Jets Dolphins odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

The New York Jets (7-9) square off against the Miami Dolphins (8-8) on Sunday in Week 18. Kickoff from Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Jets vs. Dolphins odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Jets suffered a 23-6 loss to the Seattle Seahawks in Week 17 as they failed to cover as 1-point favorites on the road. New York has lost its last 5 games and was eliminated from playoff contention after losing to Seattle.

The Dolphins lost 23-21 to the New England Patriots in Week 17 but covered as 3-point road underdogs. Miami has also lost its last 5 games, but with a win on Sunday and a loss by the New England Patriots, the Dolphins would advance to the playoffs.

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Jets at Dolphins odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:15 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Jets +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Dolphins -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Jets +3 (+100) | Dolphins -3 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 37 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Jets at Dolphins key injuries

Jets

OL Duane Brown (shoulder) questionable
OL George Fant (knee) questionable
LB C.J. Mosley (shoulder) questionable
QB Mike White (ribs) out
S Jordan Whitehead (hamstring) questionable

Dolphins

OL Terron Armstead (toe/pec/knee/hip) questionable
QB Teddy Bridgwater (knee/finger) questionable
LB Bradley Chubb (ankle/hand) questionable
S Jevon Holland (shoulder) questionable
CB Xavien Howard (knee) questionable
QB Tua Tagovailoa (concussion) out
WR Jaylen Waddle (shoulder) questionable

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Jets at Dolphins picks and predictions

Prediction

Dolphins 20, Jets 16

Moneyline

The DOLPHINS (-170) seem to be the ideal choice in this game. However, there is a ton of uncertainty surrounding the quarterback position for the Fins, so proceed with caution when wagering on this game.

Against the spread

DOLPHINS -3 (-120) is where I’m leaning as Miami needs a win on Sunday to have a chance to advance to the postseason. Even with the Dolphins starting either Bridgewater or QB Skylar Thompson, they should be able to cover the spread at home.

The Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the AFC East. Meanwhile, the Jets are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road meetings against the Dolphins and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings overall.

Over/Under

Given the uncertainty at the quarterback spot for both teams, UNDER 37 (-110) is an intriguing wager. I expect both teams to try to maintain possession in this game by running the ball more often than usual.

The Jets are 6-0 to the Under in their last 6 games against an AFC opponent and 4-0 to the Under in their last 4 games overall. The Dolphins are also 6-1 to the Under in their last 7 home games.

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The New York Jets (3-10) travel to Hard Rock Stadium Sunday for their Week 15 tilt with the Miami Dolphins (6-7) at 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Jets vs. Dolphins odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

New York lost its second straight game when it fell 30-9 to the New Orleans Saints last Sunday and has been officially eliminated from playoff contention. The Jets are 3-10 ATS and 7-6 O/U with the 21st-toughest schedule, according to Football Outsiders.

Miami won its fifth consecutive contest with a 20-9 beatdown of the New York Giants prior to heading into its Week 14 bye.

The Dolphins are still hanging around the playoff scene albeit there are five teams between them and the third AFC Wild-Card seed Buffalo Bills. Miami is 7-5-1 ATS and 5-8 O/U with the 26th-hardest schedule per Football Outsiders.

Miami is 4-1 overall and 5-0 ATS against New York since hiring head coach Brian Flores in 2019 and has won three straight head-to-head meetings.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NFL Week 15 picks and predictions

Jets at Dolphins odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:23 a.m. ET.

Money line: Jets +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Dolphins -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Jets +9.5 (-108) | Dolphins -9.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Jets at Dolphins key injuries

Jets

LT George Fant (knee) doubtful
G Laurent Duvernay-Tardif (ankle) questionable
DT Sheldon Rankins (knee) questionable

Dolphins

WR Jaylen Waddle (health and safety protocols) questionable
S Jevon Holland (health and safety protocols) questionable

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Jets at Dolphins odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Dolphins 30, Jets 14

Money line

PASS because I’m not in the business of laying -500 with any NFL regular-season money line favorite.

As the saying goes, any given Sunday any team can win in football, and perhaps this is the game Jets rookie QB Zach Wilson begins to demonstrate why he was selected No. 2 overall in this past draft.

Against the spread

BET the DOLPHINS -9.5 (-112) for 1 unit because this is just a much better spot for Miami than New York. The Dolphins are 15-8 ATS at home, 2-0 ATS following a bye week and 10-5-1 vs. AFC East foes in the Flores era (est. 2019).

Miami QB Tua Tagovailoa has become underrated in my opinion. Tua ranks 12th in expected points added (EPA) plus completion over expectation (CPOE) composite and is seventh in QBR. He’s furthermore been doing this behind a terrible offensive line and with banged-up wide receivers.

That said, I prefer teasing Miami’s spread below the key number of 3. This is a very chalky play as a vast majority of the market is betting Miami here.

However, it’s DOLPHINS -9.5 (-112) or nothing in this spot.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 41.5 (-108) for a small wager as a fade of the market and to buck the recent trends.

Roughly 80% of the cash wagered is on the Under according to Pregame.com and the Yahoo! Sports app at the time of writing. This one-sided action towards the Under has steamed the total down from the 44.5-point opener.

There are a million reasons to like the Under in Jets-Dolphins, including the Under cashing in their last four meetings, but if it were that easy then everyone would make money betting sports.

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Tag: Jets Dolphins odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins odds, picks and predictions

Jets at Dolphins odds

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Jets at Dolphins key injuries

Jets at Dolphins picks and predictions

Prediction

Moneyline

Against the spread

Over/Under