Field Thursday with a 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: tied 3-3

Los Angeles and New York have split the first 2 games of this series in a low-scoring fashion. The Dodgers rank 1st in MLB, yielding just 3.14 runs per game. They have an average run differential of 2.22 per game; no other team clocks in at even 1.50.

New York has cooled off since getting out of the gates fast in the second half. The Mets went 15-5 in their first 20 games after the break; they are just 10-9 since. New York is, however, 4-2 on its current homestand.

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Dodgers at Mets projected starters

LHP Clayton Kershaw vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

Kershaw (7-3, 2.64 ERA) has posted a 0.98 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 85 1/3 IP across 15 starts.

  • Coming off the IL after missing nearly a month with a back injury; last pitched on Aug. 4
  • Has held current Mets bats to a whiff-heavy .514 OPS

Bassitt (11-7, 3.34 ERA) is making his 25th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 148 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed 4 runs in his last start but owns a 2.33 ERA over his last 7 turns
  • Has clocked a 2.75 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 85 IP at home

Dodgers at Mets odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:43 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Mets +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+122) | Mets +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Mets 3

Money line

The Dodgers are on a roll and the Mets have logged a mere .662 over their last 8 games.

Kershaw off the IL brings in some gray area, but the Los Angeles port-sider has a history of posting excellent numbers on long rest. He tossed approximately 70 pitches in a simulated game Sunday, so it figures the Dodger bullpen gets leveraged for multiple innings Thursday. That relief corps is well rested after LHP Tyler Anderson gave L.A. 7 frames Wednesday.

BACK THE DODGERS (-140).

Run line/Against the spread

This series has seen 2 straight 1-run games and the season series has seen 3 straight. With an Under lean Thursday, AVOID trying to get the Dodgers by with a multi-run cushion.

Over/Under

There is some Under lean here. Both on the batting front for both teams and with game conditions including late-afternoon shadows and a decent pitcher’s breeze coming in from left field.

However, the pricing here nixes any value: PASS.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (90-38) and New York Mets (82-48) continue a 3-game series at Citi Field Wednesday with a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Los Angeles leads 3-2

Los Angeles is 4-1 on a current road trip that opened with a 4-game set at the Miami Marlins and is 6-1 in its last 7 games overall The Dodgers’ 45-22 record away from home is MLB’s best road mark. L.A. became the first club to hit 90 wins this season with a 4-3 win over the Mets Tuesday.

New York has cooled off since getting out of the gates fast in the second half. The Mets went 15-5 in their first 20 games after the break; they are just 9-9 since.

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Dodgers at Mets projected starters

LHP Tyler Anderson vs. RHP Jacob deGrom

Anderson (13-2, 2.69 ERA) has appeared in 24 games this season and made 22 starts. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 140 2/3 IP.

  • Has filed an easy-schedule 2.08 ERA and 1.02 WHIP over his last 43 1/3 IP across 7 starts
  • Pitched 6 scoreless frames against the Mets June 3

DeGrom (3-1, 2.15 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.55 WHIP, 0.6 BB/9 and 14.1 K/9 through 29 1/3 IP.

  • Has walked 2 batters while striking out 30 over his last 4 starts
  • Owns a 1.49 ERA and 0.64 WHIP over his last 120 2/3 IP at Citi Field spanning 3 seasons

Dodgers at Mets odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:48 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Mets -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (-170) | Mets -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Dodgers 3

Money line

The Dodgers are clicking on all cylinders, and the Mets have logged a mere .659 over their last 7 games.

Los Angeles is a lean but only an actionable leverage play at +140 or better. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

Similar story as above: the Dodgers are a lean, but the pricing is dialed in here. PASS, unless the L.A. +1.5 reaches a price tag of -165 or better.

Over/Under

The best value in Wednesday’s game is the OVER 6.5 (-122).

Anderson is toting around a .258 batting average on balls in play. DeGrom’s BABIP is .226 (albeit around fewer balls in play due to his bat-missing stuff). Both sides have top-10 relief units, but they are bullpens that have been get-able in recent weeks.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (89-38) and New York Mets (82-47) swing into a 3-game series at Citi Field Tuesday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: tied 2-2

Los Angeles is 3-1 on a current road trip that opened with a 4-game set at the Miami Marlins. The Dodgers’ 44-22 (.667) record away from home is MLB’s best road mark. L.A. owns a 2.43 ERA over its last 3 road trips.

