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In the semifinal of the CONCACAF Gold Cup, Jamaica battles Mexico. Kickoff from Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas is set for 10 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Jamaica vs. Mexico odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.
Jamaica finished 2nd in Group A behind the USMNT, which it drew 1-1 on July 2. It then took down Trinidad and Tobago 4-1 and Saint Kitts and Nevis 5-0, advancing to the quarterfinals. Jamaica beat Guatemala 1-0 on Sunday evening 1-0 in what basically was a road game. The key name to keep an eye on is GK Andre Blake, who came up huge against Guatemala. Blake ended with 6 saves.
Mexico has looked strong since its 3-0 loss to the USMNT in the Nations League semifinal. It beat Panama 1-0 in the 3rd-place match and beat Honduras 4-0 and Haiti 3-1 in the group stage before losing to Qatar 1-0. It beat Costa Rica 2-0 in the quarterfinal. Mexico dominated every fashion of that match, having 5 more shots and 7 more shots on goal.
The winner plays the USMNT-Panama winner in the championship game.
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Jamaica vs. Mexico odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:01 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Jamaica +425 (bet $100 to win $425) | Mexico -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Draw +275
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +105 | U: -150)
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Jamaica vs. Mexico picks and predictions
Prediction
Mexico 2, Jamaica 1
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
When Mexico lost to Qatar, despite having 24 more shots, it still had Group B locked up. It has breezed by Costa Rica, Haiti and Honduras. While Jamaica has one of the best rosters in CONCACAF at full strength, Mexico has shown little weakness over the past few weeks, beating another semifinalist (Panama) in the last month as well.
Jamaica isn’t quite as proven, beating Guatemala just 1-0. While it did draw the US, it had half as many shots and was playing against the 2nd string for the USMNT unlike Mexico did in the Nations League.
These odds are justified, but I would still pass on Mexico to win outright at (-165).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 2.5 (+105).
Jamaica did give up 6 shots on target against Guatemala, a nation that sits 116th in FIFA Men’s World Rankings. The chances were there, and Mexico should be able to get at least 1 if not a few on Blake. Jamaica has scored in every Gold Cup game as well and scored 10 goals in the group stage, so it has some attacking prowess as well.
Mexico tallied 7 goals in the group stage and scored 2 on Costa Rica. The finishing is much better than most other sides Jamaica has faced. Mexico had 74 shots in 3 group stage matches. It will be able to put pressure on Jamaica.
Mexico’s attack coupled with Jamaica’s recent quality finishing should give hope this game can produce goals. Take the OVER 2.5 (+105).
Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.
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