Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (12-2) and San Diego Padres (9-6) continue  a three-game Petco Park series Saturday at 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Clayton Kershaw is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers. Over the last two years (2020-21), Kershaw is 8-3 with a 2.34 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 and 1.1 BB/9 in 77 IP. Current San Diego bats own a .624 OPS against the veteran Dodger hurler. Kershaw is coming off a six-shutout-inning performance against Washington April 11; he has allowed just 1 ER in 13 IP over his last 2 starts.

RHP Yu Darvish is the projected starter for the Padres. In 15 starts over the last two seasons, Darvish is 9-3 with a 2.21 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 and 1.6 BB/9 in 93 2/3 IP. The veteran righty owns a 3.06 ERA and 0.96 WHIP through his first three games as a Padre.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Dodgers at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:00 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Padres +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+145) |  Padres +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Padres 5, Dodgers 4

Money line (ML)

The Dodgers won Friday’s lid-lifter and have won seven straight. San Diego lost some mojo at the tail end of a road trip leading into this series, and that appeared to carry into Friday’s tilt.

Look for a bounce back from a Padres nine, which a year ago played .656 ball at home. In a tiny sample size (26 plate appearances), Dodger batters have a silly bad line against Darvish (.174 OPS, 57% K rate).

TAKE THE PADRES +100.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on trying the home side plus the run-and-a-half. The odds needed nix the value.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Dodger offense is clicking on all cylinders; the Padre attack figures to be much better than the numbers its cranking out on the surface (.750 OPS). San Diego’s offense has been hamstrung by an abysmal performance in high-leverage situations (.565 OPS with a .207 batting average on balls in play).

Both bullpens were aired out in Friday’s series opener, a 10-6 win for Los Angeles. The Over hit in that game and is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these Southern California neighbors.

TAKE THE OVER 7 (-115) on a strong lean.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (3-8) and Los Angeles Dodgers (9-2) play the second game of a three-game set Wednesday at 10:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Jon Gray is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He is 1-0 with a 1.54 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 and 3.9 BB/9 through 11 2/3 IP in his two starts this season. He allowed 1 earned run, 4 hits and a walk with 7 strikeouts across 5 innings in a no-decision against the Dodgers in his first start April 3.

RHP Dustin May is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers. He is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA, 0.67 WHIP, 12.0 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 through 6 IP in one start. He allowed just 2 hits and 2 walks with 8 strikeouts across 6 scoreless innings in a win over the Oakland Athletics April 5.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Rockies at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Dodgers -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (+115) | Dodgers -1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Rockies 1

Money line (ML)

The Dodgers (-275) will cost you nearly three times your potential return, and that’s not a good strategy betting heavy money lines over the long haul. While they cashed easily in Tuesday’s 7-0 win, eventually you’ll get stung.

Even though L.A. has won four in a row, and nine of its past 10, PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The DODGERS -2.5 (+120) are worth a small-unit play on the alternate run line again Wednesday. It’s rare to see 2.5-run lines, let alone bet it and cash, but it happened Tuesday.

They have won by 3 or more runs in each of their past three games, so take a chance again on L.A. on Hump Day.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 8 (-105) is the play in this one. The Under cashed Tuesday, as the Rockies were blanked, and the Under has hit in five of the past six games for the Dodgers.

The Under is also 4-0 in each of Colorado’s four road outings this season, and six in a row overall.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (3-7) and Los Angeles Dodgers (8-2) kick off a three-game set Tuesday at 10:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Antonio Senzatela is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He is 1-1 with a 5.56 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 4.0 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 in 11 1/3 IP in his two starts this season. He was hammered for 7 earned runs, 9 hits and 1 walk in just 3 1/3 innings in a loss against the Dodgers at Coors Field in his first start of the season.

RHP Trevor Bauer is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers. He is 1-0 with a 4.15 ERA, 0.69 WHIP, 13.8 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 through 13 IP spanning 2 starts. Bauer allowed 4 earned runs, 3 hits and 2 walks with 10 strikeouts in his Dodgers debut April 2 opposite Senzatela. He struck out 10 batters in each of his first two starts in Dodger Blue.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Rockies at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Dodgers -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +2.5 (-120) | Dodgers -2.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Rockies 2

Money line (ML)

The Dodgers (-350) will cost you three and a half times your potential return on the money line, and that’s a terrible long-term strategy.

