Tag: Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros odds predictions pick betting line spread

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Angels (62-90) and the Houston Astros (82-70) open a 4-game series on Thursday. First pitch from Minute Mark Park is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Angels vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 6-3

The Angels recovered from a series-opening 8-4 loss to the Chicago White Sox on Monday, taking the past 2 games by a combined score of 9-3. The Under cashed in both of those victories, and the total has gone low at a 4-2 clip in the past 6 outings.

The Astros dropped 2 of 3 games in San Diego Monday through Wednesday, but they were able to grab the 3-game sweep of the Halos in Anaheim last weekend. All 3 victories were by 2 runs apiece. The Under has cashed in 5 of the past 6 outings.

Angels at Astros projected starters

LHP Jose Suarez vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi

Suarez (1-2, 6.80 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 21st appearance. He has a 1.70 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 42 1/3 IP.

  • Last appearance: 4 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 5 K in a 55-pitch relief appearance vs. Astros Friday
  • Last start: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 3 K in 9-4 road setback vs. Arizona Diamondbacks June 11
  • 2024 road splits: 1-2, 6.41 ERA, 19 2/3 IP, 14 ER, 3 HR, 1.58 WHIP, .247 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 13 BB, 22 K in 1 start (10 appearances)
  • Career vs. Astros: 3-3, 4.20 ERA, 40 2/3 IP, 19 ER, 4 HR, 1.53 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 in 11 appearances (7 starts)

Kikuchi (9-9, 4.29 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 163 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 3 ER, 3 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 6 K in 5-3 road victory vs. Angels Friday
  • 2024 home splits: 4-7, 4.30 ERA, 92 IP, 44 ER, 14 HR, 1.16 WHIP, .248 OBA, 19 BB, 108 K in 16 starts
  • Last 7 games: 5-0, 3.19 ERA, 42 1/3 IP, 15 ER, 30 H, 8 BB, 48 K, 0.92 WHIP
  • Career vs. Angels: 2-4, 9.12 ERA, 49 1/3 IP, 50 ER, 18 HR, 18 BB, 48 K, 1.97 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 12 appearances (10 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Angels at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:33 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Angels +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Astros -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (+105) | Astros -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Angels at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 6, Angels 4

Moneyline

The Astros (-275) will set you back nearly 3 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward. Even as part of a multi-leg parlay, including Houston sucks all of the value out of your ticket.

Plus, Houston is risky against the southpaw Suarez, as the Astros are just 21-21 against left-handed starting pitchers, while the Angels are 14-18 vs. LHP this season.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The ASTROS -1.5 (-125) are a little more affordable on the run line. These teams just played in Anaheim over the weekend, with Houston not only winning each of the 3 games, but each by exactly 2 runs apiece. That includes a 5-3 win with Kikuchi on the bump Sept. 13.

If you like Houston, you should like it to get the job done by 2 or more runs at home. Just don’t get too carried away.

Over/Under

OVER 8 (-115) is worth a look in this series opener.

The Under is 5-1 in the past 6 games for the Astros, but all of those outings were on the road. The Over is 6-1 in the previous 7 games at Minute Maid Park.

For the Halos, the Over has cashed at a 4-0-1 pace in the past 5 games on the road. The Over hit in 2 of 3 games in the 1st series in Houston back on May 20-22, too.

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Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Angels (58-60) and Houston Astros (68-50) close out a 3-game set at Minute Maid Park Sunday. First pitch is at 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 9-3

The Angels have dropped the first 2 games of the series by back-to-back 11-3 scores as they continue to tailspin. Los Angeles is 2-8 over its last 10 games and has fallen 12 1/2 games out in the AL West and 6 1/2 out of an AL Wild Card spot.

Meanwhile, Houston has pulled within 2 1/2 games of the Texas Rangers in the AL West. The Astros are up 3 1/2 games on Toronto for the 2nd AL Wild Card spot and are 7-3 over the last 10.

