Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders Game 4 odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders Game 4 odds and lines, with NHL picks, tips and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Islanders play Game 4 of their Stanley Cup Playoffs third-round series Saturday. Puck drop is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum. Below, we analyze the Lightning-Islanders odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.

The Lightning came up with the 2-1 road victory against the Islanders in Game 3 seizing back home-ice advantage. They’re still averaging just 2.33 goals per game in this series, however.

The Islanders were 4-1 across their previous five home games until Thursday’s loss. They have had a power outage on offense in this series, totaling just five goals across three games.

Lightning at Islanders: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Lightning -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Islanders +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Lightning -1.5 (+190) | Islanders +1.5 (-250)
  • Over/Under: 5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Lightning at Islanders: Projected starting goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (31-10-1, 2.21 GAA, .925 SV%, 5 SO) vs. Semyon Varlamov (19-11-4, 2.04 GAA, .929 SV%, 7 SO). Stats from regular season.

Vasilevskiy has allowed two earned runs across the past four games while winning three of them. He allowed just the one goal on 28 shots in Game 3 in Uniondale.

Varlamov has allowed three or fewer goals in six of the past eight playoff games, but the offense has failed to give him much in the way of support with just 1.67 goals per game in this series.

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Lightning at Islanders: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Lightning 3, Islanders 2

Money line (ML)

The LIGHTNING (-140) are moderate favorites as they look to take a commanding 3-1 series lead. The Islanders (+115) have had difficulty lighting the lamp, and they’re not worth backing at this point against the defending champs.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Lightning -1.5 (+190) are a tempting play here, but their Game 3 win was a one-goal victory, and two of the three games in this series have been one-goal games. The Islanders +1.5 (-250) will cost you two-and-a-half times your potential return, and that’s just not worth the risk, either.

AVOID.

Over/Under (O/U)

I like the TOTAL 5 to land right on the number. With the way this series has been, taking a flyer on the alternate line while playing UNDER 5.5 (-165) is the way to go.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders odds, picks and best bets

NHL betting analysis around Sunday’s Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders Game 4 matchup, with NHL odds, picks and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Islanders continue their Eastern Conference Final with Game 4 of their best-of-seven series Sunday at 3 p.m. ET at Rogers Place in Edmonton. We analyze the Lightning-Islanders NHL betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Series: Lightning lead 2-1.

Lightning vs. Islanders: Projected starting goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy vs. Semyon Varlamov

Vasilevskiy finally showed some chinks in the armor, allowing four goals on 35 shots in a Game 3 loss, easily his worst showing of the postseason. All four of the goals were of the even-strength variety, too, before the Isles tacked on an even-strength goal for good measure. Brock Nelson beat him with 3:25 to go in regulation for the tiebreaking goal, so that’s one that he’ll have to forget quickly. Heading into Game 4, you needn’t worry about Vasilevskiy’s head being right. He lets bad losses quickly roll off of his back. He hasn’t had back-to-back losses since the restart, and none since his worst stretch of the season in late February when he dropped a season-high three in a row.

Varlamov was outstanding in Game 2, and adequate in a higher-scoring Game 3. He allowed three goals on 37 shots, including one on the power play which wasn’t his fault. After a little back and forth on who should be the starter, it appears Varlamov has once again seized the starting job for the long run.

Get some action on this game or any other matchup with an NHL bet at BetMGM in NJ, IN, CO and WV. Bet now!

Lightning vs. Islanders: Odds, picks and betting tips

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access them at USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Islanders 4, Lightning 3

Moneyline (ML)

The ISLANDERS (+130) are just a better value here. The Lightning (-154) won 8-2 in the first game, and 2-1 in the second game with a heartbreaking winner with 8.8 seconds to go. Instead of going into the fetal position, the Isles showed a ton of character to bounce back and pull off the victory, which helped them avoid the broom and make this a series instead. It’s a testament to their heart, and a testament to the coaching of Barry Trotz. He’ll have them ready here.

New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on the Islanders returns a profit of $13, while a $15.40 bet on the Lightning would fetch a profit of $10 if they prevail.

Puck line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Islanders (+1.5, -209) are just too expensive if you’re looking for a little insurance, as risking more than two times your potential return is bad betting. Conversely, the Lightning (-1.5, +170) are a tempting play if you like Tampa, but it has covered the puck line just once in the first three games in this series. AVOID.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 5.5 (+115) is the way to go. The Under cashed in two of the first three games in this series, with a defensive slog in Game 2 as the outlier. Vasilevskiy looked mortal in Game 3, and the Isles will try to go back to what worked against him in that one. Varlamov will also never be confused with Billy Smith or Chico Resch. He’ll cough up his fair share of goals, too. The Over is a good play in Game 4.

Want some action in this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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