Tag: Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins odds predictions pick betting line spread

Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (34-22) and Minnesota Twins (30-24) play the 3rd game of a 4-game set Wednesday. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 4-1

The Royals lost 4-2 as -130 favorites in the 2nd game of the series Tuesday as the Under (7.5) hit. Kansas City has lost 3 straight games for the 1st time since a 3-game skid April 27-29.

RHP Simeon Woods Richardson got his 1st win in 8 starts for the Twins, who have won 6 of their last 7 games. Twins 3B José Miranda got the offense started early with a 2-run single in the 1st inning.

Royals at Twins projected starters

RHP Seth Lugo vs. RHP Bailey Ober

Lugo (8-1, 1.74 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 72 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 8-1 victory at Tampa Bay Rays Friday
  • 2024 road stats: 5-0, 0.75 ERA (36 IP, 3 ER), 0.69 WHIP in 5 starts
  • 2024 vs. Twins: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (6 IP), 2 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 1 start, a 5-1 home loss March 30
  • Career vs. Twins: 0-0, 1.80 ERA (20 IP, 4 ER), 1.00 WHIP in 3 starts and 2 relief appearances

Ober (5-2, 4.33 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 52 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 3-2 home victory over Texas Rangers Friday
  • 2024 home stats: 2-0, 2.57 ERA (21 IP, 6 ER), 0.91 WHIP in 4 starts
  • 2024 vs. Royals: 0-1, 54.00 ERA (1 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 9 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 1 start, an 11-0 road loss March 31
  • Career vs. Royals: 0-3, 7.24 ERA (32 1/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.70 WHIP in 8 starts

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Royals at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Twins -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-200) | Twins -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Royals at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 3, Twins 2

Moneyline

The market seems to have lost all confidence in the ROYALS (+110) after losing in a good spot Tuesday.

Lugo has won his last 5 decisions, and Ober has struggled against Kansas City in his career. This line seems like an overreaction to the Royals’ 3-game skid and Minnesota winning 6 of its last 7.

BET ROYALS (+110).

Run line/Against the spread

Kansas City +1.5 (-200) should hit, but laying -200 in MLB is a losing proposition long term.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Under 4-1-1 in Minnesota’s last 6 games, and Ober has allowed 2 ER or fewer in all 4 home starts this season.

Lugo has given up 2 ER or fewer in 6 straight starts overall and allowed a total of just 3 ER over 5 road outings this year.

BET UNDER 7.5 (-120).

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Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (34-21) and Minnesota Twins (29-24) play the 2nd game a 4-game set at Target Field Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 3-1

The Royals lost the series opener 6-5 as +154 underdogs Monday as the Over (8) hit. Kansas City has lost back-to-back games for the 1st time since a 2-game skid May 4-5.

The Twins have won 5 of their last 6 games. 3B José Miranda and LF Trevor Larnach both homered in the series opener for Minnesota, which cashed as a -168 favorite.

Royals at Twins projected starters

LHP Cole Ragans vs. RHP Simeon Woods Richardson

Ragans (4-3, 3.34 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 62 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 3 BB, 12 K in 8-3 home victory vs. Detroit Tigers Wednesday
  • 2024 road stats: 1-1, 2.84 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.99 WHIP in 4 starts
  • 2024 vs. Twins: 0-1, 3.00 ERA (6 IP, 2 ER), 5 H, 3 BB, 9 K in 1 start, a 4-1 home loss Opening Day
  • Career vs. Twins: 0-1, 2.70 ERA (10 IP, 3 ER), 1.50 WHIP in 2 starts

Woods Richardson (1-0, 2.57 ERA) makes his 8th start. The rookie has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 35 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 3-2 win at Washington Nationals Wednesday
  • 2024 home stats: 0-0, 1.64 ERA (11 IP, 2 ER), 0.91 WHIP in 2 starts
  • Has never faced Royals before

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Royals at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:09 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals -126 (bet $126 to win $100) | Twins +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals -1.5 (+130) | Twins +1.5 (-156)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Royals at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 3, Twins 2

Moneyline

It’s unlikely that the ROYALS (-126) will lose 3 straight games for the 1st time since April 27-29. Ragans is on a 13-inning scoreless streak over his last 2 outings and shouldn’t lose to Minnesota twice in a season.

