Big South Tournament: Longwood at High Point odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Longwood at High Point Big South Tournament odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Longwood Lancers (19-13) and High Point Panthers (25-7) tangle in the semifinals of the Big South Tournament Saturday. The matinee contest at Nido and Mariana Qubein Arena in High Point, N.C., will tip off at noon ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Longwood vs. High Point odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Longwood easily covered a -1.5 spread in a 69-56 triumph over Winthrop Friday. The 5th-seeded Lancers were a plus-5 on the boards and a plus-7 in turnovers in Friday’s quarterfinal.

High Point — the No. 1 seed in this tournament and the team getting home hardwood — advanced to Saturday’s semifinal by overcoming some 1st-half trouble and eventually defeating No. 9 Radford 77-63 Friday, covering a -10.5.

In their final regular-season game last Saturday, the Panthers lost to Longwood 74-72 as 2½-point favorites. The Big South foes split for the regular season, though; HPU downed the Lancers 93-76 Feb. 1.

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Longwood at High Point odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Longwood +235 (bet $100 to win $235) | High Point -295 (bet $295 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Longwood +6.5 (-102) | High Point -6.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 153.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Longwood at High Point picks and predictions

Prediction

High Point 81, Longwood 71

Moneyline

This home-floor advantage was hard-earned by a High Point 5 that has suffered at the hands of Longwood over the years. From 2018-23, the Lancers won 11 in a row against the Panthers. The Feb. 1 home win over LU was significant from a confidence standpoint.

HPU is the solid lean as an outright probability Saturday, but going past -250 chips away at value. PASS.

Against the spread

Longwood went 1-7 ATS across 8 conference road games this season. Issues at the defensive end led to an 8-game LU losing streak ATS from Jan. 11-Feb. 7.

The Lancers of late have been getting more from their offense, but up until the last couple games their defense had been on a late-season decline. Look for HPU’s more efficient and consistent offense to come through in a relatively high-scoring game.

Longwood has played back-to-back games away from home 6 times this season: the Lancers are 1-5 ATS in the 2nd game.

BACK THE PANTHERS -6.5 (-120).

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Over/Under

The O/U is 1-1 in this year’s meetings, 2-2 across the last 4 LU-HPU games, and 3-3 across the last 6.

Ticket this one for a moderate pace but a lot of looks from the foul line.  A total around 150 looks to be likely.

But both teams do excel in pushing opponents into lesser mid-range looks on many possessions. The lean here is very slight, but the total here may be overcooked by just a bit. The UNDER 153.5 (-105) may not be a true value play as listed, but there’s a hint of an edge at least.

Get ready, North Carolina!
Online sports betting begins March 11

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