Liverpool (12 wins, 9 losses, 7 draws) welcomes Arsenal (23-3-3) to Anfield Sunday. Kickoff is set for 11:30 a.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Liverpool vs. Arsenal odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.
Arsenal beat Liverpool 3-2 on Oct. 9 at home. Arsenal had 2.7 expected goals which blew away Liverpool’s 1.1.
Liverpool is 9-1-3 at home this season and is averaging 1.71 goals per game. They allow 1.18. The home side is 0-2-1 in their last 3 games. Liverpool is led by star M Mohamed Salah, who has 12 goals and 7 assists (both team highs) on the season.
Arsenal is 11-2-1 on the road this season. They are averaging 2.41 goals per game while allowing just .93. They sit atop the EPL and are 5 points clear of Man City. Arsenal has 3 players with double-figure goals, but it is F Martinelli who has a team-high 13.
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Liverpool vs. Arsenal odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:01 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Liverpool +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Arsenal +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Draw +260
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -160 | U: +115)
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Liverpool vs. Arsenal picks and predictions
Prediction
Arsenal 2, Liverpool 1
Moneyline (ML)
LEAN ARSENAL (+145).
The Reds have been on fire as of late, having won 7 league-match games in a row. It hasn’t just been that Arsenal has won but moreso the manner in which they win.
They have won their last 3 games 4-1, 4-1 and 3-0. They also beat Liverpool the 1st time around and have performed equally as well on the road as at home.
Liverpool has also lost 4 of their last 8 throughout all competitions and 2 of their last 3 league matches. They are difficult to trust here, even at home.
Ultimately, back ARSENAL (+145).
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN OVER 2.5 (-160).
The value isn’t necessary here to suggest a play, but it’s really the only way I’d play this battle. Liverpool’s played 2 games in the last week and should have relatively tired legs.
They have played Man City 4 times this season (2 times in non-league matches) and Arsenal once, going Over 2.5 in 4 of the 5 matches. Arsenal has scored 3 or more in 5 straight league matches and has gone Over this total in 7 of their last 8 league matches.
Superstar Liverpool D Virgil van Dijk missed the team’s match with Chelsea earlier this week with illness, so he may not get a full 90 either. Ultimately, despite the juice, take the OVER 2.5 (-160).
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