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Angels at Astros projected starters

RHP Chase Silseth vs. RHP Jose Urquidy

Silseth (3-1, 3.72 ERA) makes his 5th start and 13th appearance. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 36 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 12 K last Sunday vs. Seattle Mariners
  • 2023 as a starter: 2-1, 3.43 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 13.3 K/9 across 4 starts

Urquidy (2-2, 6.10 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.58 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 31 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 1 K last Sunday at New York Yankees
  • Last 5 starts vs. Angels: 4-1, 3.81 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 25 K in 28 1/3 IP

Angels at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:17 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Angels +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Astros -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-150) | Astros -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Angels at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 6, Angels 4

Moneyline

The Astros are 8-2 over the last 10 in this matchup as the Angels really have been no match. Silseth has been decent in a small sample size, whereas Urquidy is working his way back after missing a chunk of the season due to injury. I still like the Astros to get it done after 11-3 dominant efforts in each of the last 2 days.

Take the ASTROS (-155).

Run line/Against the spread

Six of the Astros’ last 8 wins over the last 10 games in this series have been by multiple runs. The Astros are just 61-57 on the RL this season, but they have had L.A.’s number.

Toss a HALF-UNIT on ASTROS -1.5 (+125).

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Over/Under

The Angels are 6-3-1 O/U over the last 10, and Houston is 6-4. The Over is 7-3 over the last 10 in this matchup. It has gone way over in the first 2 of this series. With 2 relatively volatile options on the hill Sunday I will LEAN OVER 9 (+100).

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Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Angels (58-58) and Houston Astros (66-50) begin a 3-game series at Minute Maid Park Friday. First pitch is slated for 8:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Astros and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 7-3

Los Angeles enters on a 2-game win streak, including a 4-1 victory over the San Francisco Giants Wednesday, although it lost 5 of 7 games on a homestand. The Angels now head out on a 6-game road trip. They have been outscored 61-49 by Houston in their 10 games played this season. Los Angeles allows the 10th most runs per game on the road in MLB (4.81).

Houston returns home after going 4-3 on a 7-game road trip. The Astros are averaging over 6 runs per game against the Angels in 2023 and are 24-13 against the AL West.

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Angels at Astros projected starters

LHP Reid Detmers vs. RHP Justin Verlander

Detmers (2-8, 4.78 ERA) will make his 21st start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 in 105 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 7 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 9-7 home loss vs. Seattle Mariners last Friday
  • 2023 away splits: 0-5, 5.49 ERA (39 1/3 IP, 24 ER), .250 OBA in 8 starts
  • 2023 vs. Astros: 0-1, 6.55 ERA (11 IP, 8 ER) in 2 starts

Verlander (6-6, 3.11 ERA) will make his 18th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 101 1/3 innings for the Astros and New York Mets.

  • Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 3-1 loss at the New York Yankees Saturday in Astros debut
  • Last start vs. Angels: Loss, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 2-0 road loss on April 9, 2022

Angels at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Angels +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Astros -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-120) | Astros -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Angels at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 4, Angels 2

Moneyline

AVOID.

Verlander should get his first win after returning to the Astros against the Angels Friday, but I’m not putting down 2 units to win 1 especially when it is not a sure thing. I really only like the total in this game.

Run line/Against the spread

SKIP.

The value is just not there with either of these bets. The Astros are giving a run and a half, but to take that I want to get better than +100 odds. Los Angeles won’t keep it within a run to even think about making this bet.

I’m going to look toward the total in this matchup.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).

I’m all in on the Under in this one.

I was looking at the heart of the Angels lineup and they have terrible history against Verlander. 3B Mike Moustakas, 3B Eduardo Escobar, 1B C.J. Cron and DH Shohei Ohtani all have an under .200 batting average against the future Hall of Famer. Verlander has allowed 2 runs or fewer in 2 of his last 3 starts against the Angels.

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Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Angels (30-30) wrap up a 4-game series with the Houston Astros (35-23) Sunday. First pitch from Minute Maid Park is at 2:10 ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 5-1

Houston came out swinging Saturday as they secured a 9-6 victory. The Astros took a 7-1 lead by the 4th inning and hung on despite a late rally from the Angels that saw them plate 4 runs in the 7th frame.

The Astros were below .500 and were riding a 3-game losing streak after losing the season-series opener to the Angels on May 8. Houston seemingly became a different team after that loss, going 18-5 in the 23 games that followed — including 5 victories over L.A.

Houston trails the AL West-leading Texas Rangers by just 2 1/2 games following its surge, while Los Angeles has slipped 8 1/2 games behind the division leaders. L.A. needs to show it can compete with teams like Houston if it has any chance of reaching postseason play.

