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The Los Angeles Angels (12-21) and Cleveland Guardians (21-12) wrap up a 3-game series Sunday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Angels picked up a 6-0 win in Friday’s series opener behind 6 scoreless IP from RHP Jose Soriano. The Guardians exacted revenge with a 7-1 win in Saturday’s game with RHP Ben Lively on the bump.
The Halos have dropped 3 of the past 4 games, while going 3-12 in the past 15 outings. The Over cashed on Saturday, and the total has gone high in 7 of the past 10 outings.
The Guardians bounced back from a shutout with the 7-1 victory Saturday. It’s been feast or famine for the offense lately, as Cleveland has scored 3 or fewer runs in 3 of the past 5 games, while going for 7 or more runs in the other 2 games.
Angels at Guardians projected starters
RHP Griffin Canning vs. RHP Carlos Carrasco
Canning (1-3, 7.45 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 29 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 4 ER, 3 H, 5 BB, 1 K in 6-5 home win vs. Philadelphia Phillies last Monday
- 2024 road splits: 0-3, 8.16 ERA, 14 1/3 IP, 14 R (13 ER), 20 H (2 HR), 2 BB, 12 K with .333 opponents’ batting average (OBA) and 1.53 WHIP in 3 starts
Carrasco (1-2, 6.59 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.68 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 27 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 8 ER, 6 H (2 HR), 2 BB, 3 K in 10-9 road loss in 10 innings vs. Houston Astros on Tuesday
- 2024 home splits: 0-2, 5.59 ERA, 9 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 14 H (3 HR), 6 BB, 6 K with .359 OBA and 2.07 WHIP in 2 starts
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Angels at Guardians odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:03 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Angels +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Guardians -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-190) | Guardians -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Angels at Guardians picks and predictions
Prediction
Guardians 7, Angels 5
Moneyline
The GUARDIANS (-135) are moderate favorites in the series finale.
There is risk, as Carrasco has struggled with consistency in his 2nd stint with the team, especially at home. However, he has been better than Canning, who has really struggled on the road for the Angels (+110).
Look for Cleveland to pull it out in a high-scoring affair under the sun.
Run line/Against the spread
If you’re a little less conservative, roll the dice and play the GUARDIANS -1.5 (+155) on the run line. Obviously, do not play both. The run line is much more risky, as Carrasco hasn’t pitched with a lot of consistency this season. But something’s gotta give.
In the past 9 wins for Cleveland since April 19, the Guardians have won by 2 or more runs in 8 of those outings. So, if you like Cleveland to win, bank on the Guards to get the job done.
Over/Under
OVER 8.5 (-120) is a strong play in this series finale.
The Over is 2-0-1 in the past 3 starts by Carrasco, while the total has gone high in 3 of the past 5 outings for the Guardians.
For the Angels, the Over is on a 7-3 run in the past 10 games. The total has cashed high in 4 of Canning’s 6 starts, including each of the past 2 outings.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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