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The Las Vegas Aces (30-4) travel to meet the Washington Mystics (15-18) Saturday. Tip-off from St. Elizabeth East Entertainment and Sports Arena is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Aces vs. Mystics odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
The Aces picked up their 30th win of the season with a 94-87 victory against the Chicago Sky Thursday. Forward A’ja Wilson followed up her historic 53-point performance vs. the Atlanta Dream Tuesday with 18 points and 10 rebounds for the double-double. Vegas has won 6 of its last 7 games overall, although the Aces have failed to cover their last 3 outings.
The Mystics have dropped back-to-back games, and Washington is just 0-2-1 against the spread (ATS) in the previous 3 games and 1-6-1 ATS in the past 8 outings. That includes a 113-89 loss at Las Vegas on Aug. 11, as the Aces covered a 17.5-point spread as the Over (171) cashed.
Aces at Mystics odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:56 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Aces -550 (bet $550 to win $100) | Mystics +400 (bet $100 to win $400)
- Against the spread (ATS): Aces -10.5 (-105) | Mystics +10.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 166.5 (O: -110) | U: -110)
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Aces at Mystics picks and predictions
Prediction
Aces 97, Mystics 78
Moneyline
The Aces (-550) will cost you 5 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward. Las Vegas should be able to stop Washington, but over the long term, betting such heavy favorites will come back to bite you.
PASS.
Against the spread
LAS VEGAS -10.5 (-105) is the way to go.
The Aces spanked the Mystics by 24 points in the first meeting of the season on Aug. 11 at Mandalay Bay. Las Vegas matched a season-high with 113 points in the victory over Washington.
The Aces are 7-3 ATS in the past 10 games while playing on a day of rest. On the flip side, the Mystics are 1-6-1 ATS in the past 8 games overall, 1-3-1 ATS in the past 5 at home and 0-7 ATS in the past 7 against Western Conference foes.
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Over/Under
The OVER 166.5 (-110) is the lean, although the trends are all over the board for both sides.
While the Under is 4-1 in the past 5 games for Las Vegas when playing on a day of rest, the Over has cashed in 17 of the past 22 games on the road for the Aces.
The Under is 7-1 in the past 8 games for the Mystics when playing on 3 or more days of rest, but the Over has connected in 4 straight games against Western Conference foes.
Go lightly.
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