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The New York Jets (2-4) and Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2) meet Sunday. Kickoff from Acrisure Stadium is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Jets vs. Steelers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Jets lost 23-20 as 1-point underdogs vs. the visiting Buffalo Bills on Monday Night Football in Week 6 as the Over (42) hit. New York acquired WR Davante Adams from the Las Vegas Raiders Tuesday, and the 3-time All-Pro is expected to make his debut Sunday.
The Steelers routed the Raiders 32-13 as 3.5-point road favorites Oct. 13 as the Over (36.5) cashed. After going 4-2 to start the season, QB Justin Fields will reportedly be replaced by QB Russell Wilson as the starter for Sunday.
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Jets at Steelers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated at 12:21 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Jets -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Steelers +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Against the spread (ATS): Jets -1.5 (-110) | Steelers +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 38.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Jets at Steelers key injuries
Jets
- CB Michael Carter II (back) out
- TE Tyler Conklin (hip) questionable
- CB D.J. Reed (groin) questionable
Steelers
- C Zach Frazier (ankle) out
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Jets at Steelers picks and predictions
Prediction
Jets 18, Steelers 17
Moneyline
Everybody is cutting in line to bet the Jets (-130), who have lost 3 straight games. The Jets would’ve won vs. Buffalo in Week 6 if K Greg Zuerlein didn’t miss 2 field goals. The Jets would’ve won vs. Denver in Week 4 if Zuerlein didn’t miss a 50-yarder with 47 seconds remaining.
What will be New York’s excuse this week? I don’t want to lay -130 to find out.
PASS. Bet the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
Steelers coach Mike Tomlin is 19-6-3 ATS as a home underdog. While I’m not a huge fan of coach-specific trends, I do believe Tomlin is being undervalued by the market when facing more talented teams.
In his latest move that is drawing criticism from talking heads, he’s reportedly going to start Wilson instead of Fields Sunday. While I would prefer to back Fields with my hard-earned cash, Tomlin has clearly shown — by his ATS record as a home ‘dog — that his decision-making when outmatched is better than the market gives him credit for.
If it weren’t for a 52-yard Hail Mary at the end of the 1st half in Week 6, the Jets would’ve scored 17 or fewer points for a 3rd straight week. Does Adams reuniting with Rodgers magically fix this offense? It will likely improve with time, but I doubt it will have any meaningful impact Sunday vs. a top-2 defense in the NFL this season (14.3 opponent PPG).
BET STEELERS +1.5 (-110).
Over/Under
The Under is 3-1 in the Jets’ last 4 games and 4-2 for the Steelers on the season. Directionally, I like both defenses and am bearish on both QBs, but this number is just a bit too low for me to pull the trigger.
LEAN UNDER 38.5 (-110).
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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