Analyzing the betting odds to be named the NFL’s 2020 MVP, with a look at whether Josh Allen is worthy of a bet this season.
Do you think Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen has what it takes to win the 2020 NFL MVP? Let’s examine his chances, the BetMGM NFL futures odds around it happening and whether or not Allen is worth a bet.
Allen doesn’t seem like an MVP-type quarterback with his penchant for costly turnovers and inaccuracy throwing the ball, but he led the Bills to the playoffs last season and has a gunslinger mentality that could lead to big numbers.
If he’s to compete for NFL MVP next season, the Bills will need to make another playoff run and Allen will have to put up impressive stats – including a more stomachable interception total.
Recent NFL MVP winners
Allen already checks one box as an MVP candidate simply by playing the quarterback position. Each of the last seven winners have been quarterbacks, continuing a trend of signal-callers taking home the coveted hardware. Allen isn’t the dual-threat quarterback 2019 winner Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson is, but he is among the league’s more mobile quarterbacks having averaged 570 yards on the ground over the last two seasons, which adds to his value.
In 2018, Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes threw for 5,097 yards and 50 touchdowns, which were astronomical numbers even by today’s standards. Then-New England Patriots QB Tom Brady had 4,577 yards and 32 touchdowns in 2017 when he won it, while Atlanta Falcons QB Matt Ryan threw for 4,944 yards and 38 TDs in 2016, leading the Falcons to an 11-5 record.
Josh Allen’s 2020 NFL MVP odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday, April 9 at 4:30 p.m. ET.
Allen’s odds to win MVP aren’t great, but they do offer a lot of upside. He’s +6600 to win it, which is tied with Pittsburgh Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger and Dallas Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott. It’s even behind the likes of QB Jameis Winston (+5000), who doesn’t currently have a team.
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Josh Allen’s stats
Allen has only two years of experience, so his sample size is limited. A quarterback’s third season is typically when he makes a positive jump, so perhaps Allen will follow the trend and break out in 2020. Last season, he threw for 3,089 yards and 20 touchdowns with only nine interceptions. He also gained 510 yards and scored nine touchdowns as a rusher.
Is Josh Allen worth a 2020 NFL MVP bet?
The Bills are certainly on the rise right now, especially after acquiring WR Stefon Diggs from the Minnesota Vikings. RB Devin Singletary will be one year better, too, while WRs Cole Beasley and John Brown are returning playmakers.
Allen is set up to have the best season of his career, but it still won’t be enough for him to win NFL MVP. The Bills are too heavy of a running offense for him to put up the necessary passing numbers, which limits his chances of winning MVP.
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