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Angels at Astros projected starters

RHP Griffin Canning vs. RHP J.P. France

Canning (4-2, 4.89 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 42 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 B, 9 K in a 6-4 road victory over the Chicago White Sox Monday
  • Allows a 1.300 OPS on a full count in 2023

France (1-1, 4.00 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 27 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 8 K in a 7-5 loss vs. the Minnesota Twins Monday
  • 1.094 OPS versus right-handed batters compared to a 0.422 OPS against lefties

Angels at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:56 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Angels +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Astros -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-155) | Astros -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Angels at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Angels 4, Astros 2

Moneyline

Despite their lackluster record, the Angels are 16-13 after a loss and have only been swept once this season. I expect them to at least leave Houston on a positive note.

LEAN ANGELS (+125).

Run line/Against the spread

The Angels are 13-9 ATS this season as road underdogs, so this is a good safety net if you are understandably hesitant to take L.A. on the moneyline. The odds are not ideal, but if you’d prefer a run of insurance it’s reasonable to BET ANGELS +1.5 (-155).

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Over/Under

I actually lean Under despite a lot of trends pointing to another high-scoring game. However, the Under is 6-2 in the Angels’ last 8 games when facing a winning team and the Astros have gone Over in just 4 of last their 15 game 4s.

LEAN UNDER 9 (-110).

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Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Angels (30-29) will play the 2nd game of a 3-game series against the Houston Astros (34-23) Saturday at Minute Maid Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 4-1.

The Angels lost to the Astros 6-2 Friday, giving them 2 straight losses. Los Angeles is 4-6 in its last 10 games and is 7 1/2 games behind the Texas Rangers for 1st place in the AL West.

In Friday’s victory, OF Yordan Alvarez hit his 15th home run of the season, and LHP Framber Valdez pitched 7 shutout innings. Houston has won 6 of its last 8 games and is only 2 1/2 games behind Texas in the AL West.

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Angels at Astros projected starters

LHP Patrick Sandoval vs. RHP Cristian Javier

Sandoval (3-4, 3.42 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 through 55 1/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 5-plus hits and 2-plus ER in 4 consecutive starts.
  • May 8 vs. Astros: 4 ER on 7 H with 0 BB and 2 K in 6 1/3 IP.

Javier (6-1, 2.97 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 63 2/3 IP.

  • Has posted 5-plus K’s in 9 of his first 11 starts.
  • May 10 vs. Angels: 2 ER on 3 H with 1 BB and 11 K in 6 IP.

Angels at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Angels +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Astros -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-135) | Astros -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Angels at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 5, Angels 3

Moneyline

Even though I have the Astros securing the win at home in Saturday’s divisional matchup, I’ll PASS on the moneyline in this game at -185.

Run line/Against the spread

ASTROS -1.5 (+110) has decent value with Javier hitting his stride in recent starts. Sandoval also isn’t producing many swings and misses, while Houston has 5 potential players with a barrel rate of 8% or higher.

The Astros have won 4 straight meetings, and they’ve won by 2-plus runs in 3 of those contests.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-110).

Javier has given up 1 or fewer earned runs in 3 consecutive starts, and the Astros have the 18th-best wOBA (.317) and wRC+ (102) against left-handed pitching this season. The Under is also 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings overall.

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Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Angels (30-27) and Houston Astros (32-23) meet Thursday to kick off a 4-game series. First pitch from Minute Maid Park is set for 8:10 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 2-1

Los Angeles won 12-5 as +126 road underdogs Wednesday vs. Chicago White Sox. That win came because of a 4-HR game by the Angels, 2 by DH Shohei Ohtani. The Angels never trailed after taking the lead in the 1st inning.

Houston lost 8-2 as -179 home favorites Wednesday vs. Minnesota Twins. The Astros never led and could never even make the game close, despite 2 HRs in the 8th inning. SP Hunter Brown gave up 5 ER and 6 H in only 4 2/3 IP during the loss.

The Angels are 2-3 in their last 5 games while the Astros are 3-2 in their last 5.

