Los Angeles Clippers vs. Golden State Warriors predictions pick betting line spread

Los Angeles Clippers at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Los Angeles Clippers at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Clippers (33-31) take on the Golden State Warriors (32-30) Thursday at Chase Center. Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Clippers vs. Warriors odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Clippers were unable to cover as 6.5-point home favorites against the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday. Los Angeles is currently on a 3-game losing streak.

The Warriors beat the Portland Trail Blazers 123-105 as 5-point home favorites on Tuesday. Golden State is amid a 3-game winning streak and all 3 of those games were at home.

The Clippers and the Warriors meet for the 3rd time this season. The teams split the 1st 2 meetings and the Over connected in both contests.

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Clippers at Warriors odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:14 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Clippers -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Warriors +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
Against the spread (ATS): Clippers -3.5 (-112) | Warriors +3.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 231.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Clippers at Warriors key injuries

Clippers

None

Warriors

G Stephen Curry (leg) out
G Jordan Poole (knee) probable
F Andrew Wiggins (personal) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Clippers at Warriors picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 119, Clippers 116

Moneyline

With Golden State being 25-7 at home, the WARRIORS (+145) are the pick in this game. The home team has won 4 straight meetings and 7 of the last 10 meetings.

Against the spread

BET WARRIORS +3.5 (-108).

If you don’t want to take the Warriors’ moneyline, then taking the spread is somewhat safer. Golden State is 4-0 as home underdogs this season and the Warriors have been playing better recently despite not having Curry available.

Over/Under

The Over hit in the 1st 2 meetings this season and I expect the OVER 231.5 (-112) to connect again on Thursday. This is a pace-up game for the Clippers as the Warriors play at the fastest pace in the NBA.

Los Angeles is also 4-1 to the Over in its last 5 games overall.

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Los Angeles Clippers at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Los Angeles Clippers at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Clippers (34-32) head to the Bay Area to meet the Golden State Warriors (43-22) Tuesday. Tip-off at Chase Center is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Clippers vs. Warriors odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

L.A. had its five-game win streak (4-1 against the spread (ATS)) snapped Sunday by the New York Knicks after getting crushed 116-93 at home as a 5.5-point favorite.

Golden State enters on a five-game losing skid (1-4 ATS) with the most recent being a 131-124 loss Monday at the Denver Nuggets. However, the Warriors were without G Steph Curry and G Klay Thompson and still covered as 8-point road underdogs.

The Warriors are 2-1 straight up (SU) but just 1-2 ATS versus the Clippers this season and the total is 1-2 Over/Under (O/U).

Clippers at Warriors odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Clippers +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Warriors -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Clippers +5.5 (-108) | Warriors -5.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Clippers at Warriors key injuries

Clippers

None

Warriors (not officially submitted)

PF Draymond Green (back) out

[tipico]

Clippers at Warriors odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Clippers 112, Warriors 107

Money line

Slight “LEAN” to the CLIPPERS (+190) for a tiny wager — if at all — because I much prefer L.A.’s spread since the Warriors have a lot more talent but the Clippers have performed much better in tight games than the Warriors.

L.A. is 20-13 SU in the “clutch” with the second-best net rating (plus-15.6) while Golden State is 20-14 SU but 12th in net rating (plus-1.7). “Clutch” is defined by games within a 5-point margin inside of five minutes to play.

Again, go LIGHT on the CLIPPERS (+190) if you take the road underdog since L.A. plus the points is a much sharper play.

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Against the spread

Definitely BET the CLIPPERS +5.5 (-108) instead of or heavier than their money line because L.A. appears to be the sharp side and is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings with the Warriors.

More than 60% of the bets placed are on Golden State but roughly two-thirds of the cash is on L.A according to VegasInsider.com. It’s typically profitable to follow the money when it’s flowing in the opposite direction as the public.

The Warriors are also a team I’m looking to fade as long as Green is sidelined with an injury. Green’s absence affects Golden State on both ends of the floor and he’s in the 81st percentile of forwards in adjusted on/off net rating, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Furthermore, the Clippers have a plus-1.1 ATS margin in road games versus teams in the top-10 of net efficiency (ranked seventh) per CTG, 6-3 ATS when being spotted 5-7 points and 9-5 ATS on the road versus teams with a winning record.

The CLIPPERS +5.5 (-108) is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

PASS with a “lean” towards the Under 222.5 (-107) because both teams are in the bottom 10 of free-throw attempt rate and the officiating crew assigned to this game has a combined 57-76 O/U record.

However, Golden State has allowed at least 122 points in each of its last four games and L.A. is fourth in 3-point percentage so we could see a back-and-forth 3-point shootout.

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