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The New York Yankees (82-61) welcome the Kansas City Royals (79-65) to Yankee Stadium to open a 3-game series Monday. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 3-1
The Yankees lost 2-1 at the Chicago Cubs Sunday, but still managed to win the series 2-1. New York is 3-3 over its last 6 games, all on the road, and 5-3 in its last 8 at home. It is 37-31 at home on the season and 75-68 against the spread (ATS).
The Royals beat the visiting Minnesota Twins 2-0 Sunday to complete a 3-game sweep. Kansas City has rallied off 4 straight wins since a 7-game losing streak Aug. 28-Sept. 3. The Royals sit 2nd in the AL Central and are 34-35 on the road this season. They are 80-64 ATS.
Royals at Yankees projected starters
RHP Brady Singer vs. LHP Carlos Rodon
Singer (9-10, 3.35 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 158 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 7-1 home defeat to Cleveland Guardians Tuesday
- 2024 away stats: 3-4, 3.95 ERA (68 1/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.41 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 13 starts
- Career vs. Yankees: 0-2, 5.19 ERA (26 IP, 15 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 in 5 starts
Rodon (14-9, 4.19 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 152 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 11 K in 7-4 road loss to Texas Rangers Tuesday
- 2024 home stats: 8-2, 3.08 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 11 starts
- Career vs. Royals: 4-6, 4.82 ERA (61 2/3 IP, 33 ER), 1.54 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 12 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Royals at Yankees odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Royals +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Yankees -178 (bet $178 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Royals +1.5 (-140) | Yankees -1.5 (+116)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)
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Royals at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Royals 3
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s no great value here.
The Royals have lost 5 straight on the road and are taking on one of the top teams in MLB. They aren’t worth a moneyline play as underdogs, and the Yankees (-178) are just too expensive here.
Run line/Against the spread
BET YANKEES -1.5 (+116).
While Singer has been terrific on the mound over the course of the season, recently, the Royals have struggled when he starts. They have lost 3 straight games while allowing 6 or more runs in each outing. He has allowed 19 ER over his last 6 starts.
Kansas City is 4-7 over its last 11 games, and 6 of the 7 losses were by more than 1 run. The Yankees have covered in each of their last 3 wins and are 5-3 ATS in their last 8 home games. Take YANKEES -1.5 (+116).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8.5 (-122).
The Yankees have gone Under in 3 straight games while failing to score more than 3 runs in each outing. They have allowed a total of just 2 runs over that span, as well.
The Royals have gone Under in 4 straight games, while holding opponents to 2 or fewer runs, and are 1-7-1 O/U in their last 9.
Considering those trends and the strength of the starting pitchers, back UNDER 8.5 (-122).
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