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The Kentucky Wildcats (2-2, 0-2 SEC) and the 5th-ranked Ole Miss Rebels (4-0, 0-0) meet Saturday in an SEC game at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET (ABC/ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Kentucky vs. Ole Miss odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
There is a 25% chance of precipitation, with winds 9-11 MPH in the forecast due to the remnants of Hurricane Helene, but keep an eye on the weather for potential changes.
Kentucky washed the bad taste of a near-miss against top-ranked Georgia out of its mouth with a 41-6 pounding of the Ohio Bobcats last week, covering as a 21.5-point favorite as the Over (42) cashed for the 1st time this season.
The Wildcats took the Bulldogs to the mat Sept. 14 in Lexington as a 21.5-point underdog, falling 13-12 in an excruciatingly painful game for Big Blue fans. The Wildcats are respectable 3-1 against the spread (ATS) this season, but 1-1 ATS inside the conference, also losing at home to South Carolina 31-6 on Sept. 7 as a 9.5-point favorite. The Under is 2-0 in 2 SEC games, too.
Ole Miss has scored 40 or more points in all 4 games, and 52 or more points in 3 of 4 outings, covering the spread in each contest. The Rebels had its final tune-up prior to conference play last Saturday, paddling Georgia Southern 52-13 as a 35.5-point favorite. The Under has cashed in 3 in a row for the Rebs.
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Kentucky at Ole Miss odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 7:16 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Kentucky +525 (bet $100 to win $525) | Ole Miss -750 (bet $750 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Kentucky +16.5 (-110) | Ole Miss -16.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Kentucky at Ole Miss picks and predictions
Prediction
Ole Miss 34, Kentucky 16
Moneyline
Ole Miss (-750) will set you back 7 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk and not enough reward. Betting such heavy favorites over the long term is a losing betting strategy. Even tossing the Rebels into a multi-leg parlay is not a good idea, as they suck all of the value out of your ticket.
AVOID, and look to the spread instead.
Against the spread
The OLE MISS -16.5 (-110) offense has been powerful with QB Jaxson Dart under center, and it is worth playing lightly as they try and get the job done against Kentucky +16.5 (-110) in the 1st league game for Lane Kiffin’s Rebels.
The Wildcats have whipped up on Southern Miss and Ohio, but they lost to Georgia and South Carolina, its only 2 Power 4 and league opponents.
Ole Miss has a strong pass offense, and it should be able to negotiate the surprisingly sturdy Kentucky defense, which knocked Georgia QB Carson Beck off kilter.
If this game were in Lexington, and not down in The Grove, the results might be much different.
Over/Under
UNDER 52.5 (-110) is worth a look. While Ole Miss has shown no signs of slowing down offensively, it easily sees its best challenge against Kentucky’s defense.
The Rebels have cashed the Under in the past 3 games, too. While everyone seems to talk about Ole Miss, and its powerful offense, it has allowed just 22 points across 4 games.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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