The Tampa Bay Lightning (13-8-1) and Philadelphia Flyers (8-10-5) meet Thursday at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Lightning vs. Flyers odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
The Lightning lost 3-1 on the road against the Boston Bruins Tuesday. It was just the 2nd time in the last 21 games that Tampa Bay scored just 1 goal in a game. The Under result snapped a 3-0 Over run.
The Flyers posted a 3-1 victory against the New York Islanders at home on Tuesday, snapping an 0-7-3 slide. Philadelphia has gone ice cold after firing out of the chute with 3 straight victories, including a 3-2 win in Tampa on Oct. 18.
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Lightning at Flyers odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:21 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Lightning -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Flyers +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Lightning -1.5 (+115) | Flyers +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +105 | U: -125)
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Lightning at Flyers projected goalies
Andrei Vasilevskiy (8-7-1, 2.88 GAA, .906 SV%) vs. Carter Hart (7-5-4, 2.73 GAA, .917 SV%)
Vasilevskiy has been stubbing his toe this season, struggling by his standards. However, he has started to show some signs of life, allowing just 2 goals in each of his last 2 outings, winning 5-2 against the St. Louis Blues, while falling 3-1 in Boston against the Bruins, mostly due to a lack of offensive support.
Vasilevskiy allowed 3 goals on 24 shots in the Oct. 18 loss in Tampa, as Hart allowed just 2 goals on 38 shots to best the former Vezina winner.
Hart allowed just 1 goal on 24 shots in a victory over the Isles, snapping a 7-start winless skid. He was 2-5-3 with a 3.00 GAA and .901 SV% in 10 starts in November.
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Lightning at Flyers picks and predictions
Prediction
Lightning 5, Flyers 2
The Lightning (-220) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s a little on the expensive side, especially since the Flyers (+190) won the 1st meeting this season.
PASS.
Puck line/Against the spread
The LIGHTNING -1.5 (+115) are worth a roll of the dice on the puck line instead. Yes, Tampa did fall at home to Philadelphia earlier this season, but the Flyers are a shell of their former selves. While the Flyers topped the Isles last time out, Philly has been atrocious lately, especially on the offensive end, totaling just 23 goals across the last 11 contests.
Over/Under
OVER 6.5 (+105) is a value play at plus-money.
While Philly has struggled to light the lamp lately, it has allowed 46 goals in the last 11 games. The Over has cashed at an 11-5-1 clip in the last 17 games against teams with a winning overall record for the Flyers, while going 6-1 in the last 7 meetings at home against the Lightning.
For the Lightning, the Over has hit at a 9-4-1 clip in the last 14 games overall, while going 7-1-1 in the last 9 inside the Eastern Conference.
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