The Houston Dynamo (6 wins, 7 losses, 3 draws) visit LAFC (7-2-5) at BMO Stadium Wednesday. Kickoff is set for 10:30 p.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the LAFC vs. Houston Dynamo odds, and make our best expert MLS picks and predictions.
LAFC is coming into this game after losing 4-0 to Houston on the road Saturday. It ended with just 0.7 expected goals, snapping an 8-game streak of having at least 1 expected goal. LAFC is led by F Denis Bouanga, who has 10 goals in 14 matches this season. It is unbeaten at home, posting a 5-0-2 record at BMO Stadium.
Houston is 0-6-2 on the road, but is 6-1-1 at home. It is led offensively by French F Amine Bassi, who has scored 7 goals in 13 matches. He is 1 of 3 Dynamo players to have scored more than 1 goal which has been an issue for Houston, which averages just 1.19 goals per game. It has lost 4 of its last 7 games this season.
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LAFC vs. Houston Dynamo odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:45 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: LAFC -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Houston Dynamo +525 (bet $100 to win $525) | Draw +340
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -165 | U: +120)
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LAFC vs. Houston Dynamo picks and predictions
Prediction
LAFC 2, Houston Dynamo 0
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
The Dynamo, as noted, have been awful on the road, so even though they demolished LAFC last weekend, there’s really no reason to assume they will do it again. On the flip side, LAFC has been incredible at home, but it isn’t worth the juice at (-210). Ultimately, avoid the moneyline and look to the total for value.
Over/Under (O/U)
TAKE UNDER 2.5 (+120).
LAFC has been shut out for 2 straight games, one being at home against Atlanta as well. It has scored 2 or more goals in just 2 of its last 7 matches. Similarly, LAFC has allowed just 14 goals on the season.
Both teams are stronger defensively than they have been offensively. In the matchup last weekend, there were just 2.8 combined expected goals.
Houston has gone Under this total in 3 of its last 5 road matches and has scored multiple goals in just 1 road match. It has been held scoreless in 3 of those matches as well.
Considering it is averaging just 1.19 goals per game, Houston should regress from its 4-goal performance this weekend. Given the value, take the UNDER 2.5 (+120).
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