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The New York Jets (3-9) and Miami Dolphins (5-7) meet Sunday. Kickoff from Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Jets vs. Dolphins odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Jets’ struggles continued with their 3rd straight loss, falling 26-21 to the visiting Seattle Seahawks. Despite entering as 1.5-point favorites, New York couldn’t deliver and the Over (42) cashed. QB Aaron Rodgers threw 2 touchdowns, including one to WR Davante Adams, but failed to hit 200 passing yards for the 3rd game in a row — Rogers finished with 185 passing yards and 1 interception. His costly pick-6 to DL Leonard Williams in the 3rd quarter proved pivotal, sparking the Seahawks’ comeback and another tough defeat for the Jets.
The Dolphins had a 3-game win streak snapped Thanksgiving night with a 30-17 loss to the Green Bay Packers. They couldn’t cover as 3.5-point road underdogs and the Under (47.5) hit. QB Tua Tagovailoa carried the offense with 365 yards and 2 touchdowns, but the run game stalled as Miami only rushed for 39 yards.
This is the Jets-Dolphins first meeting of the season. They’ll face off again in Week 18 at the MetLife Stadium.
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Jets at Dolphins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:01 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Jets +225 (bet $110 to win $225) | Dolphins -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Jets -6 (-115) | Dolphins +6 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 45 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Jets at Dolphins key injuries
Jets
- OL Olu Fashanu (toe) questionable
- CB Sauce Gardner (hamstring) doubtful
- RB Breece Hall (knee) doubtful
- OL Morgan Moses (knee, shoulder) questionable
- LB C.J. Mosley (neck) out
- CB Qwan’tez Stiggers (illness) out
- OL Alijah Vera-Tucker (ankle) questionable
Dolphins
- OL Terron Armstead (knee) questionable
- CB Kader Kohou (back) questionable
- RB Raheem Mostert (hip) questionable
- LB Anthony Walker (hamstring) questionable
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Jets at Dolphins picks and predictions
Prediction
Dolphins 35, Jets 17
Moneyline
PASS.
The Dolphins (-275) should bounce back in Week 14 with a win over the struggling Jets. New York’s season has unraveled, and it will be missing a key weapon in RB Breece Hall. Miami’s playoff hopes as a Wild Card remain alive, but it can’t afford more losses. Expect the Dolphins to deliver at home.
Against the spread
BET DOLPHINS -6 (-105).
The Jets are a disaster, which all ties back to Rodgers. The team gave the QB everything he wanted, and it completely backfired, costing both the coach and GM their jobs. The Jets have failed to cover the spread in 8 of their last 9 games, while the Dolphins covered 4 straight before the Thanksgiving loss to the Packers.
The Jets defense has been a letdown all season. Missing LB C.J. Mosley and likely CB Sauce Gardner won’t help them Sunday. The defense has allowed 28.3 points per game over the last 3 outings.
On the other side, the Dolphins are thriving offensively with Tagovailoa back under center, averaging 27.0 points per game over the last 6 contests, well above their season average.
Miami should cruise at home and easily cover this line against a depleted Jets team.
Over/Under
BET OVER 45 (-110).
Since Tagovailoa’s return, the Dolphins offense has been on fire, as mentioned with its 27.0 PPG over the last 6 matchups. Miami has gone Over the total in 4 of those games and in its last 4 at home.
On the other side, the Jets’ defense has fallen apart, giving up the 28.3 PPG over the last 3 and hitting the Over in the last 2.
With Miami’s explosive offense facing a struggling, injury-riddled Jets defense, expect the Dolphins to score big and keep the Over trend going.
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