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The Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) and LA Chargers (2-1) meet Sunday. Kickoff from SoFi Stadium is set for 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Chiefs vs. Chargers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Chiefs are coming off a cover as 3-point favorites in a 22-17 win at the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday Night Football in Week 3 with the Under (46.5) hitting. QB Patrick Mahomes was 26-of-39 passing for 217 yards with 2 TDs and an INT.
The Chargers lost 20-10 as 2.5-point underdogs at the Pittsburgh Steelers Sept. 22 as the Under (36) cashed. QB Justin Herbert (ankle) was pulled late in the 3rd quarter and is questionable for Sunday.
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Chiefs at Chargers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:25 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Chiefs -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Chargers +280 (bet $100 to win $280)
- Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs -7 (-115) | Chargers +7 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 39.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Chiefs at Chargers key injuries
Chiefs
- WR Marquise Brown (shoulder) out
- DE Mike Danna (calf) out
- RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (illness) out
- DE Charles Omenihu (knee)
- RB Isiah Pacheco (fibula) out
Chargers
- RT Joe Alt (knee) doubtful
- LB Joey Bosa (hip) out
- CB Kristian Fulton (knee) questionable
- QB Justin Herbert (ankle) questionable
- S Derwin James (suspension) out
- LT Rashawn Slater (pectoral) out
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Chiefs at Chargers picks and predictions
Prediction
Chiefs 17, Chargers 16
Moneyline
Kansas City (-350) will likely win — especially if Chargers QB Taylor Heinicke is in for Herbert — but this ML is too expensive for a team that has barely avoided last-minute disasters in 3 straight games.
PASS. Bet the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
The Chiefs are 2-1 ATS this season and have been somewhat lucky to even cover 2 games.
In their 27-20 win vs. the Baltimore Ravens in Week 1, they needed a last-second Ravens TD to get reversed — TE Isaiah Likely’s toe was on the endline — to save the cover as 2.5-point favorites.
Their Week 3 cover at Atlanta was also somewhat surprising. The Falcons had a late third-and-goal from the Kansas City 6 trailing by 5 points, and the officials did not throw a flag on what appeared to be pass interference by Chiefs S Bryan Cook in the end zone.
If Likely’s shoe was a half-size smaller and the officials didn’t miss a crucial call in Atlanta, the Chiefs would likely be 0-3 ATS heading into Sunday. This is not a team I want to back to win by margin, especially if Herbert is out and the spread inflates even more.
BET CHARGERS +7 (-105).
Over/Under
The Under is 3-0 in Chargers games this season, as LA has allowed just 11 points per game under coach Jim Harbaugh. Whether an injured Herbert starts or Heinicke takes his place, we know Harbaugh’s key to victory will be running the ball and controlling time of possession.
The Chiefs offense was nothing special at Atlanta, putting up just 22 points, and should look even more pedestrian at the No. 3 defense in the NFL Sunday.
BET UNDER 39.5 (-105).
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