Los Angeles Clippers at New Orleans Pelicans odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Monday’s Los Angeles Clippers at New Orleans Pelicans NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Los Angeles Clippers (43-19) are in the Big Easy Monday for an 8 p.m. ET game against the host New Orleans Pelicans (26-34) at Smoothie King Center. Below, we analyze the Clippers-Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

L.A., has won four games in a row and 11 of its last 12. The Clippers are also on an 8-3-1 against the spread (ATS) run over those 12 games. The hot streak has come despite SF Kawhi Leonard and SG Paul George both missing games with Leonard sidelined for the last three.

NOLA lost five of its last six games and went 1-5 ATS, including a 110-108 loss to the San Antonio Spurs as 3-point home favorites Saturday. The Pelicans’ playoff hopes are fleeting as they are 4.5 games behind the 10th-seeded Golden State Warriors for the final spot in the postseason play-in tournament.

This the Clippers-Pelicans rubber match as the home team won each of the first two regular-season meetings. Both Leonard and George played in each of the first two meetings.

Clippers at Pelicans: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:05 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Clippers -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Pelicans +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Clippers -2 (-115) | Pelicans +2 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Clippers at Pelicans: Key injuries

Clippers

  • PG Rajon Rondo (wrist) questionable
  • PG Patrick Beverley (hand) out
  • SF Kawhi Leonard (foot) out
  • PF Serge Ibaka (back) out
  • SG Luke Kennard (rest) out

Pelicans

  • Steven Adams (toe) questionable
  • SG Nickeil Alexander-Walker (ankle) out
  • SF James Johnson (groin) questionable
  • SG Josh Hart (thumb) out

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Clippers at Pelicans: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Pelicans 119, Clippers 116

Money line (ML)

PASS because I slightly “lean” to New Orleans plus the points but I don’t have a strong enough read of the sides’ market in Clippers-Pelicans.

This young NOLA team doesn’t have the know-how to win games it should and L.A., keeps beating teams regardless of who’s missing from their starting lineup.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the PELICANS +2 (-105) for a half unit because NOLA is 8-4 ATS as a home underdog and is at the point where every game is a “must-win”.

Furthermore, we are getting “reverse line movement”, which is always a red flag when betting on sports. Nearly 95% of the money wagered is on the Clippers but they’ve been steamed down from 3.5-point opening favorites, according to Pregame.com.

“Reverse line movement” is when the bookmakers make the more popular side cheaper and sometimes suggests which side the House prefers.

Over/Under (O/U)

For me, there’s value on the Over because the absence of Kawhi has caused an over adjustment to the total from one Clippers-Pelicans game to the next.

Obviously, Leonard is one of the best players on both ends of the floor, but the Pelicans have one of the worst defenses in the Association and his absence could lead to more 3-point attempts from the Clippers.

That’s bad news for a Pelicans team with the third-worst 3-point defense trying to guard a Clippers squad with a league-best 41.9% rate from beyond the 3-point arc.

BET OVER 227.5 (-110) for three-fourths of a unit.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Los Angeles Clippers at New Orleans Pelicans odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Los Angeles Clippers at New Orleans Pelicans NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Los Angeles Clippers (25-14) visit the New Orleans Pelicans (16-22) Sunday at Smoothie King Center for a 9 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Clippers-Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Clippers at Pelicans: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Clippers -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Pelicans +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Clippers -5.5 (-110) | Pelicans +5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 232.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Clippers at Pelicans: Key injuries

Clippers

  • PG Patrick Beverley (knee) out

Pelicans

  • SG J.J. Reddick (heel) out

Special NBA Betting Promotion!

Place a $1 bet on either team’s money line, WIN an additional $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a 3-pointer during the game today. Promotion available in CO, IN, MI, NJ, TN, VA and WV. IA and PA residents, don’t miss BetMGM‘s risk-free, first-bet offer!

Place your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Clippers at Pelicans: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Clippers 122, Pelicans 114

Money line (ML)

PASS because LA is the right side in this one, but Clippers (-225) is far too expensive for an NBA regular-season favorite.

On the other hand, I’ll listen to a money line parlay with LA and the Philadelphia 76ers for a roughly plus-150-payout.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Both teams have the same win-loss and ATS records in the last six games (2-4 overall and ATS), but the CLIPPERS -5.5 (-110) are poised to go on a post-All-Star break tear.

LA crushed the Golden State Warriors 130-104 at home Thursday, and New Orleans beat the Cleveland Cavaliers 116-82 Friday. It’s obvious which win was more impressive.

It’s more of lean than a like because I prefer the total more than the sides in this game, but if you must, BET CLIPPERS -5.5 (-110) for a half-unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 232.5 (-110) is the best play in Clippers-Pelicans for a variety of reasons.

First, according to Pregame.com, nearly 80% of the money is on the Over, which has steamed this number down from the 236-point.

But, that feels more like a robotic/sharp play rather than anything basketball-related so I’m fine with fading the market in this spot.

Second, the absence of Clippers guard Patrick Beverley leaves LA’s defense vulnerable. According to CleaningTheGlass.com, Pat Bev is in the 97th percentile of guards in terms of on-off rating for team defensive points per 100 possessions.

Third, the Pelicans attempt the 2nd-highest volume of shots at the rim while the Clippers are 20th in defensive field goal percentage of shots at the rim (CleaningTheGlass.com) and 22nd in paint points per game allowed.

Finally, LA shots an absurd, NBA-high 42% from 3-point land while New Orleans has the 3rd-worst defensive 3-point shooting percentage and allows the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game.

Wait until closer to tip-off before wagering on this in case any of the All-Stars for either team sits out and to perhaps get a better price since the market is betting the Under.

Otherwise, BET OVER 232.5 (-110) for 1.25 units.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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