On Sunday, the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-13) will travel to Gilette Stadium for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff with the New England Patriots (9-6). Below, we look at the Jaguars vs. Patriots odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.
The Patriots are coming into this game still having yet to clinch a playoff position. After snapping a seven-game winning streak against the Colts two weeks ago, the Patriots dropped a game last week against the Bills.
Led by rookie QB Mac Jones, the Patriots have leaned on a league-best defense and a dominant run game. That should be all they need against a QB Trevor Lawrence-led Jags.
The Jags have been among the worst teams in the league, heavily relying on the No. 1 overall pick. They’re coming off a discouraging loss in New York to the Jets.
Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NFL Week 17 picks and predictions
Jaguars at Patriots odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:30 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Jaguars +700 (bet $100 to win $700) | Patriots -1200 (bet $1,200 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Jaguars +16.5 (-112) | Patriots -16.5 (-108)
- Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Jaguars at Patriots key injuries
Jaguars
-
TE James O’Shaughnessy (hip) out
Patriots
- WR Nelson Agholor (concussion) out
- RB Damien Harris (hamstring) questionable
- DB Kyle Dugger (hamstring) questionable
- LB Dont’a Hightower (knee) questionable
Let’s Make This Interesting
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Jaguars at Patriots odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Patriots 27, Jaguars 13
Money line
PASS on the money line. I like New England here. So does everyone else. At -1200, it’s just not worth the value. The Pats are 8-1 vs. the Jags in the 2000s.
Against the spread
“LEAN” to the JAGUARS +16.5 (-112).
If there’s one thing that Jacksonville isn’t bad at, it’s stopping the run. The Jaguars rank 14th in opponents’ yards per rush attempt.
While the Jaguars rank 24th in opponents’ rushing yards per game, Jacksonville’s defensive style allows for opponents to run at them. If Harris misses this game, the Patriots run game will be even more hampered.
The Patriots rank 23rd in opponents’ rushing yards per game. If the Jags stick with the ground game and do what they do best defensively, they’ll have a shot to hang with New England.
The Jags haven’t cashed many ATS tickets this season, but at the same time, the Patriots are just 3-3 ATS as home favorites.
Over/Under
BET on the UNDER 41.5 (-110). The Jags offense just hasn’t been there this season. They’re tied with Chicago for the 26th-most yards per game.
The Jags have lived or died by No. 1 overall pick Lawrence. Scoring by far the fewest points per game at 14.5 PPG, the Jags have died by Lawrence more often. He has just a 58.7% completion rate.
The Patriots should heavily limit him, and with their run-heavy offense, they should run the clock down and move on to Week 18. The Pats have scored over 25 points in just two of the last seven weeks.
Also see: All Week 17 odds and lines
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