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The LA Dodgers and New York Yankees meet in Game 5 of the best-of-7 World Series Wednesday at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Series: Dodgers lead 3-1
The Yankees staved off elimination in Game 4 with an emphatic 11-4 victory. New York fell into a 2-0 hole, as Dodgers 1B Freddie Freeman launched a 2-run HR in the top of the 1st inning off of RHP Luis Gil, quieting the crowd for a while.
Freeman set a MLB record with a HR in each of his past 6 World Series games dating back to 2021 when he was with the Atlanta Braves. He is the first player in Major League history to homer in the first 4 games of a single World Series, too.
However, the crowd came alive in the bottom of the 3rd, as SS Anthony Volpe delivered a go-ahead grand slam to make it 5-2. L.A. was able to close it 5-4 in the top of the 5th, but the Yankees went wild with 5 in the bottom of the 8th to secure the victory and avoid the embarrassing sweep. Now, New York tries to force the series back to Southern California.
Volpe ended up with 4 RBI, and he was joined in the homer club by C Austin Wells, who launched a 2-run HR in the bottom of the 6th off of RHP Landon Knack. 2B Gleyber Torres got in on the fun with a 3-run HR in the bottom of the 8th.
Dodgers at Yankees projected starters
RHP Jack Flaherty vs. RHP Gerrit Cole
Flaherty (13-7, 3.17 ERA) made 28 regular-season starts. He had a 1.07 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 162 IP with the Detroit Tigers and Dodgers.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 6 K in 6-3 home win in 10 innings in Game 1 vs. Yankees
- 2024 road splits (regular season): 8-3, 2.94 ERA (88 2/3 IP, 29 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 22 BB, 108 K, .210 opponents’ batting average (OBA) in 16 starts
- Career vs. Yankees (including ’24 World Series): 1-0, 1.59 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 9 H, 3 BB, 10 K in 1 regular-season start and 1 postseason start
- 2024 postseason record: 1-2, 6.10 ERA, 20 2/3 IP, 14 K, 1.35 WHIP, 14 K in 4 starts
- Career postseason record: 2-5, 4.73 ERA, 45 2/3 IP, 45 K, 1.36 WHIP in 9 appearances (8 starts)
Cole (8-5, 3.41 ERA) made 17 regular-season starts. He had a 1.13 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 95 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 6-3 road loss in 10 innings in Game 1 vs. Dodgers
- 2024 home splits (regular season): 3-2, 4.31 ERA (48 IP, 23 ER), 1.27 WHIP, .240 OBA in 9 starts
- 2024 postseason record: 1-0, 2.82 ERA, 22 1/3 IP, 16 K, 1.30 WHIP in 4 starts
- Career postseason record: 11-6, 2.91 ERA, 126 2/3 IP, 150 K, 1.01 WHIP in 21 starts
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Dodgers at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:38 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dodgers +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (-165) | Yankees -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Dodgers at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Dodgers 3
Moneyline
The YANKEES (-150) are a good play behind Cole, as New York tries to force this series back to Southern California, extending its season.
The Yankees were finally able to get some decent late-inning pitching work, while using the long ball to get their first victory in this series.
This is exactly why the Yankees added Cole to the pitching rotation a few years back. The California kid will try and force this thing back to his native Golden State.
Run line/Against the spread
If you’re a little more adventurous, consider YANKEES -1.5 (+140) to get the job done.
This isn’t likely to be like Game 4, where there were a lot of runs scored in the later innings. It’s always tough to win that championship-clinching last game, so the Dodgers +1.5 (-165) aren’t the play. New York has a little confidence back after Game 4, and it should build on that and add a little more swagger in Game 5.
Over/Under
Over/Under 8 should be avoided, as I expect the total to come down right on the number.
If anything, the slight lean would be to the Under. After a pair of 4-2 decisions in Games 2 and 3, we had an Over in Game 4. We should get back to the solid pitching and some tightness at the plate, as the intensity ratchets up the deeper we go into the series.
The best move is to PASS, and just focus on the moneyline or run line.
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