Manchester City (23 wins, 3 losses, 4 draws) hosts Liverpool (22-6-2) at Etihad Stadium Sunday. Kickoff for the season’s premier EPL match is scheduled for 11:30 a.m. ET. Below, we preview the Manchester City vs. Liverpool odds and lines, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.
Manchester City is coming off a gritty midweek home win over Atletico Madrid in the UEFA Champions League. City has won 3 of its last 4 EPL matches and sits in first place on the table with 73 points.
It has 70 goals and has allowed 18 on the season in 30 games. It is led by a powerhouse midfield behind M Kevin de Bruyne and M Jack Grealish. It has the league’s best defense.
Liverpool is coming off a 3-1 win over Benfica in its midweek UEFA Champions League match. Having a strong last few weeks, Liverpool is now rivaling City at the top of the table.
It has 72 points through 30 matches, having scored 77 goals and allowed 20. Liverpool is led by Mohamed Salah who has a league-leading 20 goals. Teammate F Diogo Jota sits in third place with 14.
Manchester City vs. Liverpool: Odds, picks and predictions
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 5 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Manchester City +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Liverpool +245 (bet $100 to win $245) | Draw +260
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -140 | U: +110)
[tipico]
Prediction
Manchester City 1, Liverpool 1
Money line (ML)
LEAN to the DRAW +260.
These two teams have completely different styles of play.
Man City operates through its world-class midfield and possesses the ball at an ultra-high rate. Liverpool works through its forwards who can take on just about anyone in the world and get through.
With that said, both teams have played moderately against other top-three clubs. Their lone matchup this season resulted in a 2-2 draw. City beat Chelsea 1-0 both times while Liverpool drew Chelsea twice.
There is little that separates these two, and at +260, playing a draw is a smart move as Man City’s money line value at +110 just isn’t overly enticing.
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN to the UNDER 2.5 (+110).
The 2-2 draw earlier in the season and the elite offenses of both teams make the Over an enticing play, but considering there were a total of 7 shots on target and 4 goals in that event, a repeat event doesn’t seem likely.
Also, while Sala, Jota, and de Bruyne headline the matchup, Man City plays with possession on its mind and has allowed a league-low 18 goals. City has allowed multiple goals in just 4 games this season.
Liverpool has allowed the second-fewest goals and has one of the best defenders in the world captaining its backline in D Virgil van Dijk. It should be able to read and limit City.
Considering both defenses as well, I like the UNDER 2.5 (+110) at plus-money value.
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