Woods Richardson has been consistent for Minnesota, allowing 2 or fewer runs in 6 of his 7 starts, but has only pitched more than 5 1/3 innings twice this season.

Kansas City and Minnesota are 6th and 13th, respectively, in runs per game, according to Teamrankings.com. The better offense has the advantage at starting pitcher and will likely bounce back after 2 straight losses.

BET ROYALS (-126).

Run line/Against the spread

Runs may be hard to come by with Ragans and Woods Richardson on the mound. Minnesota +1.5 (-156) is more likely to hit on the run line, but I wouldn’t recommend backing the Twins in any capacity against Ragans in this spot.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Under is 3-1-1 in Minnesota’s last 5 games, and Woods Richardson has allowed a total of just 1 run over his last 2 starts. Ragans on the mound for Kansas City also makes me lean Under, but the risk here is that the Royals have scored 7 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games.

LEAN UNDER 8 (-122).

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Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (34-20) and Minnesota Twins (28-24) open a 4-game series Monday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 2-1

The Royals suffered a 4-1 loss Sunday at the Tampa Bay Rays, snapping an 8-game winning streak. It was the first time since April 28 that Kansas City was limited to less than 2 runs in a single game.

Despite the loss, Kansas City is still averaging 6.8 runs per game (RPG) in the past 9 outings, which is well above the team’s already impressive 4.9 RPG season average, which ranks 6th in the majors. The Royals are 8th in the majors in both batting average (.252) and OPS (.726), according to Covers.com.

The Twins were also on the short end Sunday, falling 6-2 to the Texas Rangers at Target Field. That snapped a 4-game win streak. The Twins are averaging 4.8 RPG in the past 5 outings, while allowing just 2.6 RPG. The Under is on a 3-0-1 run in the past 4 games for Minnesota.

These teams haven’t met since the first series of the season March 28-31 in Kansas City, with Minnesota winning 2 of 3. The favorite is 2-1 in 3 meetings, with the Under going 2-1, too.

Royals at Twins projected starters

RHP Alec Marsh vs. RHP Joe Ryan

Marsh (4-1, 2.72 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 43 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 10-3 home victory vs. Detroit Tigers Tuesday
  • 2024 road splits: 2-1, 2.82 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 0.94 WHIP, .193 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 3 HR, 5 BB, 21 K across 4 starts

Ryan (3-3, 3.15 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 60 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 10-0 win at Washington Nationals Tuesday
  • 2024 home splits: 1-3, 5.02 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.05 WHIP, .234 OBA, 4 BB, 31 K in 5 starts

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Royals at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Twins -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-140) | Twins -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Royals at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 4, Twins 3

Moneyline

The ROYALS (+145) are a solid play on the road behind Marsh, who has posted some outstanding numbers away from Kauffman Stadium.

The Twins (-175) have been playing well lately, taking 2 of 3 games from the defending champ Rangers, as well as the final 2 games in Washington. However, Minnesota is 0-6 in the past 6 games against winning teams.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more on the conservative side and can’t play the moneyline, consider ROYALS +1.5 (-140) on the run line as underdogs if you require a little bit of insurance.

The Twins won 2 of 3 in the 1st series of the season against the Royals, but a lot has changed since then. Minnesota can’t beat teams with a winning record, while the Kansas City offense has been on fire.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (–105) is worth playing lightly in this day game, but go with a half-unit play at best.

Ryan has struggled at home, but he has managed a solid 3.77 ERA in 28 2/3 innings across 5 daytime starts.

Marsh has allowed just 7 ER in 22 1/3 innings on the road this season, limiting the opposition to a .193 average in their own parks. This one has the chance to be an underrated pitcher’s duel.

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Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (57-84) will begin a 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins (69-70) Tuesday. First pitch from Target Field is at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Twins lead 9-4

The Royals enter Tuesday’s matchup with only 4 wins in their last 10 games since the start of September. Kansas City has lost 4 consecutive meetings with Minnesota, being outscored 24-5 over that span.

The Twins have also had a rough September thus far, logging only 2 wins in 10 games. Minnesota is amid a 4-game losing skid and they are now 9 games back of the final AL wild-card spot.