Even though L.A. has won three straight games, and eight of its past nine, AVOID.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The DODGERS -2.5 (+100) are worth a small-unit play to win by 3 or more runs. They won by 3 or more in each of their past two games, and they won by 5 in Bauer’s first start against the Rockies.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 8 (-115) is worth a look with Bauer on the bump in his Dodger Stadium debut. The Under connected in four of the past five games for L.A., and six of its past eight, including Bauer’s last outing in Oakland April 7.

The Under connected in all three of Colorado’s road outings so far this season, five straight games overall and seven of the previous eight.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (1-4) close out their three-game set with the defending champion Los Angeles Dodgers (7-2) Sunday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

L.A. is going for the series sweep Sunday after winning 9-5 Saturday and 1-0 Friday.

Season series: Dodgers 2-0.

RHP Max Scherzer (0-0) makes his second start of the season for the Nationals. He took a no-decision Tuesday against the Atlanta Braves.

Scherzer pitched 6 innings, giving up 4 earned runs on 5 hits with 4 home runs allowed. He struck out 9 with no walks in Washington’s 6-5 win. Three of the four homers were hit by All-Stars RF Ronald Acuña Jr. and 1B Freddie Freeman.

LHP Clayton Kershaw takes the hill for the Dodgers in the series finale.

Kershaw got a win in his last outing at the Oakland Athletics. He went 7 innings while striking out 8 with no walks while allowing only 1 earned run on 4 hits in L.A.’s 5-1 victory.

  • 2021: 1-1 with a 4.26 ERA and 1.18 WHIP (12 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 14 H, 10 K, 1 BB) in 2 starts.
  • Career vs. Nationals: 12-3 with a 2.23 ERA (109 IP, 27 ER, 77 H, 126 K, 23 BB) in 17 appearances and 16 starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Dodgers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-140) | Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Nationals 4, Dodgers 2

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the NATIONALS (+145) for a quarter-unit because Scherzer is still an ace and has always pitched well against the Dodgers.

Since arriving in Washington, Scherzer is 3-1 with a 1.64 ERA (33 IP, 6 ER, 24 H, 51 K, 11 BB) in 5 starts. All three of those Scherzer victories were at Dodger Stadium.

Furthermore, the last time these teams met—the 2019 National League Division Series—Kershaw lost Game 2 and blew a save in L.A.’s Game 5 loss by giving up two home runs in the top of the eighth inning.

So, while the Dodgers are the king of the mountain, the starting pitching matchup favors the Nationals.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

According to Pregame.com, nearly 80% of the money wagered overnight has been on the Dodgers, but the Nationals have gotten cheaper on the run line, which could only mean bookmakers want more L.A. money.

Also, the Nationals have hit lefties really well since the beginning of last season; Washington is 11-6 vs. left-handed starters while ranked third in wRC+, OPS and wOBA vs. lefties.

BET NATIONALS +1.5 (-140) for a half-unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115) for a half-unit based on the obvious reasons. The past two World Series champions have two aces on the mound who aren’t too far removed from their primes.

Lastly, more money is on the Under while more bets have been placed on the Over.

The money column is considered the “sharp” side of the market whereas the “average joe” makes up the bets placed column. Typically, it’s more profitable in sports betting to follow the money and not the crowd of people.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (1-3) and Los Angeles Dodgers (6-2) continue their weekend set Saturday evening with a 9:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. Corbin started the season on the COVID-19 injured list but was cleared for action for this turn against the Dodgers. A year ago, Corbin went 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in 65 2/3 IP over 11 starts.

The Washington southpaw logged a 6.59 ERA over five road turns in 2020; his career road ERA of 4.41 is more than a run higher than his 3.32 home mark.

LHP Julio Urias is the projected starter for the Dodgers. He appeared in 11 games last season, going 3-0 with a 3.27 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 7.4 K/9, and 2.9 BB/9 over 55 IP. The 24-year-old lefty got his 2021 season off to a good start with a fine seven-inning outing at the Colorado Rockies April 4 (7 IP, 1 ER on 3 H).

