Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Lightning (36-25-6) take on the Vegas Golden Knights (36-24-7) Tuesday at T-Mobile Arena. Puck drop is set for 10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Lightning vs. Golden Knights odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Bolts have won 3 straight after a 5-3 win at the Florida Panthers Saturday. C Steven Stamkos lit the lamp twice, and he has 3 goals in the last 2 games and points in his last 5, as he proceeds in his final games before free agency. The Lightning are in the driver’s seat with the top Wild Card spot, 3 points up on the Washington Capitals.

The Knights have won 3 of 4 after a 3-1 win over the New Jersey Devils Sunday. C Jack Eichel had a goal on 8 shots, and he has 7 points in his last 4 games as the team navigates through injuries. The Knights are tied with the Los Angeles Kings at 79 points, which is good for 3rd in the Pacific Division and the 2nd Wild Card spot.

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Lightning at Golden Knights odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Lightning +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Golden Knights -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Lightning +1.5 (-210) | Golden Knights -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Lightning at Golden Knights projected goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (24-16-1, 2.96 GAA, .898 SV%, 2 SO) vs. Adin Hill (17-9-2, 2.60 GAA, .917 SV%, 2 SO)

“Vassy” hasn’t been himself all season after a late start due to back surgery, but he has been a little better this month. He’s 4-1-0 with a 2.77 GAA and .911 SV% against some tough opponents. He was between the pipes in the 5-4 home win over VGK Dec. 21, and he stopped 30 of 34 shots.

Hill has been going downhill after he missed time with an injury. He had a 3.37 GAA in February, and he has followed it up in March with a 2-3-0 mark, a 3.63 GAA and an .887 SV%. He has allowed at least 3 goals in his last 6 starts.

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Lightning at Golden Knights picks and predictions

Prediction

Lightning 4, Golden Knights 3

Moneyline

These teams have traded wins in the last 3 meetings in Vegas, and Tampa is going to continue the trend after VGK won 5-4 Feb. 18, 2023. Tampa has scored 5+ goals in 3 straight, and Hill is having trouble keeping teams off the scoreboard.

Take the LIGHTNING +110.

Puck line/Against the spread

I’ll pass on the puck line here, but I’m going hard on JACK EICHEL OVER 3.5 SHOTS (-120).

He has 4+ shots in 3 straight games and in 8 of 9. He also had 7 SOG against Tampa earlier this season. Book it.

Over/Under

Tampa and VGK are 7-3 O/U over the last 10. We’ve had 7+ goals in 3 straight meetings between the teams.

Neither of these goalies are showing their playoff form, so I’ll LEAN OVER 6.5 (-105).

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights odds, picks, and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Lightning (19-6-4) and Vegas Golden Knights (20-11-0) meet Tuesday at 10 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nev. Below, we look at the Lightning vs. Golden Knights odds and lines and make our expert NHL picks, predictions and bets.

Tampa Bay is 7-1 over its last eight games and has allowed just 2.13 goals per contest over that stretch. The Lightning had a scheduled Saturday game at Colorado postponed; they are playing their first game since Thursday.

The Golden Knights are coming off shootout wins on Friday and Sunday, and they tote a five-game win streak into Tuesday’s home game. Vegas is 5-1 over its last six games on home ice. At 3.48 goals per game, the Knights rank fourth in the NHL in scoring. Over its last 22 games, Vegas has cranked out 4.09 goals per game.

Lightning at Golden Knights odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Lightning +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Golden Knights -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Lightning 1.5 (-270) | Golden Knights -1.5 (+190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Lightning at Golden Knights projected goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (16-4-3, 2.10 GAA, .928 SV%) vs. Robin Lehner (14-9-0, 3.03 GAA, .905 SV%)

Vasilevskiy stopped 25-of-26 shots in his last start (Friday vs. Ottawa). He owns a hefty .945 SV% over his last nine games.

Lehner was solid earlier this season (.917 SV% through Nov. 18), but he has struggled of late. The 30-year-old netminder owns an .883 SV% over his last 10 games. He owns a shaky .855 mark over his last three home starts.

Lightning at Golden Knights odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Lightning 4, Golden Knights 3

Money line

Both teams have been solid of late, but the price on the Lightning is worth a look here. Tampa Bay has been exceptional in the 5-on-5 game of late, and Vasilevskiy has been tremendous. He’s a difference maker here.

Vegas F Mark Stone was a late scratch in the Knights’ tough 4-3 win on Sunday. And with the league nixing Wednesday and Thursday games, this game now sends Vegas into a break – so it may not make sense to rush the Knights’ captain back if the extra time would serve his overall health.

TAMPA BAY (+105) is a slight lean.

Against the spread

PASS: the price on insuring a Lightning play with a goal-and-a-half is too steep.

Over/Under

The Over is 6-1 in the Lightning’s last seven games versus teams with a winning record. The Over is 4-0 in Tampa Bay’s last four games as a road underdog. And it is 4-1 in the Golden Knights’ last five contests played on one day of rest.

Both offenses are dialed in and creating good scoring chances. Before being shut out at Ottawa Dec. 11, Tampa Bay had averaged 4.29 goals per game over its previous seven road tilts. BACK THE OVER 5.5 (-125).

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