Kansas City Royals at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Kansas City Royals at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (48-43) and Colorado Rockies (32-57) conclude their 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Coors Field is slated for 3:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rockies lead 2-0, winning 4-2 Friday and 3-1 Saturday

Royals RHP Seth Lugo suffered his 3rd loss of the season, despite allowing just 2 ER (3 total) on Saturday. The Royals gave him little support, producing just 1 run on 8 hits — a solo shot from 1B Vinnie Pasquantino.

The Rockies look for their 1st series sweep since May 12-15 vs. the San Diego Padres. LHP Austin Gomer looked great Saturday holding the Royals to 1 ER in 7 IP (6H, 0 BB, 3 K). CF Brenton Doyle parked a 2-run HR and 3B Ryan McMahon went 3-for-3 with a RBI.

Royals at Rockies projected starters

RHP Brady Singer vs. RHP Tanner Gordon

Singer (4-5, 3.05 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 94 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 5-1 home loss against Tampa Bay Rays Tuesday
  • 2024 road splits: 0-2, 3.63 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.47 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in 7 starts
  • Only start vs. Rockies: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 2-0 home victory June 4, 2023

Gordon, 26, makes his Major League debut on Sunday.

  • Called up from Triple-A Albuquerque on July 6
  • Triple A stats: 2-3, 5.35 ERA in 7 starts. He had a 1.46 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9, 3.6 K/9 in 33 2/3 IP
  • Is 30-31 with 4.63 ERA in 5 minor league seasons

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Royals at Rockies odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals -162 (bet $162 to win $100) | Rockies +136 (bet $100 to win $136)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals -1.5 (-110) | Rockies +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Royals at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 6, Rockies 4

Moneyline.

PASS.

The Royals (-162) will not get swept on Sunday against a pitcher making his MLB debut. As confident as I am, I’ll avoid betting more than 1 1/2 units on Kansas City and save my wager for the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET ROYALS -1.5 (-110).

Kansas City has only been swept once all season and I do not believe it’ll happen against a team that’s 25 games under .500. This is a perfect opportunity for the Royals to break out of their mini slump (lost 4 of their last 5) against a mediocre minor league pitcher making his MLB debut.

The Rockies are 10-22 in day games, batting .225 under the sunshine. They are also 13-17 in intraleague play on the season.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 10.5 (-122).

I love this Under despite there being a young pitcher making his debut on Sunday afternoon. The Under has hit in the last 4 KC-Colorado matchups,  including both games in this series. The Royals and Rockies are both are 1-5 against the Over in their last 6. All the trends are pointing to an Under.

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Kansas City Royals at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Kansas City Royals at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Colorado Rockies (30-57) welcome the Kansas City Royals (48-41) to Coors Field Friday to open a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Rockies won 2-1 last year

The Rockies, who are 18-26 at Coors Field this season, beat the Milwaukee Brewers 4-3 Thursday as +118 home underdogs. They split the 4-game series with Milwaukee, winning the first and last battle. Colorado has won 3 of its last 5 yet is just 3-7 over its last 10 games. It is 42-45 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

The Royals lost to the Tampa Bay Rays 10-8 Thursday, closing as -103 underdogs. They lost 2 of 3 in the series yet are 5-3 over their last 8. Kansas City is 49-40 ATS on the season. It has covered in each win and failed to cover in each loss over its last 8 games. The Royals are 17-23 on the road.

Royals at Rockies projected starters

LHP Cole Ragans vs. LHP Kyle Freeland

Ragans (5-6, 3.33 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 102 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 7-2 home defeat to Cleveland Guardians Saturday
  • 2024 away splits: 1-3, 3.12 ERA (43 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 3 HR, 9.3 K/9 in 7 starts
  • Career vs. Rockies: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (2 IP), 1 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 1 relief appearance of 11-5 home win May 20, 2023

Freeland (0-3, 7.94 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.80 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 in 28 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 5-4 extra innings road win over Chicago White Sox Sunday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-0, 1.64 ERA (11 IP, 2 ER), 0.91 WHIP, 0 HR, 4.9 K/9 in 2 starts
  • Career vs. Royals: 0-2, 6.17 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 16 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 2 starts, including 0-1 with 2.57 ERA (7 IP, 2 ER) in 1 start last year

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Royals at Rockies odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:36 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Rockies +152 (bet $100 to win $152)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Royals -1.5 (-118) | Rockies +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -104 | U: -118)

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Royals at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 5, Rockies 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The Royals (-180) are too expensive to take here, especially on the road and with how well the Rockies have been playing lately. For Colorado, it is better played on the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET ROCKIES +1.5 (+100).

