Lakers Heat odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Los Angeles Lakers at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Lakers at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Lakers (12-9) take on the Miami Heat (9-10) on the road Wednesday. Tip-off from Kaseya Center is at 7:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Lakers vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Heat won 2-0 last season

The Lakers have been sputtering a bit, losing 5 of their last 7 games. They are coming off a 109-80 road loss on Monday to the Minnesota Timberwolves, failing to cover the 7.5-point spread as underdogs. The Under (219) cashed.

The Heat have dropped 2 in a row and 3 of 5. They return home after a 2-game road trip that ended Monday with a 108-89 loss to the Boston Celtics as 9.5-point underdogs. The Under (220) cashed.

Lakers at Heat odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 9:48 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Lakers +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Heat -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Lakers +2.5 (-115) | Heat -2.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Lakers at Heat key injuries

Lakers

F Anthony Davis (foot) probable
C Jaxson Hayes (knee) out
G Jalen Hood-Schifino (groin) questionable
G Bronny James (heel) out
G Austin Reaves (pelvis) questionable
F Jarred Vanderbilt (foot) out
F Christian Wood (knee) out

Heat

F Jimmy Butler (knee) questionable
F Nikola Jovic (ankle) out
F Kevin Love (back) questionable
G Josh Richardson (head) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Lakers at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 108, Lakers 103

Moneyline

The Lakers have not won in Miami since 2020. They are 5-6 on the road this season, but the Heat are only 4-4 at home so far.

The Lakers have allowed only 103.8 points per game in their last 4 after 4 straight games allowing 118 points or more.

The Heat have been held under 100 points twice in the last 4 games.

But the big stat is this — the Lakers are 1-6 as underdogs this season while Miami is 7-5 as the favorite.

And with a small 2.5-point spread, the -105 odds to cover are better than the moneyline.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Heat are only 5-7 ATS as favorites this season, but the Lakers are 2-5 ATS as the underdog.

Miami has covered the spread in 7 of 9 of their wins this season.

BET HEAT -2.5 (-105).

Over/Under

Both meetings last season did not reach 216 total points.

The Lakers’ last 3 games have not had totals above 215. Three of the last 5 for Miami have not.

BET UNDER 215.5 (-105).

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Los Angeles Lakers at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Lakers at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Lakers (14-20) square off against the Miami Heat (17-17) Wednesday at FTX Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Lakers vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Lakers defeated the Orlando Magic 129-110 Tuesday to cover as 2.5-point road underdogs. That win snapped a 4-game losing skid.

The Heat secured a 113-110 victory over the Minnesota Timberwolves on Monday to cover as 1-point favorites at home. Miami is playing its 4th straight home game but is just 1-2 in the previous 3.

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Lakers at Heat odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:43 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Lakers +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Heat -330 (bet $330 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Lakers +7.5 (-102) | Heat -7.5 (-118)
Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Lakers at Heat key injuries

Lakers

Not yet submitted

Heat

C Bam Adebayo (shoulder) questionable
F Jimmy Butler (ankle) questionable
F Caleb Martin (ankle) probable
G Gabe Vincent (knee) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Lakers at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 116, Lakers 109

Moneyline

Because the Heat (-330) are such heavy favorites, I’ll PASS on the moneyline. Taking Miami to win straight up isn’t advised considering the current odds to secure the victory.

Against the spread

Assuming that F LeBron James is active on the 2nd leg of the back-to-back set, LAKERS +7.5 (-102) is an enticing bet in this game. If James is ruled out, then I’ll be siding with the Heat to cover the spread as Los Angeles struggles when he’s not on the court.

The Heat are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record.

Over/Under

OVER 223.5 (-110) is also an intriguing wager if James suits up for the Lakers. Los Angeles has scored 115 or more points in 4 straight games, so we’ll just need Miami to contribute a decent amount of points at home to hit the Over.

The Lakers have hit the Over in 5 straight games and in each of their last 4 games playing on 0 days of rest.

