Kansas State at Missouri odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Kansas State at Missouri odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 15 Kansas State Wildcats (2-0) travel across state lines to visit the Missouri Tigers (2-0) Saturday. Kickoff from Memorial Stadium in Columbia, Mo., is set for noon ET (SEC Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Kansas State vs. Missouri odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Kansas State has started its 2023 campaign with 2 blowout wins, the last of which was a 42-13 rout of the Troy Trojans. QB Will Howard has completed 67% of his passes (39 of 58) for 547 yards, 5 TDs, and 2 INTs in 2 games. The Wildcats’ defense has also been stellar so far, allowing only 13 total points in 2 games.

Mizzou came away with a 23-19 win in Week 2 vs. Middle Tennessee State University. Missouri is a more balanced team than Kansas State with viable threats in both the running and passing attack. WR Luther Burden III is the teams biggest threat with 15 receptions for 213 yards and 1 TD. RB Cody Schrader has 41 carries for 222 yards and 1 TD.

Kansas State is No. 15 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Kansas State at Missouri odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:02  a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Kansas State -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Missouri +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Kansas State -3.5 (-120) | Missouri +3.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Kansas State at Missouri picks and predictions

Prediction

Missouri 27, Kansas State 24

Moneyline

LEAN MISSOURI (+150).

The Wildcats have not yet played against true competition this season, and the Tigers will be their 1st taste of that. Missouri is a good team and with a full home crowd behind them, they will make this a tough game for the 15th-ranked Wildcats. Look for Burden to make an impact in both the special teams and passing attack. If the Wildcats can contain Burden then that helps their chance of winning, but I’m not sure they’ll be able to pull off that feat while also having to worry about the Tigers’ rushing attack.

Against the spread

BET MISSOURI +3.5 (-110).

If the Tigers can contain the Wildcats’ passing attack, they will make this a very close game. The Wildcats’ rushing numbers don’t look bad, but a lot of those rushing yards came in blowout games when they were simply trying to chew clock. The Wildcats are a team that is looking to pass, and if this Mizzou secondary can make that hard for them; Mizzou will have the upper hand.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 47.5 (-110). 

Both Missouri and Kansas State have shown that their defenses can hold teams, and I expect that to continue here. Both teams have offenses with scoring potential, but this game will come down to defense. I expect the Tigers’ rushing attack to lead to long, time-consuming drives that make it hard for this game to hit the Over.

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