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Angels at Astros projected starters

LHP Reid Detmers vs. LHP Framber Valdez

Detmers (0-4, 4.93 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 45 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 10 H, 2 BB, 5 K, in a 6-2 home loss Friday vs. Miami Marlins
  • Career vs. Houston: 1-1 with a 3.98 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 18 H, 3 HR, 9 BB, 21 K in 4 starts

Valdez (5-4, 2.38 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 72 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 5 K, in a 6-3 road win Saturday vs. Oakland Athletics
  • Career vs. Los Angeles: 8-4 with a 3.73 ERA (89 1/3 IP, 37 ER), 73 H, 9 HR, 45 BB, 100 K in 16 appearances (12 starts)

Angels at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Angels +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Astros -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-125) | Astros -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Angels at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 6, Angels 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The Astros should win this game but as -190 favorites the risk here is not worth the reward. Bet on the run line or O/U instead.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN ASTROS -1.5 (+105).

Four of the last 10 meetings have finished with a 1-run margin, but the Astros recent dominance suggests that they are the favorite to cover. The Astros are 58-27 in the last 85 meetings overall and 50-24 in the last 74 meetings in Houston.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-110).

For Los Angeles the Over is 4-0 in their last 4 Thursday games, 4-0 in they last 4 road games, and 5-0 in Detmers’ last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Over is also 18-8-1 in the last 27 meetings in Houston.

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Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Angels (60-77) will begin a 3-game series against the Houston Astros (88-49) on Friday at Minute Maid Park with 1st pitch at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Angels vs. Astros odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Astros lead 11-5

The Angels have had an extremely disappointing season, but they’ve won 8 of their last 12 games. Los Angeles just outscored the Detroit Tigers 19-9 in 3 games earlier this week.

The Astros boast the best record in the AL and are 11 games ahead of the Seattle Mariners in the AL West. Houston has won 7 of their last 9 games, including 3 straight series wins.

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Angels at Astros projected starters

RHP Michael Lorenzen vs. RHP Lance McCullers Jr.

Lorenzen (6-6, 4.94 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 71 IP.

  • Hasn’t pitched since July 1st (shoulder)
  • July 1 at Astros: 3 IP, 8 H, 7 ER, 2 BB, 3 K

McCullers (2-1, 2.08 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 5.8 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 21 2/3 IP.

  • Has walked 3 or more batters in each of his first 4 starts
  • Sept. 2 at Angels: 5 2/3 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 4 BB, 7 K

Angels at Astros odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:39 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Angels +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Astros -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-117) | Astros -1.5 (-103)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Angels at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 6, Angels 3

Money line

The Astros are reasonably favored in this game with the best record in the AL and the game taking place at Minute Maid Park. Even with Houston likely winning this game, I’ll PASS on the pricey money line.

Run line/Against the spread

Despite McCuller’s issues with walking batters this season, Houston is facing a pitcher that hasn’t been on the mound for 2 months. The Astros have won by multiple runs in 9 of their 11 wins over the Angels this season, so I’ll side with ASTROS -1.5 (-103) in this contest.

Over/Under

McCullers has shown that you can score runs on him by drawing walks and Lorenzen hasn’t thrown a major-league pitch in 2 months. OVER 8.5 RUNS (+100) is an enticing wager at plus odds given the pitching matchup.

The Over has been achieved in Lorenzen’s last 6 road starts and in his last 4 starts against a team with a winning record. Also, the Over has hit in 17 of the last 24 meetings between the Angels and the Astros.

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Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Angels (58-58) host the Houston Astros (68-46) Friday for the opener of their three-game series at Angel Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Astros vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Astros lead 6-3.

RHP Zack Greinke is Houston’s projected starter. Greinke is 10-3 with a 3.69 ERA (136 2/3 IP, 56 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 23 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 3 K in Houston’s 5-4 loss August 6 to the Minnesota Twins.
  • Greinke has gotten two no-decisions against L.A. this season with a 2.57 ERA (14 IP, 4 ER), 15 H, 1 BB and 10 K in two starts.
  • vs. Angels on the current roster (150 PA): 5.08 FIP with a .283 batting average (BA), .344 wOBA, .341 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 13.3 K% and 83.9 mph exit velocity (EV).

LHP Patrick Sandoval is L.A.’s projected starter. Sandoval is 3-5 with a 3.39 ERA (82 1/3 IP, 31 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 13 starts and three relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 4 K in 4-3 Angels win August 6 at the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  • 2021 home splits: 1-4 with a 3.50 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.28 WHIP and 10.9 K/9 in seven starts and two bullpen outings.

Astros at Angels odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Astros -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Angels +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Astros -1.5 (+120) | Angels +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Prediction

Angels 5, Astros 3

Money line (ML)

BET the ANGELS (+115) for 1 unit since L.A. has the edge in both relief and starting pitching and there’s been heavy “reverse line movement” in L.A.’s direction.

