Utah Jazz at Phoenix Suns odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Utah Jazz at Phoenix Suns odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Utah Jazz (1-1) are on the road Saturday for the first time this season, taking on the Phoenix Suns (1-1) Saturday night. Tip-off from Footprint Arena is 10 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Jazz vs. Suns odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting of 2023.

The Jazz played Friday night, beating the Los Angeles Clippers 120-118 at home as 4.5-point underdogs. They lost their season opener 130-114 at home to the Sacramento Kings.

The Suns are coming off a 100-95 road loss to the Los Angeles Lakers, covering the 6.5-point spread as underdogs. They opened the season with a 108-104 road win over the Golden State Warriors.

Jazz at Suns odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Jazz +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Suns -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Jazz +5.5 (-110) | Suns -5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Jazz at Suns key injuries

Jazz

  • Johnny Juzang (quad) questionable

Suns

  • Bradley Beal (back) out
  • Devin Booker (ankle) doubtful
  • Damion Lee (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Jazz at Suns picks and predictions

Prediction

Jazz 112, Suns 108

Moneyline

The Suns won’t have Beal and likely no Booker. They have depth, but they work much better as depth than starters.

They scored only 95 points Thursday. And while they have allowed 204 points in 2 games, the Jazz like to score, scoring 114 and 120 points in their first 2 games of the season.

Expect the Jazz to pick up an upset win over the favored Suns.

BET JAZZ (+180). 

Against the spread

This is the first game the Suns have been favored. They covered the spread in both games to start the season.

The Jazz have been underdogs in every game so far this season and are 1-1 ATS.

The Suns’ lone victory was by 4 points.

I like the Jazz to win outright, but if you want some room to breathe for the outcome, JAZZ -5.5 (-110) isn’t a bad way to go.

Over/Under

The Suns’ highest game total so far this season is 212. The Jazz have had totals of 238 and higher in their 2 games so far.

Two of their 3 meetings last year did not reach tonight’s projected total.

BET UNDER 223.5 (-105). 

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Utah Jazz at Phoenix Suns odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Utah Jazz at Phoenix Suns odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

Two of the top Western Conference teams meet Sunday when the Phoenix Suns (49-11) host the Utah Jazz (37-22). Tip-off at Footprint Center is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Jazz vs. Suns odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Utah beat the Dallas Mavericks 114-109 at home Friday in its first game back from the All-Star break but failed to cover as a 5.5-point home favorite. The Jazz are 15-12 straight up (SU) and 13-13-1 against the spread (ATS) on the road.

Phoenix is 1-1 SU and ATS following the All-Star game after clobbering the  Thunder 124-104 Thursday in Oklahoma City then losing at home to the New Orleans Pelicans 117-102 Friday. The Suns are 26-6 SU at home but just 15-17 ATS.

The Suns are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS versus the Jazz since the beginning of last season, which includes two victories this season (1-1 ATS).

Jazz at Suns odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Jazz -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Suns -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Jazz +1.5 (-120) | Suns -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Jazz at Suns key injuries

Jazz

  • None

Suns

  • PG Chris Paul (hand) out

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Jazz at Suns odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Jazz 119, Suns 108

Money line

BET the JAZZ (-105) for 1.5 units because these teams are pretty even when both are at full-strength but the absence of CP3 looms large for the Suns.

Both teams run a ton of pick-and-roll (PnR) action but Utah has the best offensive efficiency in PnR through ball handlers and both Phoenix’s offensive and defensive efficiency in the PnR suffers without CP3.

The Suns score 12.2 more half-court points per 100 plays when CP3 is on the floor, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG). Whereas the Jazz are first in half-court points per 100 plays, per CTG.

Utah also has the edge in several pivotal positional matchups over Phoenix. Jazz SG Donovan Mitchell is outscoring Suns Devin Booker 25.5-24.9 points per game (PPG) in their 11 career head-to-head meetings and outshooting him 46.2-43.4% from the field (47.0-35.1% on 3-pointers).

On top of that, Phoenix big Deandre Ayton is going to have a tough time getting quality looks against three-time Defensive Player of the Year in Utah big Rudy Gobert.

