Los Angeles Clippers at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Los Angeles Clippers at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Clippers (14-12) take a trip to South Beach to visit the Miami Heat (11-14) Thursday. Tip-off from FTX Arena is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Clippers vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Clippers had a tough OT loss Wednesday night to the Orlando Magic after being up 18 points during the game and losing 116-111 as 6.5-point favorites. When they got the lead the Clippers got careless and had 17 turnovers. In OT, they allowing rookie F Paolo Banchero to score 10 of his 23 points.

The Heat are on a 2-game losing streak after Tuesday’s 116-96 blowout loss to the Detroit Pistons as a 7.5-point favorite. Poor team shooting proved fatal for the Heat — 42% from the field and 31% on 3s. Coupled with an inability to stop the Pistons, which is rare for this top-5 defense, and you have a formula for failure. The Heat allowed the Pistons to shoot 49% from the floor and 46% on 3s.

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Clippers at Heat odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:49 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Clippers +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Heat -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Clippers +5.5 (-105) | Heat -5.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Clippers at Heat key injuries

Clippers

  • Not yet submitted

Heat

  • Jimmy Butler (knee) questionable
  • Dewayne Dedmond (foot) questionable
  • Tyler Herro (ankle) probable
  • Nikola Jovic (foot) probable
  • Victor Oladipo (knee) questionable
  • Duncan Robinson (probable) ankle
  • Max Strus (shoulder) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Clippers at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Clippers 101, Heat 99

Moneyline

LEAN CLIPPERS +190.

Neither of these teams is great, but the Heat are a worse team than the Clippers. With all of the uncertainty pertaining to injuries for both sides there is no very safe moneyline option, but if you like the moneyline then lean toward the underdog here. The Clippers and Heat have both underperformed but expect the Clippers to win this battle, especially if F Kawhi Leonard plays.

Against the spread

BET CLIPPERS +5.5 (-105).

No matter who wins this game this will be your best bet. These teams have 2 of the worst point differentials in the all of the NBA, with the Clippers at -1.7 and the Heat at -1.8. Both of these teams lose a good amount of games and when they do so it is often a close game. Neither team has shown the consistency ability to pull away when leading, but neither team will be blown out often either.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 213.5 (-110).

The Heat and the Clippers have 2 of the 3 worst offenses in the NBA in  terms of points scored — the Clippers at a league worst 107.3 PPG and the Heat 28th at 108.3 PPG. Couple that with both teams having top-10 defenses and you have the perfect formula for a low-scoring game. Both teams are banged up and will be without key players. Feel safe betting the under here.

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Los Angeles Clippers at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Clippers at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Clippers (25-25) head to South Beach Friday to play the Miami Heat (31-17) at the FTX Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Clippers vs. Heat odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

This is the Clippers’ sixth game of an eight-game road swing. They are 3-2 straight-up (SU) and 4-1 against the spread (ATS) through the first five games. L.A. has won back-to-back games, which includes a rally from a 35-point deficit to stun Washington Tuesday.

Miami blasted the New York Knicks 110-96 Wednesday, improving to 8-2 SU/ATS over the past 10 games. The Heat are 17-5 SU and 14-8 ATS at home.

The Clippers (-5) came back from a 15-point, first-quarter deficit to beat the Heat 112-109 in their first meeting this season (Nov. 11). Also, the Over cashed on a 211.5-point total.

Also seeBet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA January 28 breakdown

Clippers at Heat odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Clippers +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Heat -340 (bet $340 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Clippers +7.5 (-122) | Heat -7.5 (-102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 210.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Clippers at Heat key injuries

Clippers

  • SG Paul George (elbow) out
  • SF Marcus Morris (personal) out

Heat

  • SF Jimmy Butler (toe) questionable
  • PG Kyle Lowry (personal) out
  • PF Morris Markief (return to competition reconditioning) out

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Clippers at Heat odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 113, Clippers 102

Money line

PASS.

Miami is obviously the correct side but the Heat’s -340 ML is way out of my price range for an NBA regular-season favorite. Miami’s ML is expensive because Butler is listed as “questionable.”

Against the spread

BET the HEAT -7.5 (-102).

Miami should win by double digits if Butler plays. If he sits, the Heat could still win by double digits. The reason is the Heat have two “strength-on-weakness” edges over L.A. on the glass and with ball security.

The Heat are fifth in both offensive-rebounding rate and defensive-turnover rate (TOV%). The Clippers are 29th in defensive-rebounding rate and 23rd in offensive TOV%.

Miami scores above-average points off of turnovers and second-chance points per game (PPG). L.A.’s defense ranks in the bottom 10 of the NBA in points off of turnovers and second-chance PPG allowed.

The Heat should be motivated to snap the six-game losing streak to the Clippers (Miami is 5-1 ATS in those games). In fact, Miami hasn’t beaten L.A. since acquiring Butler prior to the 2019-20 season.

Butler missed the first Clippers-Heat meeting this season, whereas L.A.’s now-injured George scored a team-high 27 points.

Finally, the Clippers struggle against quality competition and the Heat don’t. L.A. is 8-10 ATS versus teams above-.500, while Miami is 15-6 ATS and 7-2 ATS at home versus teams above-.500.

BET the HEAT -7.5 (-102). 

Over/Under

SLIGHT LEAN to the OVER 210.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit.

Miami is third in true-shooting percentage but is 28th in 3-point attempts per game allowed. L.A. is eighth in 3-point shooting percentage.

Also, the Clippers have been red-hot shooting 3’s lately, hitting 39.3% from behind the arc over the past eight games. For a perspective on that stat, the Chicago Bulls lead the NBA in 3-point percentage at 37.8%.

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