Do you think QB Joe Burrow has what it takes to win the 2020 NFL MVP? Let’s examine his chances, the BetMGM NFL futures odds around it happening and whether or not Burrow is worth a bet.
Recent NFL MVP winners
Burrow plays the right position, as each of the last seven and 12 of the last 13 league MVPs have been quarterbacks. The trend has also been young quarterbacks winning it. The last two league MVPs — Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson and Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes — were in their second NFL season.
With few exceptions, MVP quarterbacks lead the league in at least one significant passing statistic. They without fail lead playoff teams. Mahomes threw for over 5,000 yards and 50 touchdowns. Jackson had over 3,500 passing yards and over 1,000 rushing yards.
MVP quarterbacks put up big numbers and win.
Joe Burrow’s 2020 NFL MVP odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday, April 9 at 10 a.m. ET.
Burrow, who will be a rookie in 2020, is one of the long shots. He is given +10000 odds to win this year’s MVP award. That is far from the +325 for Mahomes or the +500 odds for Jackson or Seattle Seahawks QB Russell Wilson.
Burrow has the same odds as Indianapolis Colts backup QB Jacoby Brissett, Carolina Panthers QB Teddy Bridgewater, New York Jets QB Sam Darnold and New Orleans Saints WR Michael Thomas, among others.
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Joe Burrow stats
Burrow is certainly going to be the No. 1 pick in the 2020 NFL Draft at the end of April. He is coming off a record-setting year in college with LSU, winning the Heisman Trophy and leading his team to a national championship.
He had 5,671 passing yards, 60 touchdown passes and only six interceptions. He also had another five rushing touchdowns.
Is Joe Burrow worth a 2020 NFL MVP bet?
Burrow will not put up those numbers as a rookie in the NFL. He will likely be the starting quarterback for the Cincinnati Bengals, who were the worst team in the league in 2019 to earn the No. 1 draft pick.
Rookie quarterbacks don’t put up big numbers. Only Cam Newton, Andrew Luck and Jameis Winston have thrown for more than 4,000 yards as a rookie and the rookie passing touchdown record is 27 (Baker Mayfield).
Mahomes was the youngest MVP in league history. There hasn’t been a rookie MVP since 1957.
The potential payout of 100 times your investment might be tempting, but you would be expecting Burrow to do things as a rookie no rookie has ever done. He would have to be as good as the best quarterbacks in the league and turn around the worst team in football.
Burrow isn’t worth a bet.
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