The Rockies beat the Brewers in 2 of 4 and covered in 1 of their 2 losses as well. They have closed as underdogs in 5 straight games and gone 3-2 straight up over that span.

Colorado, in Freeland’s last start, beat the White Sox 5-4 as well, and he has pitched much better at home. It is 22-20 ATS at home, a record that sits in the top third of the majors. The Royals sit in the bottom half of the majors at 21-19 ATS on the road.

Considering Colorado’s recently strong play and Freeland’s success at home, take ROCKIES +1.5 (+100).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 10.5 (-118).

The Rockies have gone Under in 3 straight games, scoring 4 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 8. Colorado is 3-6-1 O/U in its last 10 games and 1-2 O/U in Freeland’s last 3 starts.

The Royals have gone Under in 3 of their last 4 games and are 38-49-2 O/U on the season. They have been strong defensively, having allowed 2 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 11 games.

Put it all together, and back UNDER 10.5 (-118).

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Kansas City Royals at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Kansas City Royals at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (10-19) head to Coors Field Friday to start a 3-game series with the Colorado Rockies (16-15) at 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

K.C. is 3-7 overall in the last 10 games and has lost 4 of its last 5 games, including the 3-game series rubber match at the Texas Rangers 3-1 Thursday.

Colorado wrapped up a 6-game road trip 1-5 overall with two series losses at the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Francisco Giants entering Friday.

Royals at Rockies projected starters

RHP Zack Greinke vs. LHP Kyle Freeland

Greinke is 0-2 with a 2.67 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 2.7 K/9 in 33 2/3 IP over 6 starts.

  • No-decision in K.C.’s 6-4 win at the Baltimore Orioles Sunday with 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 10 H, 0 BB and 3 K.
  • vs. Rockies on the current roster: 2.47 FIP with a .215/.242/.328 expected batting average, wOBA and slugging percentage slash line, 25.5 K% and 83.4 mph exit velocity in 196 plate appearances.

Freeland 1-3 with a 3.94 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 32 IP over 6 starts.

  • No-decision in Colorado’s 4-1 victory at the Arizona Diamondbacks Saturday with 6-scoreless IP, 3 H, 2 BB and 6 K.

Royals at Rockies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Royals +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Rockies -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-165) | Rockies -1.5 (+133)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Royals at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 7, Rockies 5

Money line

LEAN to the ROYALS (+120) because the oddsmakers are begging for Rockies (-145) with a line this low considering K.C. is 1-7 overall vs. left-handed pitching, and the Rockies are tough to beat at home.

But, Colorado’s lineup struggles almost as much with right-handed pitching as K.C.’s does vs. lefties, and Freeland pitches worse at his home ballpark since Coors Field is ultra-batter-friendly. Freeland has a 5.57 home ERA (0.82 ERA on the road) and a 6.0 home K/9 (9.8 K/9 in Colorado).

Greinke is 5-1 overall in 14 career games at Coors Field (13 starts). Colorado’s bullpen has the second-worst xFIP in the MLB (per FanGraphs) so I give K.C. a 2-phase edge in this matchup: Starting and relief pitching.

Also, there’s a line freeze in the betting market since more than 85% of the action (according to Pregame.com) is on the Rockies, but their current price hasn’t budged off the opener. This tells us that the sportsbooks are looking for more pro-Colorado money, and we don’t want to play into the House’s hand.

BET the ROYALS (+120).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS because the Royals +1.5 (-155) is too expensive considering K.C. is just 7-7 RL as road underdogs and has a bottom-10 lineup and bullpen.

Over/Under

Slight LEAN to the OVER 10.5 (-107) because the Rockies are 5-0 O/U in Freeland’s last 5 starts with the total set between 9-10.5, K.C. is 7-6-1 O/U as road underdogs and Colorado is 6-4 O/U as home favorites.

However, I’m sure the Over will be a popular bet in the Royals-Rockies since Coors Field is a launching pad, and neither pitching staff is any good. I hate following a crowd in sports betting – but I’ll LEAN OVER 10.5 (-107).

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