WinDailySports’ CEO Jason Mezrahi checks in with his top Week 5 DFS fantasy football for FanDuel and DraftKings
Top-ranked daily fantasy sports pro Jason Mezrahi, founder and CEO of
WinDailySports.com, breaks down his favorite DFS plays at various salary ranges for Week 5 of the NFL season. We are back for another year of DFS domination and we have some new tools to take advantage of from my team over at
WinDailySports.com.
Our projection model, lineup optimizer, and data tools have been revamped and back tested to start the season off right. So what I will do in this article is list some of our highest projected players based off raw points and our highest point-per-dollar plays based on DraftKings.com pricing.
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These are some of the players Jason will be locking in his lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel for this weekend’s slate.
Quarterbacks
Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys
$6,900 DRAFTKINGS
$8,100 FANDUEL
Dak has yet to have to repeat that ceiling game in Week 1 to start the season. It’s pretty crazy to think that the Cowboys have won 3 games in a row while Dak has thrown for 188, 238, and 237 yards in those games. Dallas is looking great as a team and I think this is a spot in the division versus the Giants that has that big 25+ point game written all over it. The matchup versus the Giants is juicy and Vegas has the over set at 52, so we should see a bunch of points here from Dallas. With this being an in division game, I think the Giants fight tough through four quarters and this game stays competitive. Ownership will be down on Dak after the past couple performances being underwhelming where you will get a quarterback with a 30+ ceiling at under 10% ownership which makes him a great play for cash and tournaments.
Kirk Cousins, Minnesota Vikings
$6,500 DRAFTKINGS
$7,500 FANDUEL
Not many people respect Kirk Cousins and even fewer people have the courage to play him in DFS. Kirk had 3 back to back to back 25+ DraftKings games before his tough matchup versus Cleveland last week. With that matchup in our rear view mirror we are blessed with a nice matchup versus Detroit where the over is set to 49 points. The Lions are allowing 28.3 points per game and it should lead to a 30+ point performance from the Vikings offense. Unlike some other quarterbacks, the decision on who to pair them with is easy with Cousins. Lock up Kirk with Jefferson in both tournaments and cash games in Week 5.
Running Backs
Saquon Barkley, New York Giants
$7,300 DRAFTKINGS
$7,800 FANDUEL
Saquon Barkley is the Giants offense. Everything is funneling through him and if the Giants want to have any shot to win they need to continue to increase his workload through more touches and targets. He went from 16 combined touches and targets, to 23, to 19 these past 3 weeks. If you give Saquon that form of volume or more the production will surely follow. Two back to back performances of 20+ fantasy points has me believing the man is back. With the game script in Barkley’s favor the Giants should be playing from behind which should lean to more targets. I prefer Barkley in games where the Giants will be trailing because I think he’s most dangerous and effective from a fantasy perspective when he’s catching passes. Barkley has the skill set to take anything to the house and I like him as a core play for Week 5.
James Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars
$6,000 DRAFTKINGS
$7,400 FANDUEL
If you get beat by the New York Jets you have a problem. If you allow the Jets to score 27 you will be targeted by every opposing offense from a DFS perspective moving forward. This Titan defense is getting gashed by their opponents and Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars are set up for some fantasy goodness, and maybe even their first victory. Robinson is a 3 down back for the Jaguars, their goal line back, and a back which should see increased volume in the passing game as well. Coming off two 20+ point performances in consecutive weeks has me thinking a 3rd is right around the corner. The matchup is juicy, the volume will be there, and the price tag especially on DraftKings is appetizing. Load up on Robinson in Week 5 and get different in other spots.
Wide receivers
Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings
$7,700 DRAFTKINGS
$8,000 FANDUEL
If people want to fade Cousins go right ahead, but they will have an even tougher time fading Jefferson. Jefferson is another player coming off two 20+ point performances in consecutive weeks and he is the alpha receiver in this offense. With touchdowns in three consecutive weeks and a Detroit defense who is getting torched, our projection model at WinDailySports.com projects Jefferson as the second highest scoring receiver on the slate. Lock up Jefferson in both cash games and tournaments.
DJ Moore, Carolina Panthers
$7,500 DRAFTKINGS
$7,900 FANDUEL
People want to deny the production each week and continue to fade Moore. Don’t keep telling yourself that he is due for a bad game, maybe start questioning if Moore is the 2021 version of Adams. I know it sounds crazy to compare the connection of Darnold and Moore to Rodgers and Adams but numbers don’t lie. The targets are increasing along with yardage and touchdowns, and I don’t see it stopping in Week 5 versus the Eagles. The earlier you identify the trends the better your returns. We have two trends which align to make this a smash play in Week 5. Number 1 is the fact that Moore is the focal point of this offense and number 2 is how bad this Eagles defense continues to be. Lock up another 20+ point performance from Moore in Week 5.
Tight ends
TJ Hockenson, Detroit Lions
$5,500 DRAFTKINGS
$6,400 FANDUEL
This should be a bounce back spot for Hockenson after two consecutive down weeks. He took a day off at practice and appeared on the injury report so be mindful of that as more news comes out prior to game time. If Hockenson is a full go and all reports lean to him being healthy we can see an outburst from him versus the Vikings. Vegas has this game scoring 49 points and with the Lions having zero elite receivers, a good portion of their game plan will be funneled through Hockenson. The Vikings are allowing 250+ passing yards per game and that should be enough for Hockenson to eclipse the 15 fantasy point mark and if he can find a way into the end zone it should lead to even a bigger week.
Dalton Schultz, Dallas Cowboys
$4,400 DRAFTKINGS
$6,200 FANDUEL
I wrote up Schultz last week in my tight end article on Win Daily and I will be doubling down this week as well. Schultz is no slouch, and his workload has increased every week since Gallup went down with an injury. A 26 point performance versus Philadelphia followed by a 17 point game versus Carolina has me thinking we found a diamond in the rough with Schultz. It’s hard to predict if Cooper or Lamb will be the guy from week to week but targeting Schultz instead has led to a positive outcome. I like the play more on DraftKings but he’s a fine play on both sites in Week 5.
Good luck in Week 5, and if you ever have any questions, please hit me up on Twitter!
Jason Mezrahi has been a professional, top-ranked Daily Fantasy Player on FanDuel and DraftKings for more than eight years. He has won FanDuel’s $155,555 King of the Diamond competition and placed second in DraftKings’ Fantasy Basketball World Championship, earning him $300,000. He owns and operates WinDailySports.com, which supports the DFS and Sports Betting community with resources such as tools, projection models, expert chat, in-depth written analysis and podcasts, plus much more.
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