Tag: Kansas Jayhawks vs. Baylor Bears odds predictions pick betting line spread

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The Baylor Bears (13-7, 5-4 Big 12) welcome the Kansas Jayhawks (15-5, 6-3) to Foster Pavilion Saturday. Tip is set for 4 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Kansas vs. Baylor odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Kansas, which is No. 11 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll, enters having taken down the UCF Knights 91-87 Tuesday, closing as a 12.5-point home favorite. The Jayhawks have won 3 of their last 4 and 6 of their last 8, covering in 4 of those. They have performed well offensively as of late, scoring at least 84 in 3 of their last 4 games.

The Bears lost to the BYU Cougars 93-89 in overtime Tuesday, pushing as a 4-point road underdog. They snapped a 2-game winning streak with the loss and have come up short in 3 of their last 5 games. Baylor has struggled to cover consistently and is just 1-4-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last 6 and 7-11-1 ATS on the season.

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Kansas at Baylor odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Kansas +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Baylor -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
• Against the spread (ATS): Kansas +2.5 (-110) | Baylor -2.5 (-110)
• Over/Under (O/U): 141.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Kansas at Baylor picks and predictions

Prediction

Kansas 72, Baylor 69

Moneyline

BET KANSAS (+115).

The Jayhawks, especially considering the size of the spread, are better played on the moneyline. They have won 3 of their last 4 road games and are 5-3 straight up either on a neutral court or on the road. Kansas is 6-3 in Big 12 action with only 1 of those losses coming to an unranked side.

Baylor has just been too inconsistent to take here. It has come up short in 4 of its last 8. The Bears don’t have a signature win and have losses to ranked teams like Iowa State, UConn, and Tennessee. Considering those weaknesses against top-25 sides for the Bears, take KANSAS (+115).

Against the spread

PASS.

This game should be close, and the Jayhawks are better served as a moneyline underdog instead of a slight underdog on the spread. With the predicted outcome, the moneyline is the preferred play.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 141.5 (-115).

Neither team has consistently gone Over in Big 12 action. Kansas is just 3-6 O/U in conference play and 4-16 O/U on the season. It has allowed 62 or fewer in 5 of 9 Big 12 games.

The Bears’ defense has been just as solid, allowing 62 or fewer in 2 of their last 3. They are just 3-6 O/U in their last 9 and are 1-3 O/U at home in that span.

Play UNDER 141.5 (-115).

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The Kansas Jayhawks (21-7, 9-6 Big 12) and Baylor Bears (20-8, 9-6) are lined up for a Saturday matinee in Waco. Tip-off from Foster Pavilion is set for 1 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Kansas vs. Baylor odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Kansas, ranked No. 9 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, is coming off a Tuesday loss and is just 3-3 straight up and 2-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last 6 games. Tuesday as 8-point home favorites, the Jayhawks lost to the then-No. 21 BYU Cougars 78-66. KU allowed 13 3-pointers, while sinking just 3 in the defeat.

The 14th-ranked Bears also recently lost to the Cougars. Three games ago for Baylor, it lost as a 3.5-point underdog 78-71 at BYU Feb. 20. The Bears followed that with another loss — 82-76 in overtime as 2.5-point home underdogs to then-No. 2, now-No. 1 Houston Feb. 24. The Bears bounced back Monday with a 62-54 triumph as 2.5-point underdogs at TCU. The 54 points allowed marked a BU season-best in league play.

Baylor and Kansas played in Lawrence Feb. 10 with the Jayhawks claiming a 64-61 victory, but the Bears covering as 5.5-point underdogs and the Under (148.5) cashing.

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Kansas at Baylor odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 5:52 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Kansas +164 (bet $100 to win $164) | Baylor -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
• Against the spread: Kansas +4.5 (-110) | Baylor -4.5 (-110)
• Over/Under (O/U): 145.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Kansas at Baylor picks and predictions

Prediction

Baylor 73, Kansas 68

Moneyline

Baylor is 13-2 at home this season, and both losses were in overtime. The most recent of those was the heartbreaker vs. Houston.

The Bears have a penchant for frequent launches from beyond the arc, and their 40.2% success rate ranks 2nd in the country, per kenpom.com. Figure solid leverage there, on the boards and in getting to the foul line.

This one is worth a line watch. Back the Bears if the tag drops to -190 or lower.

Against the spread

The last 6 meetings in the Jayhawks-Bears series have netted an ATS split. Baylor is the lean side, but the Bears have had some game flows of late that don’t offer enough projectability of a touchdown advantage. PASS.

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Over/Under

The last 15 Kansas losses have yielded an Under going 10-5 the next time out (4-1 this season), per statfox.com.

The Jayhawks typically play an up-tempo style, while the Bears play slow. But when Baylor squared off against the 3 fastest squads in the Big 12 (BYU, Kansas, TCU), those contest have seen BU hold sway with the pace, and the Under has gone 4-1.

Both teams excel in forcing less-than-optimum mid-range attempts at the defensive end.

BACK THE UNDER 145.5 (-110).

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