The Mets are 3-1 over their last 4 contests. New York has cooled off since getting out of the gates in the second half with a white-hot 15-5 mark and is 9-8 across its last 17 games.

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Dodgers at Mets projected starters

LHP Andrew Heaney vs. RHP Taijuan Walker

Heaney (2-1, 1.94 ERA) is tabbed for his 10th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 13.4 K/9 through 41 2/3 IP.

  • Averages just 78 pitches per start. Has gone 5 or more innings just once in his last 6 starts.
  • Owns a 4.61 ERA over his last 3 starts.

Walker (10-3, 3.38 ERA) has logged a 1.20 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 117 1/3 IP over 22 starts.

  • Owns a 2.77 ERA over his last 3 turns.
  • Has benefited from a .278 batting average on balls in play.

Dodgers at Mets odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:56 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Mets +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+115) | Mets +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Mets 4

Money line

The Dodgers are clicking on all cylinders. They’ve scored 8 or more runs in 3 of their last 5 games and are 4-1 across their last 5 mid-road-trip openers.

BACK LOS ANGELES (-145).

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Run line/Against the spread

Bettors wanting a higher return and willing to accept the run-margin risk might consider a DODGERS -1.5 (+115) play.

Over/Under

A humid night with a double-digit wind blowing out to left-center and some unsupported surface pitching numbers make for value on the OVER 8.5 (-120).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (71-46) go for a three-game sweep of the New York Mets (59-57) at Citi Field on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch is set for 7:08 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Dodgers vs. Mets with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Dodgers lead 2-0

The Dodgers won back-to-back, 10-inning affairs in the first two games of this series. CF Cody Bellinger’s RBI double was the difference in Saturday’s 2-1 victory. C Will Smith’s two-run homer did in the Mets in Friday’s 6-5 thriller.

To make matters worse for the Mets …

RHP Max Scherzer is projected to toe the hill Sunday in his third start for the Dodgers and his 22nd of the season. He is 9-4 with a 2.67 ERA (121 1/3 IP, 36 ER), 0.89 WHIP, 12.1 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 this season.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP (due to rain delay), 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 5-0 win at Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
  • 2021 with Dodgers: 1-0, 1.74 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 8 H, 1 BB, 16 K in two starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 12-5, 2.70 ERA (150 IP, 45 ER), 0.93 WHIP, 11.9 K/9 in 23 starts and one relief appearance

RHP Carlos Carrasco, who made his season debut July 30 following a recovery from a hamstring injury, is the projected starter for the Mets. He is 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 12 H, 2 BB, 9 K in three starts.

Dodgers at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Mets +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (-105) | Mets +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Dodgers 5, Mets 2

Money line (ML)

LOS ANGELES (-180) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. I usually don’t like laying this much juice, but I’m willing with Scherzer.

The three-time Cy Young Award winner has been a huge lift for L.A. since being acquired before the trade deadline. As mentioned above, he has posted a 1.74 ERA in his two Dodgers starts, and he has been solid against the Mets in his career.

He also should be well-rested after having his last start cut short because of a rain delay.

Plus, Carrasco has struggled in his 9 1/3 innings of work this season.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

AVOID. Both clubs have below .500 ATS records. The Dodgers are 56-61; the Mets are even worse at 49-67.

If you must bet the spread, the Mets +1.5 (-120) would be the way to go based on the extra-inning, one-run losses to the Dodgers the last two games.

I’ll PASS considering this pitching matchup.

Over/Under (O/U)

The lean is with Scherzer at Under 7.5 (+100) as he could pitch a gem, but New York’s Carrasco could get rocked.

That’s just too iffy. PASS.

O/U records: Dodgers 55-56-6 | Mets 49-59-5

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
SINCE JULY 8 12-8 4-4 +2.055
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (71-46) go for a three-game sweep of the New York Mets (59-57) at Citi Field on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch is set for 7:08 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Dodgers vs. Mets with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Dodgers lead 2-0

The Dodgers won back-to-back, 10-inning affairs in the first two games of this series. CF Cody Bellinger’s RBI double was the difference in Saturday’s 2-1 victory. C Will Smith’s two-run homer did in the Mets in Friday’s 6-5 thriller.

