[gambcom-standard rankid=”4141″ ]
Liverpool (6 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss) welcome Chelsea (4-2-1) to Anfield Sunday for a clash of 2 of the top-4 EPL sides. Kickoff is set for 11:30 a.m. ET (USA Network/Telemundo). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Liverpool vs. Chelsea odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.
Liverpool has been dominant this season and sits atop the English Premier League. The Reds have been led by F Mohamed Salah, who has 4 goals and a team-high 4 assists. They are coming off a 1-0 win on the road over Crystal Palace on Oct. 5. Liverpool is 2-0-1 at home with that lone setback a 1-0 loss to Nottingham Forest. It has a clean sheet in 5 of its 7 matches and 2 of 3 at home.
Chelsea, by most measures, have exceeded expectations so far in the early season and is 4th in the EPL. It has a +8 goal differential and is perfect on the road (3-0-0). Chelsea is led by star English F Cole Palmer, who has 6 goals and 5 assists, both of which lead the team. It is coming off a 1-1 home draw with Nottingham Forest on Oct. 6. Chelsea has allowed 2 goals in its 3 road matches.
World class soccer coverage all in one place: Get ESPN+
Liverpool vs. Chelsea odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:16 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Liverpool -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Chelsea +380 (bet $100 to win $380) | Draw +333 (bet $100 to win $333)
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -105 | U: -135)
[gambcom-standard rankid=”4132″ ]
Liverpool vs. Chelsea picks and predictions
Prediction
Liverpool 1, Chelsea 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET DRAW (+333).
Liverpool has been impressive this season, but it hasn’t played a quality side. It has a 3-0 win over Manchester United in which it had just 0.4 more expected goals.
However, it hasn’t beaten quality opponents, and Chelsea, while it has a 2-0 loss to Manchester City on its resume, did have 0.2 more expected goals in that match and is undefeated on the road through its 1st 3 games.
Chelsea has impressively had at least 1.3 or more expected goals in 3 straight league matches. Expect it to keep pace, and for this value, back DRAW (+333).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 3.5 (-135).
In its lone match against a top-3 EPL side, Chelsea was held scoreless at home. It scored just 1 goal in its last EPL match as well. While it has attacking talent, the Liverpool defense is one of the most formidable units in the league and should be able to limit the Blues.
Liverpool has yet to allow multiple goals in any game this season and have a clean sheet in 2 of 3 at home. It has held 5 of 7 opponents to 0.6 expected goals of fewer. Similarly, Liverpool has scored more than 2 just twice, so it shouldn’t be expected to explode offensively.
With that in mind, back UNDER 3.5 (-135). If you’re feeling adventurous, you could also consider the Alternative Under 2.5 (+175) for a nice profit.
Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”6305″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=42968]
