Best NFL underdog picks and predictions for Week 11

Analyzing NFL Week 11 betting odds and lines, with expert predictions and picks of the 3 best underdogs to cash in on.

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In Week 10 last week, NFL underdogs had a pretty good run. Seven outright underdogs on the moneyline in 14 games, with big upsets like the Washington Commanders upending the Philadelphia Eagles, the Minnesota Vikings knocking off the Buffalo Bills and Green Bay Packers defeating the Dallas Cowboys. Eight underdogs beat the spread in Week 10.

Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 11 underdog bets to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

As for my 3 best bets for the Week 10, only 1 hit — the Commanders covering the spread against the Eagles — leaving me at 13-17 on my underdog picks for the week.

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NFL underdog predictions: Week 11

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at Thursday at 6:25 a.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.

CHICAGO BEARS +3.5 (-119) at Atlanta Falcons – 1 p.m. (FOX)

The Bears have lost 3 straight and 6 of their last 7 games, but they have come close, losing by 1 point to the Detroit Lions and 3 points to the Miami Dolphins. QB Justin Fields has thrown 7 TD passes in the last 3 games and rushed for 385 yards.

The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in 4 straight games. They have had fewer than 300 yards of offense in 4 of their last 6 games.

Check out: All Week 11 odds and lines

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Kansas City Chiefs at LOS ANGELES CHARGERS +6 (-111) – 8:20 p.m (NBC)

Only 1 of the last 5 matchups between the 2 teams has resulted in the Chiefs winning by 6 or more points.

The Chiefs are only 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

The Chargers have covered the spread in 2 straight games and in 4 of their last 6 games.

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LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (+125) at Denver Broncos – 4:05 p.m. (FOX)

The Raiders won the 1st meeting between the 2 teams this season 32-23 in Las Vegas.

The problem for the Raiders this season has been defense. They can score but have been allowing too many points (25.3 per game). Denver’s offense is anemic, averaging 14.6 points per game, and has reached 20 points only twice all season and once in their last 4 games.

The Raiders have scored 20 or more in 7 of 9 games this season.

More NFL Week 11 picks and predictions

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Chiefs’ opponent preview, Week 11: Scouting the Chargers

A detailed scouting report on the Chiefs’ Week 11 opponent, the Los Angeles Chargers.

The Kansas City Chiefs travel to Mexico City to take on the Los Angeles Chargers on Monday night in Week 11.

The Chiefs are coming off a disappointing road loss to the Tennessee Titans. Weeks ago, winning the AFC West seemed like a foregone conclusion for Kansas City, with the main focus being on getting a first-round bye for the playoffs. Now, the Chiefs have just a half-game lead over the Oakland Raiders and a two-game lead over the Chargers.

The Chargers are dealing with plenty of adversity of their own. They definitely did not envision themselves being 4-6 at this point in the season. Things seemed to be heading in the right direction for L.A. two weeks ago after they beat the Green Bay Packers, but last week they suffered a crucial loss to the Raiders.

There will be a lot on the line for both teams in this matchup. Let’s take a deeper look at the Chargers and see what it will take for a bounce-back Chiefs victory.

CHIEFS-CHARGERS HISTORY

The Chiefs lead the all-time series over the Chargers with a 61-56-1 record. After dropping nine straight games to the Chiefs, the Chargers finally got off the schneid in Week 15 of last season, winning a thrilling game at Arrowhead by a 29-28 final.

via the NFL’s official YouTube channel

As with a lot of Chiefs losses of late, they jumped out to a double-digit lead in this game but couldn’t hold on. The Chargers scored a touchdown to bring the score within one point with four seconds left in the game. They decided to go for a two-point conversion to take the lead and were successful, securing the win.

CHARGERS’ KEY ADDITIONS

LB Thomas Davis
QB Tyrod Taylor
DL Jerry Tillery

CHARGERS’ KEY SUBTRACTIONS

WR Tyrell Williams
CB Jason Verrett
DL Darius Philon
DL Corey Liuget