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The Los Angeles Dodgers (81-54) face the Arizona Diamondbacks (76-59) on the road Saturday night for the 2nd game of their 4-game series in Phoenix. First pitch from Chase Field is at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 5-5.
The Dodgers won the opener Friday 10-9, as they survived Arizona’s 4-run rally in the bottom of the 9th. They have won 3 straight games and 9 of their last 11. They lead the NL West by 5 games over Arizona and San Diego.
The Diamondbacks have lost 3 of their last 4 games but won 6 games in a row before that. They are tied with San Diego for the Wild Card lead in the NL.
Dodgers at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP Gavin Stone vs. RHP Merrill Kelly
Stone (11-5, 3.33 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 135 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 3-1 home win over Tampa Bay Rays Sunday
- Had a no-decision in 12-4 home loss to Arizona July 3, allowing 4 ER and 7 H in 3 IP
- Allowed on 2 ER in last 3 combined starts (19 IP)
- 0-1 with 8.00 career ERA in 2 starts vs. Arizona
Kelly (4-0, 3.98 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 40 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 7-5 road win over Boston Red Sox Sunday
- 2-0 with 6.75 ERA in 3 starts since returning from injured list
- 0-11 with 5.49 ERA in 16 career starts vs. Dodgers
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Dodgers at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:25 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+125) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Dodgers at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 7, Dodgers 6
Moneyline
The Dodgers have not won consecutive games in a series against Arizona this season.
The Diamondbacks have not lost consecutive games in a home series since dropping 2 in a row to the Atlanta Braves July 8-9.
And while Kelly has not had success against the Dodgers in his career, Stone has not been great in 2 career starts against Arizona.
And since 7 of the 10 games between the 2 teams this season have had 10 or more total runs, expect a bit of a slugfest.
BET DIAMONDBACKS (+110).
Run line/Against the spread
The Diamondbacks are 10-7 ATS as home underdogs this season but 16 of their last 17 covers have been outright wins. Friday’s cover in a loss was the first such cover in a loss since July 8.
And since their covers are typically outright wins, choosing to bet the -155 odds to cover over the +110 moneyline bet for them to win isn’t a good value play.
PASS.
Over/Under
Seven of the 10 games between the 2 teams have had at least 10 total runs.
Six of Arizona’s last 8 games and 5 of the Dodgers’ last 8 games overall have reached double digits in runs.
BET OVER 9 (-120).
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