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Los Angeles Lakers at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Lakers at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Lakers (23-23) are in South Beach Sunday for a 6 p.m. ET game against the Miami Heat (29-17) at FTX Arena. Below, we look at the Lakers vs. Heat odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

L.A. rallied back from a first-half deficit to win and cover versus the Orlando Magic 116-105 as a 4.5-point road favorite Friday.

The Lakers are 2-4 straight-up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) with a minus-4.6 adjusted net rating (ranked 23rd) and a minus-8.3 ATS margin (ranked 29th) over the last two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Miami had its two-game win streak snapped after losing at the Atlanta Hawks 110-108 Friday as a 1.5-point road underdog.

The Heat are 4-2 SU and ATS with a plus-6.6 adjusted net rating (ranked third) and a plus-2.8 ATS margin (ranked seventh) in the last 14 days, per CTG.

A F LeBron James-less Lakers upset the Heat 120-117 in overtime at home in their first meeting this season (Nov. 10) as 5.5-point underdogs.

Lakers at Heat odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.

Money line: Lakers +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Heat -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Lakers +2.5 (-112) | Heat -2.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Lakers at Heat key injuries

Lakers

PF Anthony Davis (knee) questionable
SF LeBron James (abdomen) probable

Heat

PG Kyle Lowry (personal) out
SG Tyler Herro (health and safety protocols) out
PF P.J. Tucker (knee) questionable

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Lakers at Heat odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 114, Lakers 107

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” towards the Heat (-140) because they should win outright and if this number gets to -130 then Miami’s money line becomes the preferred wager. However, I’m confident enough in the Heat here to lay the points.

Against the spread

BET the HEAT -2.5 (-108) for 1 unit as a fade against the market that’s hammering the Lakers based on the possible return of AD.

Davis played and was very effective in the first Lakers-Heat meeting this season but the reason L.A. won was due to insanely hot and unsustainable 3-point shooting.

Miami actually won three of the “four factors” but the Lakers sunk 47.4% of their 3s while the Heat made just 27.0% of their 3s.

Westbrook and L.A. guards Avery Bradley, Malik Monk and Wayne Ellington combined to hit 16 of 28 shots from 3-point land. Those 3-point performances should flip in this game since role players shoot better at home.

Furthermore, Miami allows the fewest paint points per game (PPG) and will pack the paint to force Lakers’ Russell Westbrook and LeBron into contested outside jumpers.

The Heat also have two strength-on-weakness edges over the Lakers with ball security and rebounding. L.A. is 22nd in both offensive turnover rate and defensive rebounding rate. Miami is third in defensive turnover rate and fifth in offensive rebounding rate.

This is a much better spot for the Heat who are 14-6 ATS versus teams above-.500 (6-2 ATS at home) and an NBA’s best 12-4 ATS following a SU loss.

BET the HEAT -2.5 (-108).

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 215.5 (-108) for a small wager, if at all, because I much prefer the Miami side more than the total.

However, these teams have a combined 26-9 O/U record in non-conference games with a plus-6.7 ATS margin and both teams have easy ways to score points on each other.

L.A. plays at one of the fastest paces in the NBA and gets out in transition at a high frequency while Miami has a below-average defensive efficiency versus transition offense.

On the other hand, the Heat excel at getting to the charity stripe, especially Miami All-Star wing Jimmy Butler, and the Lakers are 22nd in defensive FT/FGA rate. Miami had 19 more free-throw attempts in the first Lakers-Heat meeting this season.

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Los Angeles Lakers at Miami Heat odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Los Angeles Lakers at Miami Heat NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Los Angeles Lakers (32-19) remain on the road Thursday night for a visit to the Miami Heat (26-25). Tip-off from AmericanAirlines Arena will be at 7:30 p.m ET. Below, we analyze the Lakers-Heat odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Lakers have hit some bumps lately, winning just four of their last 10 games. They are coming off a 110-101 win over the Toronto Raptors Tuesday, but that came after an 18-point loss to the L.A. Clippers. It’s no coincidence their recent dry spell has come with SF LeBron James and PF Anthony Davis both sidelined.