Gobert is outscoring Ayton 16.6-11.4 PPG, outshooting him 75.5-51.3% and outrebounding Ayton 13.1-8.6 in their seven career meetings.

The bottom line is I’m looking to fade the Suns without CP3 and getting the JAZZ (-105) at this price is a no-brainer.

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Against the spread

PASS.

The Jazz +1.5 (-120) isn’t worth the insurance for our Utah ML wager. However, if the line goes to +2.5 or higher then I’d sprinkle on Utah’s ML while hammering the Jazz plus the points.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 226.5 (-110) for a tiny wager — if at all —  because I much prefer the Utah sides more than the total.

However, these teams have the top-two non-garbage time offensive ratings (per CTG), Utah is 4-2 O/U as a road underdog, Phoenix is 18-14 O/U as a home favorite and these teams have a combined 5-1 O/U in day games.

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Utah Jazz at Phoenix Suns odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Utah Jazz at Phoenix Suns odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Phoenix Suns (36-9) host the first of a home-and-away back-to-back set with the Utah Jazz (30-17) Monday at Footprint Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Jazz vs. Suns odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Utah lost for the third time in its last four games Sunday when it fell 94-92 at the Golden State Warriors and pushed as a 2-point road underdog. The Jazz are 20-25-2 against the spread (ATS) and 23-23-1 Over/Under (O/U).

The Suns won their sixth consecutive game Saturday by beating the Indiana Pacers 113-103 in Phoenix but failed to cover as a 13.5-point home favorite. The Suns are 25-20 ATS and 19-25-1 O/U.

Phoenix won and covered in all three meetings last regular season with Utah and the total was 2-1 O/U in those games.

Jazz at Suns odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:08 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Jazz +370 (bet $100 to win $370) | Suns -520 (bet $520 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Jazz +9.5 (-122) | Suns -9.5 (-102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Jazz at Suns key injuries

Jazz (not officially submitted)

  • SF Bojan Bogdanovic (knee) questionable
  • Rudy Gobert (calf) questionable
  • SG Donovan Mitchell (concussion) questionable
  • Hassan Whiteside (reconditioning) questionable

Suns

  • Deandre Ayton (ankle) doubtful
  • PF Jae Crowder (wrist) out
  • PG Cameron Payne (wrist) out

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Jazz at Suns odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 115, Jazz 111

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” towards the Jazz (+370) since I “lean” to Utah getting the points in this spot and generally will sprinkle on an underdog’s money line when betting them to cover.

However, this pricing suggests the oddsmakers think the Jazz could be without several key contributors. Mitchell missed Utah’s game Sunday against Golden State and Gobert was listed as questionable but ended up playing roughly 36 minutes versus the Warriors.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the JAZZ +9.5 (-122) since I’d prefer to wait closer to tip-off to see each team’s official starting 5, even if that means I got a worse price on Utah.

But, the Suns are mispriced. I see more value in fading Phoenix than following it because the Suns could be without two starters and don’t perform very well in this spot.

Phoenix is 1-6 ATS at home versus teams with a winning record and has a minus-7.7 ATS margin at home versus teams in the top-10 of adjusted net rating, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

While the Jazz are third in adjusted net rating (plus-6.4) and eighth in ATS margin (plus-3.8) against top-10 teams, per CTG.

“LEAN” to the JAZZ +9.5 (-122) that would be upgraded to a “like” if Utah gets some good injury news before tip-off.

Over/Under

BET the OVER 220.5 (-112) for 1 unit because it’ll probably be the least wagered side of the whole Jazz-Suns meeting and that’s typically where you find profit in sports betting.

A vast majority of the market is hammering the Under for all the obvious reasons according to Pregame.com. Utah has gone Under the total in four straight, Phoenix is 1-5 O/U in its last six games and both teams could be missing offensive firepower.

However, both teams have offensive edges they can exploit in this matchup. Phoenix likes to push the pace and get out in transition but Utah has the second-worst defensive efficiency versus fastbreak offense.

Also, the Jazz are an elite offensive rebounding team and are very efficient in pick-and-roll (PnR) action through the roll-man. Well, the Suns are 24th in second-chance points per game allowed and have the second-worst defensive efficiency versus the roll-man in PnR action.

The OVER 220.5 (-112) is my favorite wager in this game.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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