The New York Knicks (20-44) visit the nation’s capital Tuesday for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off against the Washington Wizards (23-40) at Capital One Arena. We analyze the Knicks-Wizards odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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Knicks at Wizards: Key injuries
Knicks
- C Mitchell Robinson (illness) questionable
- PG Dennis Smith Jr. (concussion) probable
Wizards
- SF Isaac Bonga (groin) questionable
- C Anzejs Pasecniks (neck) questionable
- SG Jerome Robinson (Achilles) questionable
- PG Ish Smith (hamstring) out
- PG John Wall (Achilles) out
Knicks at Wizards: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 3 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Wizards 109, Knicks 107
Moneyline (ML)
The Wizards (-189) hold a 2-1 season-series lead over the Knicks (+155). Washington pasted New York in Madison Square Garden last month 114-96, thanks to a typical 30-point performance from Bradley Beal. The shooting guard had a streak of 21 consecutive 26-point games snapped Sunday in a 100-89 loss to the Miami Heat. In the Knicks’ previous game, they made easy work of an injury-depleted Detroit Pistons 96-84. The victory wrapped up a 3-2 homestead for the Knick. The Wizards are just 6-6 straight up as a home favorite, so their -189 moneyline is out the window, but can the Knicks pull off an upset? Sure, but the Knicks have only five wins in 26 games as a road dog and the +155 isn’t juicy enough to lean, like or love. PASS on the moneyline.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
Since both teams stink, we are partially betting for one team and partially against another. The Wizards -4.5 (-106) can score points but are the lowest-ranked defensive rating team in the NBA and give up the most points per game. Also, they are just 2-3 against the spread in their last five games.
Where the KNICKS +4.5 (-115) have a decided edge is in the rebounding matchup. New York has the ninth-best defensive-rebounding percentage and best offensive-rebounding percentage in the NBA, while Washington is 28th in defensive-rebounding percentage and 20th in offensive-rebounding percentage. Additionally, New York has covered four of its previous five games.
I like the KNICKS +4.5 (-115) because they’ll be able to trade buckets with the Wizards and gobble up loose boards.
Over/Under (O/U)
If we like the Knicks plus the points, then the UNDER 227.5 (+100) correlates with that pick. New York has one of the higher Under percentages in the NBA (29-34-1) and plays at a snail’s pace — ranked 24th in Pace of Play. The Under is 7-1 in the last eight Knicks-Wizards meetings and the Under has cashed in the last three games.
Since I generally don’t play totals, I only lean toward the UNDER.
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