The Los Angeles Clippers (34-32) head to the Bay Area to meet the Golden State Warriors (43-22) Tuesday. Tip-off at Chase Center is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Clippers vs. Warriors odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
L.A. had its five-game win streak (4-1 against the spread (ATS)) snapped Sunday by the New York Knicks after getting crushed 116-93 at home as a 5.5-point favorite.
Golden State enters on a five-game losing skid (1-4 ATS) with the most recent being a 131-124 loss Monday at the Denver Nuggets. However, the Warriors were without G Steph Curry and G Klay Thompson and still covered as 8-point road underdogs.
The Warriors are 2-1 straight up (SU) but just 1-2 ATS versus the Clippers this season and the total is 1-2 Over/Under (O/U).
Clippers at Warriors odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Clippers +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Warriors -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Clippers +5.5 (-108) | Warriors -5.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
Clippers at Warriors key injuries
Clippers
- None
Warriors (not officially submitted)
- PF Draymond Green (back) out
[tipico]
Clippers at Warriors odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Clippers 112, Warriors 107
Money line
Slight “LEAN” to the CLIPPERS (+190) for a tiny wager — if at all — because I much prefer L.A.’s spread since the Warriors have a lot more talent but the Clippers have performed much better in tight games than the Warriors.
L.A. is 20-13 SU in the “clutch” with the second-best net rating (plus-15.6) while Golden State is 20-14 SU but 12th in net rating (plus-1.7). “Clutch” is defined by games within a 5-point margin inside of five minutes to play.
Again, go LIGHT on the CLIPPERS (+190) if you take the road underdog since L.A. plus the points is a much sharper play.
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Against the spread
Definitely BET the CLIPPERS +5.5 (-108) instead of or heavier than their money line because L.A. appears to be the sharp side and is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings with the Warriors.
More than 60% of the bets placed are on Golden State but roughly two-thirds of the cash is on L.A according to VegasInsider.com. It’s typically profitable to follow the money when it’s flowing in the opposite direction as the public.
The Warriors are also a team I’m looking to fade as long as Green is sidelined with an injury. Green’s absence affects Golden State on both ends of the floor and he’s in the 81st percentile of forwards in adjusted on/off net rating, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).
Furthermore, the Clippers have a plus-1.1 ATS margin in road games versus teams in the top-10 of net efficiency (ranked seventh) per CTG, 6-3 ATS when being spotted 5-7 points and 9-5 ATS on the road versus teams with a winning record.
The CLIPPERS +5.5 (-108) is my favorite wager in this game.
Over/Under
PASS with a “lean” towards the Under 222.5 (-107) because both teams are in the bottom 10 of free-throw attempt rate and the officiating crew assigned to this game has a combined 57-76 O/U record.
However, Golden State has allowed at least 122 points in each of its last four games and L.A. is fourth in 3-point percentage so we could see a back-and-forth 3-point shootout.
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