For instance, the Astros are getting nearly 85% of the action but Houston’s money line has dropped from -155 on the opener to the current number according to pregame.com.

It’s a red flag in sports betting when the House makes the more popular side cheaper. For whatever reason oddsmakers are trying to entice more pro-Astros action and we don’t want to play into their hands.

The reason for the reverse line movement is because L.A.’s pitching staff might have an edge in this game. Sandoval has a lower xFIP and SIERA than Greinke this season and grades out much better than Greinke in EV, xSLG, expected wOBA, K% and whiff rate.

Furthermore, L.A.’s bullpen has been lights out following the All-Star Game. The Angels relievers rank eighth in both home run per nine-inning rate and FIP and fourth in WAR in the second half of the year while Houston’s bullpen is below-average in each of those categories.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because the Angels +1.5 (-150) is a little more than I’m willing to risk given they are just 16-34 ATS in games against AL West foes while the Astros are 26-18 ATS.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (+105) for a tiny wager because Greinke has been awesome on the road this year and I like L.A.’s pitching staff in this spot.

Greinke is 5-0 with a 2.67 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 4.3 K/BB on the road with a 4.58 ERA,1.35 WHIP and 2.9 K/BBat home.

However, I’d wait closer to the first pitch in hopes of getting a 9-run total since that’s where the market is headed. Also, these teams have a 21-14 O/U record when these starters take the mound.

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Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Angels (15-18) travel to Space City Monday for a three-game set against division rival Houston Astros (18-16) at Minute Maid Park with the first pitch scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Angels vs. Astros with MLB picks and predictions.

L.A. beat the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 Sunday in the rubber match of the Freeway Series, but the Angels have only won thrice in the past 10 games.

Houston also won the rubber match of its series with the Toronto Blue Jays Sunday and the Astros are just 5-5 over their last 10 games.

Season series: Astros lead 4-2.

The Angels haven’t named Monday’s starting pitcher as of this publishing, but LHP José Suarez is likely “to factor” in the team’s pitching plans Monday, skipper Joe Maddon said. The 23-year-old lefty is 2-8 with a 7.99 ERA (83 1/3 IP, 74 ER), 1.78 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 across 17 starts and 4 relief appearances in his two MLB seasons.

  • Career vs. the Astros: 0-2 with a 7.31 ERA (16 IP, 13 ER), 2.00 WHIP and 9.6 K/9 over 4 starts and 1 relief appearance.
    • Vs. Astros on the current roster: 43 at-bats with a .279/.367/.395 slash line, 1 HR and 3 RBIs.

RHP Luis García is the projected starter for the Astros. García is 0-3 with a 3.28 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.01 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 over 4 starts and 2 relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No decision in 4 2/3 IP with 3 ER, 2 H, 2 BB and 8 K Wednesday at the New York Yankees.
  • Career vs. the Angels: 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 1.39 WHIP and 2.9 K/9 in 1 start and 2 relief appearances.
    • Vs. Angels on the current roster: 23 at-bats with a .304/.452/.739 slash line, 1/6 K/BB rate, 3 HR and 5 RBIs.

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Angels at Astros odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:54 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Angels +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Astros -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Off the board
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Angels 7, Astros 4

Money line (ML)

L.A.’s lineup is a lot more effective vs. righties than Houston’s lineup is against lefties.

The Angels are second in wRC+, third in OPS and fourth in wOBA against right-handed pitching, while the Astros are 15th in both OPS and wOBA and 19th in ground-ball to fly-ball rate vs. lefties.

García’s K% would grade out higher than the 74th percentile if it weren’t for his two starts this season against the Angels, both of which Houston lost.

García has only struck out one out of his 25 Angels batters faced. L.A. has an above-average lineup, which hasn’t been fooled by García’s stuff, and each ballclub’s bullpen is ranked pretty similarly in advanced pitching metrics.

I’m BETTING ANGELS (+135) for a three-fourths unit.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS with the RL off the board.

Over/Under (O/U)

Since I like L.A.’s chances at hitting García and Houston’s lineup is as lethal, I’ll BET a half unit on the OVER 9.5 (-110). If the total climbs to 10 or higher, this is a PASS.

Generally, I prefer sides more than totals and that’s the case for Angels-Astros.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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