To make matters worse for the Mets …

RHP Max Scherzer is projected to toe the hill Sunday in his third start for the Dodgers and his 22nd of the season. He is 9-4 with a 2.67 ERA (121 1/3 IP, 36 ER), 0.89 WHIP, 12.1 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 this season.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP (due to rain delay), 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 5-0 win at Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
  • 2021 with Dodgers: 1-0, 1.74 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 8 H, 1 BB, 16 K in two starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 12-5, 2.70 ERA (150 IP, 45 ER), 0.93 WHIP, 11.9 K/9 in 23 starts and one relief appearance

RHP Carlos Carrasco, who made his season debut July 30 following a recovery from a hamstring injury, is the projected starter for the Mets. He is 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 12 H, 2 BB, 9 K in three starts.

Dodgers at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Mets +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (-105) | Mets +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Dodgers 5, Mets 2

Money line (ML)

LOS ANGELES (-180) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. I usually don’t like laying this much juice, but I’m willing with Scherzer.

The three-time Cy Young Award winner has been a huge lift for L.A. since being acquired before the trade deadline. As mentioned above, he has posted a 1.74 ERA in his two Dodgers starts, and he has been solid against the Mets in his career.

He also should be well-rested after having his last start cut short because of a rain delay.

Plus, Carrasco has struggled in his 9 1/3 innings of work this season.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

AVOID. Both clubs have below .500 ATS records. The Dodgers are 56-61; the Mets are even worse at 49-67.

If you must bet the spread, the Mets +1.5 (-120) would be the way to go based on the extra-inning, one-run losses to the Dodgers the last two games.

I’ll PASS considering this pitching matchup.

Over/Under (O/U)

The lean is with Scherzer at Under 7.5 (+100) as he could pitch a gem, but New York’s Carrasco could get rocked.

That’s just too iffy. PASS.

O/U records: Dodgers 55-56-6 | Mets 49-59-5

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
SINCE JULY 8 12-8 4-4 +2.055
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (59-55) host the Los Angeles Dodgers (69-46) Friday for the opener of a three-game series. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Dodgers vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

New York paused its freefall in the NL East standings by sweeping a three-game set with the Washington Nationals earlier this week but is just 8-12 in the last 20 games.

L.A. had a four-game win streak snapped Thursday with a 2-1 loss at the Philadelphia Phillies and is 7-3 over the last 10 games. The Dodgers still sit 5 games back of the San Francisco Giants in the NL West standings.

Season series: Tied 0-0.

LHP Julio Urias gets the nod for the Dodgers. Urias is 13-3 with a 3.41 ERA (134 2/3 IP, 51 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 23 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 3 BB and 5 K in a 5-3 victory over the Los Angeles Angels Saturday.
  • 2021 road splits: 10-2 with a 3.07 ERA (76 1/3 IP, 26 ER), 0.98 WHIP and 5.9 K/BB in 13 starts.

RHP Tylor Megill is New York’s projected starter. Megill is 1-2 with a 3.20 ERA (45 IP, 16 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in nine starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5-3, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 5 K at the Philadelphia Phillies Saturday.
  • 2021 home splits: 1-0 with a 1.85 ERA (24 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.03 WHIP and 3.2 K/BB in five starts.

Dodgers at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:03 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Mets +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+105) | Mets +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Prediction

Mets 4, Dodgers 3

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Mets because I like their run line price since both teams’ bullpen pitching is very good, Megill has pitched much better at home and the Mets are 36-20 in New York.

Compare Megill’s home starts written above against these road splits: 0-2 with a 4.79 ERA (20 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.26 WHIP and 6.3 K/BB in four starts.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the METS +1.5 (-130) for a half unit because New York is 8-4 ATS as a home underdog with a plus-1.9 run line margin and L.A. is just 28-29 ATS as a road favorite.

Also, there’s a “line freeze” in the Dodgers-Mets run line betting market since L.A. is getting a vast majority of the action but the odds haven’t budged much according to Pregame.com.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (-125) for a half unit because New York has played to the highest rate of Unders at home this year and the Mets have gone Under in Megill’s last four home starts.

Furthermore, there’s also a “line freeze” here with the market hammering the Over at nearly an 80% clip but the total hasn’t moved from the opener.

Also, Urias has elite-level stuff as he grades in the 90th percentile or better in chase rate, BB%, hard-hit rate and exit velocity. However, my hesitancy with this total is L.A.’s 14-7 O/U record in Urias starts.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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