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Nationals at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Dodgers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-140) | Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

The Nationals got off to a late start to the season due to COVID-19 protocols. Now, the team may be back but the offense is not. The Nats were blanked 1-0 in Friday’s series opener, and the game marked their second in a row without a run.

With players — including Corbin — starting to filter back into the lineup, Washington’s overall fitness and readiness level is an evolving situation. It’d be best to avoid full-unit plays on the Nats until things solidify a bit.

The slightest lean is on WASHINGTON (+150) in Saturday’s contest.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the run line. Taking an outright swing is the best play for a side here.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 7.5 (-110) is the strongest play in this contest. The Dodgers offense is cranked up, averaging 5.62 runs per game on the strength of an .865 OPS. The Nats offense is going to get better; the question is when?

A road contest against a lefty starter puts Washington in line with its best splits from last season.

A light hitter’s breeze in the forecast doesn’t hurt.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Los Angeles Dodgers at Oakland Athletics odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Oakland Athletics odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (5-1) take on the Oakland Athletics (0-6) Wednesday afternoon at 3:37 p.m. ET at RingCentral Coliseum. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Athletics odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Trevor Bauer gets the call for the Dodgers. A year ago with the Reds, he went 5-4 with a 1.73 ERA, 0.79 WHIP, 12.3 K/9, and 2.1 BB/9 in 73 IP over 11 starts to win the NL Cy Young award. Bauer allowed four earned runs in 6 1/3 IP in his Dodgers debut. He took a no-hitter into the seventh inning of that start.

LHP Jesus Luzardo is the projected starting pitcher for the Athletics. Last year Luzardo went 3-2 with a 4.12 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 9.0 K/9, and 2.6 BB/9 in 59 IP over 12 starts. He faced the Dodgers in a relief appearance last season, allowing 3R on 3H and 3 BB. Luzardo has been quite good over 10 career appearances at RingCentral Coliseum (.651 OPSA).

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Dodgers at Athletics odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Athletics +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+100) |  Athletics +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Athletics 4

Money line (ML)

Expect some regression in Bauer’s season numbers after a big free-agent year in 2020. Luzardo, on the other hand, is a nice sleeper candidate to take steps forward in 2021.

Oakland enters this game looking for its first win. In the early going, the Athletics have scored just 2.4 runs per game while allowing 9.0. Oakland has batted just .172/.267/.268 (.534), but those numbers are tamped down significantly by a .223 batting average on balls in play.

Look to leverage OAKLAND +135, and consider waiting out a better payout as game time approaches.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

These A’s went 22-10 at home last season. Look for Oakland to break through in a solid home effort Wednesday afternoon.

BACK THE ATHLETICS +1.5 (-120). Consider the run-line action as an undercard/insurance play paired with the above. And as with the ML action, a holdout for a better tag is suggested.

Over/Under (O/U)

The figure here is well-made. There are cross signals coming from both starting pitchers. The Coliseum is more of a hitter’s park in day games, and an outward breeze is in the offing for Wednesday.

PASS.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Los Angeles Dodgers at Oakland Athletics odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Oakland Athletics odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (4-1) play the second game of a three-game series with the Oakland Athletics (0-5) Tuesday at Oakland Coliseum. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Athletics odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Los Angeles got to Oakland RHP Frankie Montas early Monday, scoring 7 runs in Montas’ 2 2/3 innings on the mound in an easy 10-3 win. Dodgers starter RHP Dustin May was outstanding, striking out 8 A’s hitters in 6 scoreless innings.

Season series: Dodgers 1-0. 

Dodgers LHP Clayton Kershaw makes his second start of the year Tuesday. He is 0-1 after pitching 5 2/3 innings in which he surrendered 5 earned runs on 10 hits with only 2 strikeouts and 1 walk in an 8-5 Dodgers loss to the Colorado Rockies on Opening Day.

  • Career vs. Athletics: 0-0 with a 1.35 ERA, 0.94 WHIP and 7.8 K/9 in 4 starts.