The Heat snapped a four-game winning streak Tuesday night when they lost 124-112 to the Memphis Grizzlies. SF Jimmy Butler and C Bam Adebayo lead Miami in scoring at 21.4 and 19.2 points per game, respectively, while SG Victor Oladipo continues to get acclimated with his new team. Miami is just 14-13 at home this season.

Lakers at Heat: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.

Money line: Lakers +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Heat -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Lakers +8 (-110) | Heat -8 (-110)
Over/Under: 203.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Lakers at Heat: Key injuries

Lakers

SF LeBron James (ankle) out
PF Anthony Davis (calf) out
C Andre Drummond (toe) probable
SF Kyle Kuzma (calf) probable

Heat

SG Tyler Herro (foot) probable
SF KZ Okpala (health and safety protocols) out

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Lakers at Heat: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Heat 102, Lakers 97

Money line (ML)

The Heat are heavy favorites in this one, with a money line of -350. That’s far too chalky for my taste, even though Miami is likely to win this one at home.

There just isn’t enough upside with a line that lopsided, so I would PASS and bet the spread.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Being at home and with the Lakers banged up, the Heat are favored by 8 points Thursday night. Miami is just 4-6 ATS in its last 10 games, while the Lakers are 3-7 in that same stretch.

Even though the Lakers are seriously shorthanded, I like them to cover the spread and keep this one fairly close down the stretch. Bet the LAKERS +8 (-110) to cover.

Over/Under (O/U)

The total has gone Under in six of the Lakers’ last seven games and with Los Angeles lacking an offensive catalyst, the UNDER 203.5 (-105) feels like a good bet again.

It’ll all come down to whether the Lakers can contain Butler with someone like Kuzma.

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Miami Heat at Los Angeles Lakers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Miami Heat at Los Angeles Lakers odds, with NBA betting picks and prediction

The Miami Heat (12-17) take on the Los Angeles Lakers (22-8) Saturday night in a rematch of the 2019-2020 NBA Finals. Tip-off is set for 8:35 p.m. at the Staples Center. Below, we analyze the Heat-Lakers odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Heat at Lakers: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:52 a.m. ET.

Money line: Heat +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Lakers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Heat +3.5 (-115) | Lakers -3.5 (-105)
Over/Under: 212.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Heat at Lakers: Key injuries

Heat

PG Goran Dragic (ankle) out
SG Avery Bradley (calf) out
PF Chris Silva (hip) out

Lakers

PF Anthony Davis (Achilles’) out
PG Dennis Schroder (COVID-19 protocols) out

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Nets at Lakers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Lakers 112, Heat 107

Money line (ML)

The LAKERS (-160) are our pick on the moneyline despite not having two key starters in PF Anthony Davis and PG Dennis Schroder. Those are two important players on both ends of the court and they will be missed.

However, Miami just hasn’t played well as of late, blowing a huge lead to the Warriors Wednesday night. While they were able to bounce back and defeat the Kings Thursday, it’s still hard to trust this team as they have now lost 13 of their last 19 road games. Take the Lakers here to win a close one on their home court.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The LAKERS (-3.5) are just two-basket favorites over the Heat Saturday night. That’s not all that surprising considering they are just 2-5 against the spread over their last seven games and they aren’t as dangerous without Davis on the court.

Still, they have enough depth, size and shooting to beat a slumping Miami Heat team and should be able to do so by more than 3.5 points. Look for this game to be close throughout, but for the Lakers to ultimately win by five or six points.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 212.5 points is the right play here despite both offenses being worse than average this season. The Lakers are currently 17th in points per game, while the Heat rank 26th. But as expected, both squads are dominant on the other end of the floor, as the Lakers allow just over 105 points per game. Still, 212.5 points isn’t very many and the Lakers should be able to approach 112 points themselves. As long as Miami can score into the 100s, the over should hit with ease.

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Also see: Lakers vs. Heat: Lineups, injury report and broadcast info

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