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It was a great week to be an underdog in Week 10. Six teams won games outright as underdogs, which is a solid weekend, but what was wild was that in 11 of 14 games, the underdog covered the spread.
All 3 of our best underdog picks cashed in, as the Denver Broncos covered the 8.5-point spread in a 2-point loss to the Kansas City Chiefs, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers covered the 6-point spread in a 3-point loss to the San Francisco 49ers and the Miami Dolphins won their game outright over the LA Rams as 2-point underdogs.
As a result, the record of our underdog picks is 17-12-1. Let’s improve on that.
Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds, and tab the best NFL Week 11 underdog bets to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.
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NFL underdog predictions: Week 11
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:51 a.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.
JAGUARS +14 (-115) at Lions – 1 p.m. (CBS)
While QB Trevor Lawrence will not play against the Detroit Lions with an injured shoulder, they played without him at an equally tough Minnesota Vikings team in Week 10, they only lost 12-7.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have lost by more than 2 TDs twice this season, but they have also covered the spread in their last 4 games, losing by no more than 5 points in their last 3 defeats.
The Lions certainly have the capacity of a blowout win but 14 points is tough. The NFL had 9 one-score games last week. Only 3 games had margins of victory of more than 14 points.
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COLTS +4 (-110) at Jets – 1 p.m. (CBS)
The New York Jets are broken. They managed 2 field goals in a 31-6 road loss to the Arizona Cardinals, allowed them to score on their first 5 possessions.
The Indianapolis Colts are 7-3 ATS but have failed to cover the spread in their last 2 games. The Jets have not reached 20 points in 5 of 10 games this season.
The game marks the return of QB Anthony Richardson as the starter with Joe Flacco returning to the backup role.
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Ravens at STEELERS +3 (-120) – 1 p.m. (CBS)
The Baltimore Ravens barely survived the Cincinnati Bengals in a 1-point win last week. They have the league’s worst pass defense, allowing 294.9 passing yards per game. Opposing QBs have a 101.8 passer rating against them.
The Steelers have won 7 of the last 8 meetings. And in their current 4-game winning streak this season, they are averaging 30.8 points per game, scoring no fewer than 26.
The Ravens have allowed 29 or more points in 3 of their last 4 games, although they have scored 30 points or more in 6 of their last 7.
This should be a back-and-forth shootout.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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