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Jon ‘Bones’ Jones and Dominick Reyes square off Saturday at UFC 247 at Toyota Center in Houston, Tex. The light heavyweight bout is the main event on the pay-per-view card (to watch, sign up for ESPN+ now). Below, we breakdown the Jones-Reyes fight, with UFC 247 betting odds and picks.
Bones is back (24-1) defending his strap in Houston, and the 32-year-old is a heavy favorite to do just that. He topped Mauricio Rua back at UFC 128 for the title, and he has held the championship ever since. Of course, it hasn’t come without plenty of drama, with positive drugs tests and out-of-the-octagon issues. After a no-contest for a positive drug test after his win over Daniel Cormier at UFC 214 on July 29, 2017, he was away from the sport until Dec. 29, 2018. He returned with an absolute dismantling of Alexander Gustafsson, and he picked up a unanimous decision win over Anthony Smith at UFC 235 and a split-decision win over Thiago Santos at UFC 239.
Reyes (12-0) puts his unbeaten record on the line, and the southpaw is looking to do the unthinkable and sink one of the best of all-time in MMA, if not the greatest. The southpaw made his UFC debut June 25, 2017 against Joachim Christensen, winning in a KO/TKO, and four of his six UFC bouts have been won in Round 1, with a unanimous decision win at UFC 229 over Ovince Saint Preux and a split-decision win over Volkan Oezdemir at UFC Fight Night on March 16, 2019. He is coming off a knockout of Chris Weidman last time out on Oct. 18, 2019, but this will easily be his biggest test.
Jones-Reyes odds
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Per BetMGM Sportsbook, Jones (-556) is a heavy favorite over Reyes (+350). The oddsmakers also lean to the match not going the distance (five rounds), with odds there being set at a whopping -250 for No – and the odds to go a full five rounds at Yes +175.
Are you new to sports betting? A $10 wager on Reyes to pull the upset returns $35 in profit. A bet on Jones at -556 returns a profit of $1.80 with a victory.
Also See:
- UFC 247 – How to watch Jon Jones vs. Dominick Reyes, full fight card and betting odds
- Jones-Reyes odds: Bones Jones favorite over Dominick Reyes at UFC 247
- UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes at MMAJunkie.com
Jones is expected to win, and it will be one of the biggest upsets in recent memory if he is unable to do so. The thing to figure out is the manner in which he’ll win, and how to maximize profits.
Jones-Reyes betting guide
I like the total number of rounds – Over/Under – to actually go OVER 2.5 (-154), and that’s the lean from the book. The Under (2.5, +110) would be a slight upset.
In addition, Jones to win by submission (+275) looks pretty tasty. He owns a 46.51 takedown accuracy percentage with a 1.90 takedown average. In addition, he owns the slight edge in submission average at 0.48-0.39.
If he doesn’t do it on the ground, the ‘striking’ difference between the two is in reach. Jones owns an overwhelming 84.5″-77″ reach advantage. They’re both strong in the striking game, but Reyes might not be able to get close to the champ.
Add in a bet on Jones (-556) winning outright on the 2-way line, and the fight not going the distance (-250), and you should be able to cobble together a nice profit despite the heavy chalk.
If you want some action on UFC 247, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
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