RHP Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Athletics after an Opening Day loss to the Houston Astros. Bassitt gave up 3 earned runs on 4 hits with 3 strikeouts and 2 walks in 5 1/3 innings pitched vs. the Astros last week.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Dodgers at Athletics odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:35 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Athletics +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+105) |  Athletics +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Athletics 3, Dodgers 2

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “LEAN” toward Athletics (+135) because I’m on Oakland’s run line. Kershaw is typically a slow starter and Bassitt’s home splits are far better than his road splits.

April is Kershaw’s worst month of the season for winning percentage, ERA and WHIP throughout his career.

Bassitt’s ERA is almost two runs lower in Oakland compared to on the road and Bassitt has a 1.15 home WHIP vs. 1.41 WHIP in away games.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the ATHLETICS +1.5 (-125) for a half-unit for the reasons above plus the run-and-a-half worth of insurance.

Furthermore, bookmakers are making Oakland’s run line more expensive despite more than 90% of the money being on L.A.’s run line, according to Pregame.com.

That tells me the House is looking for more pro-Dodgers money and bookmakers making the less popular side more expensive is a red flag.

Over/Under (O/U)

Oakland’s path to victory Tuesday is most definitely a low-scoring game that it steals in the late innings.

Even though Kershaw usually takes time to warm up, A’s hitters struggle against lefties.

Oakland is 23rd in both OPS and wOBA and 19th in wRC+ vs. left-handed pitchers since the beginning of last season.

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115) for a half-unit.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Los Angeles Dodgers at Oakland Athletics odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Oakland Athletics odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (4-1) play the second game of a three-game series with the Oakland Athletics (0-5) Tuesday at Oakland Coliseum. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Athletics odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Los Angeles got to Oakland RHP Frankie Montas early Monday, scoring 7 runs in Montas’ 2 2/3 innings on the mound in an easy 10-3 win. Dodgers starter RHP Dustin May was outstanding, striking out 8 A’s hitters in 6 scoreless innings.

Season series: Dodgers 1-0. 

Dodgers LHP Clayton Kershaw makes his second start of the year Tuesday. He is 0-1 after pitching 5 2/3 innings in which he surrendered 5 earned runs on 10 hits with only 2 strikeouts and 1 walk in an 8-5 Dodgers loss to the Colorado Rockies on Opening Day.

  • Career vs. Athletics: 0-0 with a 1.35 ERA, 0.94 WHIP and 7.8 K/9 in 4 starts.

RHP Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Athletics after an Opening Day loss to the Houston Astros. Bassitt gave up 3 earned runs on 4 hits with 3 strikeouts and 2 walks in 5 1/3 innings pitched vs. the Astros last week.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Dodgers at Athletics odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:35 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Athletics +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+105) |  Athletics +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Athletics 3, Dodgers 2

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “LEAN” toward Athletics (+135) because I’m on Oakland’s run line. Kershaw is typically a slow starter and Bassitt’s home splits are far better than his road splits.

April is Kershaw’s worst month of the season for winning percentage, ERA and WHIP throughout his career.

Bassitt’s ERA is almost two runs lower in Oakland compared to on the road and Bassitt has a 1.15 home WHIP vs. 1.41 WHIP in away games.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the ATHLETICS +1.5 (-125) for a half-unit for the reasons above plus the run-and-a-half worth of insurance.

Furthermore, bookmakers are making Oakland’s run line more expensive despite more than 90% of the money being on L.A.’s run line, according to Pregame.com.

That tells me the House is looking for more pro-Dodgers money and bookmakers making the less popular side more expensive is a red flag.

Over/Under (O/U)

Oakland’s path to victory Tuesday is most definitely a low-scoring game that it steals in the late innings.

Even though Kershaw usually takes time to warm up, A’s hitters struggle against lefties.

Oakland is 23rd in both OPS and wOBA and 19th in wRC+ vs. left-handed pitchers since the beginning of last season.

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115) for a half-unit.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Oakland Athletics odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Oakland Athletics odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (3-1) meet the Oakland Athletics (0-4) for a SoCal-NoCal interleague series opener Monday at 9:40 p.m. ET at Oakland Coliseum. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Athletics odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Dustin May is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers. May went 3-1 with a 2.57 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 7.1 K/9, and 2.6 BB/9 in 56 IP over 10
starts and two relief appearances last season. The 6-foot-6 righty won a rotation spot in a Cactus League competition, fanning 17 batters in 13 2/3 IP.

