NFL pointspread favorites enjoyed their first winning week of the season in Week 5, but were unfazed here in Underdog Corner, hitting on two of our three selections to notch our fourth winning week of the season.
With the Cincinnati Bengals and Buffalo Bills cashing, it ups our 2021 record to a nice and profitable 11-4 (.733).
Let’s see if we can keep the train rolling with our NFL underdog ATS picks and predictions of Week 6.
Also see: All Week 6 odds and lines
NFL underdog predictions: Week 6
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 6:41 p.m. ET.
Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 (-117) vs. Miami Dolphins
The NFL is serving up another London dud as the winless Jaguars take on the 1-4 Dolphins, whose only victory was a 17-16 opening-week escape at the New England Patriots.
Moreover, each side’s offense and defense rank as a bottom-five NFL unit in terms of scoring and points allowed per game.
Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa is hoping to play after a three-week IR stint with a rib injury, and that should provide a boost for a Miami offense which ranks 30th in passing (191.4 yards per game).
But with rookie QB Trevor Lawrence getting his NFL legs under him and the Jags owning a significant advantage in the run game with stud second-year RB James Robinson (fourth in the league with 387 yards while averaging 5.8 yards per attempt), there’s no reason why Miami should be favored by anything more than a point or two.
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Detroit Lions +3.5 (-110) vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Yep, we’re on each of the league’s winless teams this week.
Head coach Dan Campbell’s 0-5 Lions have been particularly feisty with a 3-2 record against the spread and losing two of their last three on 54-yard-plus field goals on the game’s final play.
Led by the QB Joe Burrow– WR Ja’Marr Chase LSU connection that’s already clicked for five TDs, the Bengals are 3-2. But they are also 2-3 ATS, now a road favorite for only the third time since 2018 and are in a prime look-past-the-winless-opponent spot with a game against the division-leading Baltimore Ravens looming next week.
Take the scrappy Lions and the field goal-plus.
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Tennessee Titans +5.5 (-110) vs. Buffalo Bills
Speaking of red-flag letdown spots, the 4-1 Bills are playing in their second straight primetime road game after notching a massive revenge 38-20 win at the host Kansas City Chiefs Sunday night.
The Tennessee defense, ranked 24th with 26.0 points allowed per game, is a clear concern facing Bills QB Josh Allen and the league’s highest-scoring offense (34.4 points). But if the 3-2 Titans can avoid turnovers (Buffalo has an NFL-most 15 takeaways) and get league rushing leader RB Derrick Henry (640 yards, 7 TDs) and the play-action game going with capable QB Ryan Tannehill, the hosts should be able to keep this Monday night matchup close.
If you hold off until closer to kickoff, you might even be able to catch more points with the Titans as the line has already gone up two full points after opening at Bills -3.5.
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