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Royals at Twins projected starters

LHP Kris Bubic vs. RHP Joe Ryan

Bubic (2-11, 5.40 ERA) makes his 24th start and 25th appearance. He has a 1.64 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9, and 7.1 K/9 through 111 2/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 3 or more ER in 4 of his last 5 starts
  • Aug. 15 at Twins: 5 2/3 IP, 10 H, 4 ER, 3 BB and 7 K

Ryan (10-8, 4.05 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9, and 9.1 K/9 through 122 1/3 IP.

  • Last 2 starts: 9 IP, 11 H, 9 ER, 5 BB and 11 K
  • Aug. 15 vs. Royals: 5 1/3 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 2 BB and 6 K

Royals at Twins odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Royals +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Twins -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-135) | Twins -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Royals at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 6, Royals 3

Money line

Even though I expect the Twins to win, I’ll PASS on the money line in this game. You would only make $100 on a $190 wager if you took Minnesota in this contest, and that’s a little too much risk for me.

Run line/Against the spread

The TWINS -1.5 (+110) are the choice in this game, even with both teams struggling recently. Minnesota has won by multiple runs in 7 of their last 8 victories over Kansas City, including each of the last 4.

For those that aren’t confident in the Twins to win by 2 or more runs, TWINS -0.5 FIRST 5 INNINGS (-130) is a nice alternative.

Over/Under

Despite both of these teams reeling in recent games, OVER 8.5 RUNS (+100) is a solid bet in this game. The Royals have hit the Over in the 1st game of a series in each of their last 8 series.

The Over is also 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between the Twins and the Royals.

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Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (48-69) take on the Minnesota Twins (59-55) Tuesday in the 2nd of a 3-game set at Target Field. First pitch is set for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Twins lead 7-4

The Royals lost a tight one in Monday’s opener of this series 4-2. They’ve now lost 3 of 4 but have won 6 of 10 and aren’t going away as potential spoilers. They are hapless on the road, though, with a 19-35 mark, which is 4th worst in the majors.

The Twins received solid pitching and timely hitting Monday to snap a 1-5 stretch for them as they’ve fallen out of 1st place in the AL Central. They are 12-18 over the last 30 games but maintain a home-field advantage behind a 32-25 record. They do their best work within the division at 28-20.

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Royals at Twins projected starters

RHP Zack Greinke vs. RHP Sonny Gray

Greinke (4-7, 4.29 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 5.2 K/9 in 98 2/3 IP.

  • Has solid 3.00 ERA (30 IP, 10 ER) over last 6 starts, while picking up the K-rate, too, with a 6.9 K/9 through that stretch
  • Twins touched him up for 5 ER on 6 H and 2 BB with 2 K in 4 IP of 7-3 loss at Target Field May 29

Gray (6-3, 3.33 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 83 2/3 IP.

  • Hit hard in his last 7 starts with a 5.03 ERA (34 IP, 19 ER), while giving up at least 3 ER in 4 of those starts
  • Last 2 seasons vs. Royals: 2-0, 2.08 ERA (13 IP, 3 ER) in 2 starts

Royals at Twins odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:13 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Royals +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Twins -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-135) | Twins -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Royals at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Royals 3

Money line

I could see the Royals stealing this one, but Greinke’s road numbers are terrible with a 7.16 ERA (44 IP, 35 ER) and an 0-5 record in 9 starts. As such, I like the TWINS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-127) in the 3-way option, which includes a tie.

If you’re looking for a player prop bet, Twins 3B Gio Urshela is 5-for-10 (.500) with a homer and double against Greinke. URSHELA OVER 1.5 TOTAL BASES (+120) has some value.

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Run line/Against the spread

I’m picking the Twins to win by 2 runs, but I need more than +105 to put my money where my fingertips are. The Twins only have 4 wins in 10 games, and 3 of them were by 2+ runs. Greinke has allowed 16 hits over 11 IP in his last 2 starts.

We’re getting plus-money for the Twins to get 6 hits in the first 5. So, let’s take OVER 5.5 TWINS TOTAL HITS FIRST 5 INNINGS (+107).

Over/Under

It’s 85 degrees with a 7-mph wind blowing toward the left-field foul pole. Greinke struggles on the road, and Gray’s numbers are actually worse at home.

The Over is 5-0 in Greinke’s last 5 road starts against a team with a winning record. The Over is 6-0 in Gray’s last 6 on grass.

The Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these teams. LEAN OVER 7.5 (-130).

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