RHP Frankie Montas is tabbed as the home starter. He went 3-5 with a 5.60 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, 10.2 K/9, and 3.9 BB/9 in 53 IP over 11 starts in 2020. Montas has been managing a cuticle tear on his right middle finger, so keep an eye on his status. Albeit in a small sample, the Athletics righty has been quite good in his home yards the last two years (.602 OPS allowed in 2020).

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Dodgers at Athletics odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:44 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Athletics +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+105) | Athletics +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -100 | U: -120)

Prediction

Athletics 5, Dodgers 4

Money line (ML)

Montas’ ERA through four starts each of the last three years (in order): 2.67, 2.70, 1.57. The 28-year-old right-hander is a solid sleeper candidate, fantasy and otherwise, and figures as a quality hurler if he can remain healthy.

May and the Dodgers figure to be getting too much attention with this tag.

A +130 would be more palatable, but OAKLAND +125 is a workable play.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

These two clubs were near the bottom of the pile in one-run games a year ago, but consider OAKLAND +1.5 (-130) as a partial-unit insurance play.

Over/Under (O/U)

The better parts of both bullpens are in decent shape. Both starters figure to be able to keep the ball down. The forecast calls for a batter’s breeze out to center, but the Coliseum tends to favor pitchers in night games.

A 9.5 O/U or an even price (-110) on the 9 would make for a lean on the Under. STEER CLEAR of the current tag.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (2-1) and Colorado Rockies (1-2) play the finale of a four-game series Sunday at Coors Field. First pitch is slated for 3:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Los Angeles beat Colorado last night in a seesaw late-inning battle decided by 2B Zach McKinstry‘s go-ahead inside-the-park homer in the top of the 8th to win 6-5 yesterday.

Season series: Dodgers 2-1.

LHP Julio Urias takes the mound in Game 4 for the Dodgers. Urias was 3-0 with a 3.27 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 in 55 IP across 11 appearances (10 starts).

  • 2020 vs. Rockies: 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA (10 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 8 K, 2 BB) in 2 starts.
  • 2021 Spring Training: 3-1 with a 1.69 ERA (16 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 12 K, 3 BB) in 5 starts.

LHP Austin Gomber makes his season debut for the Rockies. The 27-year-old debuted in the majors in 2018, but he missed the 2019 season. Gomber was 1-1 with a 1.86 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 and 4.7 BB/9 in 14 appearances (4 starts).

He spent his first two big-league seasons playing for the St. Louis Cardinals.

  • Career vs. Dodgers: 0-1 with a 10.13 ERA (8 IP, 9 ER, 14 H, 7 K, 5 BB) in 2 starts.
  • 2021 Spring Training: 0-1 with a 3.20 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 18 H, 19 K and 2 BB) in 6 starts.

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Dodgers at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Rockies +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -2.5 (-115) | Rockies +2.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 11.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Rockies 8, Dodgers 6

Money line (ML)

There might be added value in fading the Dodgers and Urias here because the last thing people remember about the lefty was him dealing in Los Angeles’ title run last season.

Urias had an above-average fly ball rate last year which could be a problem in the launching pad known as Coors Field. In fact, Urias’ career 5.77 ERA vs. the Rockies is 3.65 earned runs higher than any other National League West opponent.

At Coors Field, Urias is 0-1 with a 6.55 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 6 games and 4 starts for his career.

That being said, I only “LEAN” ROCKIES (+190) for a quarter-unit because Colorado’s run line is more enticing.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Let’s buy insurance with the ROCKIES +2.5 (-105) for 1 unit.

The market started betting Colorado’s run line when this game opened Saturday and early line movement is usually “sharp” money in MLB regular-season betting.

I’d only put .75 units on Colorado’s run line because fading the mighty Dodgers is probably a losing strategy in the long-term and I prefer the total more than the sides in this game.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET FIRST 5 INNINGS OVER 6.5 (-105) for 1 unit based on my read that the Rockies lineup could chase Urias given his struggles historically at Coors Field. If that happens, it’ll “force” Los Angeles to rely on a bullpen that was 2nd in ERA last season.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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