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The New York Jets (6-9) will be trying to send the AFC East-rival Buffalo Bills (10-5) into the postseason with one more loss as the two sides meet at New Era Field Sunday of Week 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. We analyze the Jets-Bills odds and sports betting lines, while providing sports betting tips and advice on this matchup.
Jets at Bills: Week 17 preview, betting trends and notes
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- The Bills claimed a 17-16 road victory when the two sides met in Week 1. Bills QB Josh Allen threw for 254 yards, while Jets QB Sam Darnold passed for 175 yards. The Jets rushed for just 68 yards as a team.
- New York enters off of a 16-10 home win over the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Jets are 5-2 since Week 10.
- Buffalo fell by a 24-17 count to the rival New England Patriots Saturday of Week 16.
- Allen doesn’t have a 300-yard passing game on the season. Darnold has two. The Jets allow 236.2 passing yards per game while the Bills rank third in the NFL with 195.9 pass yards allowed per game.
- The Bills rank second with just 16.4 points per game surrendered. The Jets have given up 23.5 PPG.
- Buffalo head coach Sean McDermott hasn’t yet decided which starters, if any, will be resting for Week 17 with the AFC’s top wild-card spot already secured.
- The Bills are set to visit the Houston Texans in the wild-card round. The Jets are projected to pick ninth overall in the 2020 NFL Draft.
Jets at Bills: Odds, betting lines and prediction
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 9:45 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Bills 17, Jets 13
Moneyline (?)
The BILLS (-125) are the better team overall and should be the pick regardless of who starts and sits this week. Matt Barkley could draw the start in place of Allen, but the Bills are still deep enough at the other skill positions and have one of the NFL’s top defensive units. They’re a good pick at the early-week odds, and will be worth doubling down if they shift to slight home dogs with the potential inactive ruling for Allen.
The Bills are 4-3 at home while the Jets are just 1-6 on the road.
Against the Spread (?)
The better number for the BILLS (-1.5, -110) comes on the spread where they’ll need to win by 2 or more points for a bet to cash. Buffalo is a league-best 9-4-2 against the spread overall and covers the line by 3.6 points per game. New York has covered the spread in just six of 15 games and falls an average of 0.8 PPG below the cover line.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Bills to win by at least 2 points and cover the spread returns a profit of $9.09 while the same wager for the outright win on the moneyline returns a profit of $8.
Over/Under (?)
Take the UNDER 36.5 (-110). The projected total is the lowest of the week. The Bills are 4-11 against the Over/Under and fall an average of 4.1 points below the line. The Jets are 7-8 and come up 1.4 PPG shy of the projections. The Bills haven’t scored 20 points in any of their last three games.
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Esten’s NFL betting record: 50-45
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