MLS playoffs: LAFC vs. LA Galaxy odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s LAFC vs. LA Galaxy Western Conference semifinal odds and lines, with MLS picks and predictions.

LAFC welcomes the LA Galaxy to Banc of California Stadium Thursday in 1 of the 2 Western Conference semifinals. Kickoff is set for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the LAFC vs. LA Galaxy odds, and make our best MLS bets, picks and predictions.

LAFC received the only 1st-round bye in the West, finishing the season with  21 wins in 34 matches. The midseason additions of former international superstars headlined the LAFC season.

Fans will likely see Wales F Gareth Bale and Italian D Giorgio Chiellini for the full 90 minutes. F Carlos Vela will also play an impactful role and led the team in goals and assists with a combined 21.

The LA Galaxy got through the 1st round by beating the No. 5-seeded Nashville SC at home. The Galaxy were the No. 4 seed after winning 14 regular season matches.

F Javier Hernández led the team in goals this season with 18. Hernandez and F Dejan Joveljić are the only players on the Galaxy team who have more than 4 goals on the season.

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LAFC vs. LA Galaxy odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:48 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: LAFC -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | LA Galaxy +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | Draw +310
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +122 | U: -155)

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Prediction

LAFC 2, LA Galaxy 1

Moneyline (ML)

BET LAFC (-140).

LAFC is the most talented team in the MLS. They have veteran talent with Vela and Bale and then leadership in the back with Chiellini.

The home side will also have more versatility in its attack with 5 players having scored 6 or more goals this season. On top of that advantage, LAFC was 13-2-2 at home this season.

The Galaxy lost 7 of 17 road games as well as dropping 5 of their last 10 on the road. The Galaxy don’t have the firepower to hang with LAFC and should struggle as they’ll be less rested as well.

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN UNDER 3.5 (-155).

LAFC has allowed 38 goals on the season, the 2nd-fewest in the West. The Galaxy’s attack also wasn’t clicking well against Nashville as neither team had more than 1 expected goal and LA won just 1-0.

LAFC had the fewest shots against in the regular season as well, so their defense had held strong for most of the season. With playoff games already difficult to net goals in, I expect a low-scoring battle on Thursday evening.

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LA Galaxy vs. LAFC odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s LA Galaxy vs. LAFC odds and lines, with MLS picks and predictions.

The LA Galaxy (3 wins, 2 losses, 0 draws) welcomes LAFC (4-0-1) to Dignity Health Tennis Center for the Los Angeles Derby Saturday. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the LA Galaxy vs. LAFC odds and lines, and make our best MLS bets, picks and predictions.

This is a clash of two Western Conference powerhouses. LAFC is in first, while the Galaxy sit third in the conference table.

The Galaxy are led by F Javier Hernandez (Chicharito), who has 4 goals on the season. Similarly, LAFC F Carlos Vela will likely start and get a full 90. He also is tied for the second-most MLS goals with 4.

The two clubs tied El Trafico twice last season with LA Galaxy winning the other 2021 match. LAFC is undefeated on the road, having won both matches, while LA Galaxy are 1-1-0 at home.

LA Galaxy vs. LAFC: Odds, picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:27 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: LA Galaxy +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | LAFC +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Draw +260
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -175 | U: +140)

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Prediction

LAFC 1, LA Galaxy 1

Money line (ML)

LEAN to the DRAW +260.

The last two times these teams met, the end result has been a draw. They played to 1-1 ties Aug. 28 and Oct. 3 last season.

While LAFC is the better side, the Galaxy will be at home, where they were 8-4-5 last season despite having a far weaker roster than their current one. Both teams have also been extremely strong defensively.

The Galaxy have given up 5 goals in 5 games, while LAFC has given up 4 in 5. Considering both know how to defend elite attacking forwards, they should be able to neutralize the top scorers.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET the UNDER 2.5 (+140).

Again, both teams have star power up top, but it’s going to be the defenses that should reign.

While El Trafico feels like it’s often a high-scoring affair, it really hasn’t been with the Under 2.5 goals having gone 3-3 in the last 6 matches. Under 3.5 is 5-1, which can be taken at -170.

Through 5 games, LAFC has allowed 15 shots, while the Galaxy have allowed just 14. It’s not going to be easy to score, and I expect few goals in this battle.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

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Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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